Category: Coronavirus

  • Europe Reaches Grim Milestone, Surpasses 100,000 Coronavirus Deaths

    Europe Reaches Grim Milestone, Surpasses 100,000 Coronavirus Deaths

    Europe reached a somber marker on Sunday, surpassing 100,000 coronavirus deaths across the continent, according to a Johns Hopkins University tally.

    Italy continued to have the highest European death toll in the pandemic with more than 23,000 deaths as of Sunday, followed by Spain, France and the United Kingdom.

    Despite those staggering numbers, Italy has nudged closer to easing some lockdown measures, but restrictions remain largely in place. The Italian government said it was evaluating procedures for how best to allow citizens out again.

    “We are working on some proposals to soften the restrictive measures and let everyone live safely with the virus during the next months,” Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte told Italian newspaper “Il Giornale”, on Sunday morning.

    The government is under pressure from its industrial northern region to reopen as soon as possible, but lockdown measures will remain in place until at least May 3, officials said.

    Meanwhile in Spain, Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez said his government would begin easing measures and allowing children under 12 to play outdoors for short periods of time. The country’s lockdown will remain in place until at least May 9, he said during a televised national address on Saturday. Warning “the goals we’ve achieved so far are fragile.”

    Britain is fast becoming the European epicenter of the contagion, as deaths passed 16,000 people on Sunday. Healthcare workers criticized the government over the weekend for shortages of personal protective equipment (PPE), such as gowns and face shields.

    “Too many healthcare workers have already died. More doctors and their colleagues cannot be expected to put their own lives on the line in a bid to save others,” said Rob Harwood of the British Medical Association, a professional body which represents medical staff.

    A spokesperson for Britain’s Ministry of Health told NBC News on Saturday there was a 24-hour helpline in place for health workers to call and report shortages in supplies.

    “We are working round the clock, given the global shortage of gowns and other PPE, to secure the NHS and the social care sector the equipment they need,” the spokesperson said by email.

    Prime Minister Boris Johnson continues to recuperate from COVID-19, the disease associated with coronavirus, after he left the hospital a week ago. Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab has been filling in for Johnson during his absence.

    Last week in France, President Emmanuel Macron admitting failings during a televised national address. He acknowledged that his office had been insufficiently prepared and caught off guard with the coronavirus outbreak, in particular by the lack of medical equipment.

    “Were we ready for this crisis? Clearly not ready enough, but we have faced up to it,” he said. “Let’s be honest: Events revealed weaknesses, deficiencies.”

    Although the number of patients in France’s intensive care units was falling, he said, the epidemic was still not under control, as he extended lockdown measures until May 11.

    Some European countries, however, such as Austria and the Czech Republic, have begun easing lockdown restrictions, attempting the slow return to normal life. While many continue to eye Germany as a European model, which has maintained a relatively long-term plateau of cases and rolled out extensive testing.

  • A Bizarre Conspiracy Puts Bill Gates At The Centre Of Coronavirus Crisis

    A Bizarre Conspiracy Puts Bill Gates At The Centre Of Coronavirus Crisis

    • As the coronavirus pandemic has spread around the world, with millions infected and thousands dead, billionaire Microsoft co-founder and philanthropist Bill Gates has pledged a quarter billion dollars to combat the disease through his foundation.

    • Gates has been an advocate for pandemic preparedness for years, and his Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation is contributing financing to several coronavirus vaccine initiatives. He famously gave a 2015 TED talkwarning of the potential devastation caused by — and urged readiness for — a worldwide pandemic.

    • Those factors are behind bizarre new conspiracy theories that claim Gates is responsible for the coronavirus pandemic and have rapidly spread from fringe conspiracy theorists online to conservative pundits.

    Bill Gates has advocated for pandemic preparedness for years and famously gave a TED talk in 2015 that warned of the potentially staggering death toll a worldwide pandemic could create.

    As the coronavirus pandemic has spread around the world, Gates has pledged $250 million to fight the disease and create a vaccine.

    Incredibly, it’s these two factors that provide the foundation of a new set of conspiracy theories that point to Gates as the origin of coronavirus — and those conspiracy theories have rapidly gone from fringe online conspiracy theorists to the mouths of conservative pundits.

    Here’s what we know:

    In 2015, Bill Gates gave a TED talk titled, “The next outbreak? We’re not ready.”

    Bill Gates TED talk, 2015
    Bill Gates TED talk, 2015

    TED

    In his 2015 TED talk, Gates examined the ebola outbreak that killed thousands of people in Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone. He highlighted the factors that kept the disease from spreading worldwide, and warned against the potential for a much more contagious, worldwide pandemic.

    “The failure to prepare could allow the next epidemic to be dramatically more devastating than ebola,” he said. “You can have a virus where people feel well enough while they’re infectious that they get on a plane, or they go to a market.”

    Indeed, that is exactly the case with the novel coronavirus — symptoms of the disease don’t necessarily manifest for up to 14 days, and potentially longer.

    You can watch the full TED talk right here: Citing that talk, and the Gates Foundation’s $250 million contribution to fight the disease, some right-wing conspiracy theorists claim Gates is the mastermind that created the novel coronavirus.

    The conspiracy theories connecting Gates to coronavirus started in late January, according to a recent New York Times investigation, with a “YouTube personality linked to QAnon” who claimed Gates had prior knowledge of the coronavirus pandemic.

    Days later, the website Infowars — the site run by Alex Jones, a conspiracy theorist who claims the Sandy Hook shooting was a hoax — published a piece that incorrectly stated the Gates Foundation “co-hosted a pandemic exercise in late 2019 that simulated a global coronavirus outbreak.”

    The Infowars piece attempted to connect the Gates Foundation’s ongoing investments in fighting global pandemics to prior knowledge of the coronavirus pandemic.

    According to a FactCheck.org followup, “There was in fact an exercise (called ‘Event 201’) that took place in October that was hosted by the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security — which the Gates Foundation participated in — that focused on emergency preparedness in the event of a ‘very severe pandemic.’ But it didn’t deal with 2019-nCoV [novel coronavirus], and it didn’t make real-life predictions about death tolls.”

    That distinction, however, was ignored by conspiracy theorists.

    For the next two months, conspiracies that Gates knew of the virus beforehand or was directly responsible for its creation exploded. And now it’s reached at least one Fox News host.

    Two examples of coronavirus-related Bill Gates conspiracy theories online, in shareable meme form, found on Twitter in April.
    Two examples of coronavirus-related Bill Gates conspiracy theories online, in shareable meme form, found on Twitter in April.

    Twitter

    Mentions of coronavirus-related Bill Gates conspiracy theories have exploded on social media and TV: They were mentioned 1.2 million times in the last two months, according to data provided to the New York Times by the media intelligence firm Zignal Labs.

    Those conspiracy theories have spread from fringe right-wing conspiracy theorists, like Alex Jones, to conservative pundits like Fox News host Laura Ingraham. “Digitally tracking Americans’ every move has been a dream of the globalists for years,” Ingraham tweeted in early April. “This health crisis is the perfect vehicle for them to push this.”

    The commentary was attached to another tweet, which linked to an article about Bill Gates on a conspiracy theory website that cites an answer Gates gave during a Reddit AMA earlier this year. Gates spoke of a hypothetical “digital certificate” that would certify if people were vaccinated from coronavirus.

    According to the piece, “The inevitable mass vaccination campaign to eradicate COVID-19 would be the perfect opportunity to introduce a worldwide digital ID. This system would store a wealth of information about each individual (including vaccination history) and would be used to grant access to rights and services.”

    It baselessly claimed that Gates — alongside other rich and powerful people — is using the coronavirus pandemic as a means of instilling a worldwide caste system based on a digital ID.

    Ingraham’s followers understood the message: “I will not take a #BillGatesVaccine,” one responded.

    Former Trump staffer Roger Stone, who was sentenced to 40 months in federal prisonearlier this year, was more direct than Ingraham. “Whether Bill Gates played some role in the creation and spread of this virus is open for vigorous debate,” Stone said in a radio interview, according to a New York Post report. “I have conservative friends who say it’s ridiculous and others say absolutely.”

    Why Bill Gates? Why now? Even pandemics are partisan.

    bill gates
    bill gates

    Mike Cohen/Getty Images for The New York Times

    Through the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, the billions that Gates earned from co-founding Microsoft and turning it into an international powerhouse is being used to fight contagious disease around the world. They’ve spent millions on the prevention and treatment of HIV/AIDS, malaria, and polio.

    Gates also co-founded The Giving Pledge with his friend and fellow billionaire Warren Buffet, a campaign to get billionaires to promise to give away the majority of their fortunes to philanthropic causes.

    But Gates has also voiced opposition to President Trump’s federal coronavirus response.

    “Halting funding for the World Health Organization during a world health crisis is as dangerous as it sounds,” he tweeted on April 15, just after President Trump announced intentions to cut funding for the World Health Organization. “Their work is slowing the spread of COVID-19 and if that work is stopped no other organization can replace them. The world needs @WHO now more than ever.”

    Despite Gates not mentioning the president, responses to his tweet are notably partisan — and several challengers accuse Gates, through association with former President Bill Clinton and the late convicted pedophile Jeffrey Epstein, of being part of an Illuminati-esque cabal.

    Despite being especially vocal lately, Gates hasn’t said much in response to the conspiracies. “It’s ironic,” he told GCTN in a televised interview.

    Bill Gates
    Bill Gates

    YouTube/Gates Notes

    Gates declined an interview with the New York Times for its report on coronavirus-related Bill Gates conspiracy theories — a rare no from a man who’s made numerous press appearances lately in an attempt to get out the message on coronavirus prevention.

    He did, however, answer a question about those conspiracy theories in a televised interview with Chinese broadcast channel GCTN.

    “I’d say it’s ironic that you take someone who’s doing their best to get the world ready and putting, in my case, billions of dollars into these tools for infectious diseases, and really trying to solve broadly infectious diseases — including those that cause pandemics,” Gates said. “But we’re in a crazy situation, so there’s going to be crazy rumors.”

    Read the original article on Business Insider

  • 10 African Countries Have No Ventilators At All. That’s Only Part of the Problem.

    10 African Countries Have No Ventilators At All. That’s Only Part of the Problem.

    By New York Times.

    South Sudan, a nation of 11 million, has more vice presidents (five) than ventilators (four). The Central African Republic has three ventilators for its five million people. In Liberia, which is similar in size, there are six working machines — and one of them sits behind the gates of the United States Embassy.

    In all, fewer than 2,000 working ventilators have to serve hundreds of millions of people in public hospitals across 41 African countries, the World Health Organization says, compared with more than 170,000 in the United States.

    Ten countries in Africa have none at all.

    Glaring disparities like these are just part of the reason people across Africa are steeling themselves for the coronavirus, fearful of outbreaks that could be catastrophic in countries with struggling health systems.

    The gaps are so entrenched that many experts are worried about chronic shortages of much more basic supplies needed to slow the spread of the disease and treat the sick on the continent — things like masks, oxygen and, even more fundamentally, soap and water.

    Clean running water and soap are in such short supply that only 15 percent of sub-Saharan Africans had access to basic hand-washing facilities in 2015, according to the United Nations. In Liberia, it is even worse — 97 percent of homes did not have clean water and soap in 2017, the U.N. says.

    “The things that people need are simple things,” said Kalipso Chalkidou, the director of global health policy at the Center for Global Development, a research group. “Not high-tech things.”

    Estimated number of ventilators as of Apr. 17

    Country

    Ventilators

    Persons per ventilator

    Somalia

    0

    DR Congo

    5

    20,356,053

    Mali

    3

    6,517,799

    Madagascar

    6

    4,492,623

    South Sudan

    4

    2,640,311

    Central African Republic

    3

    1,996,952

    Burkina Faso

    11

    1,894,127

    Nigeria

    169

    1,266,440

    Malawi

    17

    1,246,861

    Niger

    20

    1,138,618

    Burundi

    12

    988,818

    Zimbabwe

    16

    909,145

    Mozambique

    34

    885,241

    Senegal

    20

    786,818

    Uganda

    55

    786,418

    Liberia

    7

    724,757

    Sudan

    80

    569,519

    Sierra Leone

    13

    509,610

    Namibia

    10

    263,007

    Kenya

    259

    206,672

    Ethiopia

    557

    194,099

    Ghana

    200

    146,701

    Libya

    350

    19,687

    Source: New York Times reporting; International Rescue Committee; Norwegian Refugee Council; The CIA World Factbook.
    Though limited testing means it is impossible to know the true scale of infections on the continent, several African countries report growing outbreaks. A snapshot of the situation on Friday showed that Guinea’s cases were doubling every six days; Ghana’s, every nine. South Africa had more than 2,600 cases; Cameroon, nearly 1,000.

    Of course, there are big disparities among Africa’s 55 countries, too. Ventilators are much more plentiful in South Africa, which has a big economy and a relatively strong health infrastructure, than in Burkina Faso, one of the earliest West African countries to be hit by the coronavirus. At last count, it had 11 ventilators for 20 million people.

    And not all African countries want it known how few ventilators they have. For some, this information could have “a lot of political implications,” including criticism of their management of health systems, according to Benjamin Djoudalbaye, head of health diplomacy and communication for the Africa Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

    ImageUsing hand sanitizer before entering the Assemblies of God Church in Burkina Faso’s capital, Ouagadougou, in March.
    Credit…Finbarr O’Reilly for The New York Times

    The Africa C.D.C. has been trying to amass data on how many ventilators and intensive care units each country has, so it can model what needs will arise if there is an explosion of cases. But even collecting the data is not easily “attainable and extremely expensive,” Mr. Djoudalbaye said.

    The World Health Organization said last week that there were fewer than 5,000 intensive care beds across 43 of Africa’s 55 countries — amounting to about five beds per million people, compared with about 4,000 beds per million in Europe. But the numbers in Africa are so unclear — the data is a scattershot representation of the continent — that there is no way of knowing for sure, Mr. Djoudalbaye says.

    Across Africa, there have been efforts to get ventilators. Ecowas, the union of West African countries, is trying to get hold of them to distribute to its member states. On April 1, Nigeria’s finance ministry appealed to Elon Musk on Twitter — before deleting its message — admitting that Africa’s most populous nation needed support and asking for at least 100. Jack Ma, the Chinese billionaire, says he is donating 500 to the continent.

    ImageThough testing is limited, several African countries are reporting rapidly growing outbreaks.
    Credit…Jerome Delay/Associated Press

    Liberia has ordered another 20, according to Eugene Nagbe, the minister of information. But global demand is so high, he said, that vendors are the ones calling the shots, and it is difficult to compete with more powerful nations.

    “We keep fighting with our neighbors and the big countries. Even having a contract is not a guarantee we’re going to get a supply,” Mr. Nagbe said. One vendor, after entering a contract, turned around and hiked the price from the agreed-upon $15,000 per ventilator to $24,000, he added.

    Getting more ventilators to African countries is not enough, though. Trained medical personnel are also needed to run the machines, as well as a reliable electricity supply and piped oxygen. These are things taken for granted in most European and American hospitals, but are frequently absent in health facilities across the African continent.

    ImageHabtamu Kehali provides training for doctors on how to use mechanical ventilators for coronavirus patients at the American Medical Center in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
    Credit…Michael Tewelde/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

    “Only around 3 percent of patients will require ventilators,” said Kibrom Gebreselasie, a pulmonary and critical care specialist at a hospital in Mekele, Ethiopia. “But 20 percent of patients are severely ill. That means around 20 percent of patients will require oxygen. Oxygen is the most important thing.”

    The hospital where Mr. Kibrom works, the Ayder Comprehensive Hospital, has two oxygen plants. One is broken.

    Help has come from an unexpected quarter: Velocity Apparelz, a nearby denim factory. Under normal circumstances, garment manufacturers produce oxygen to use in the bleaching process, so the local health authority asked them to step in. Hospitals and health authorities across the continent are having to think of solutions like this.

    The prospect of a devastating pandemic has led many African governments to take serious measures. Some imposed curfews and travel restrictions when only a few dozen cases in their countries had been confirmed.

    And before officials knew of any confirmed cases, airports in Niger and Mali were taking passengers’ temperatures and contact information in case they needed to be traced. Every morning in Senegal, the health minister gives a live update on Facebook.

    ImageMoving boxes of protective equipment at Bole International Airport in Addis Ababa.
    Credit…Samuel Habtab/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

    The crisis has shown that Africa needs to be self-reliant, said Amy Niang, a lecturer in international relations at South Africa’s University of the Witwatersrand.

    “The brutal withdrawal of the U.S. of its contributions to the W.H.O., and the management of the crisis more globally, is a stark reminder that Africa’s faith in multilateralism has become untenable,” she said.

    One positive legacy of the West African Ebola outbreak of the last decade was the founding of the Africa C.D.C., which together with the World Health Organization’s Africa branch has been widely praised for a coordinated approach to tackling the pandemic.

    But leadership can go only so far.

    “The main thing is how can we scale up capacity — at least for some of the basic treatment — and how can we detect earlier?” said Michel Yao, emergency operations program manager in the W.H.O.’s regional office for Africa.

    In recent years, Nigeria has struggled to cope with outbreaks of Lassa fever, measles and polio. The Democratic Republic of Congo has failed to bring its current Ebola outbreak to an end. Malaria, a disease that is relatively simple to treat, kills hundreds of thousands across the continent every year.

    And the state of public health systems in many African countries is bad enough that many people will not go to a hospital at all, feeling that it is a place of last resort.

    “Everyone doesn’t feel like the health system is made for them to get better in,” said Adia Benton, an anthropologist at Northwestern University whose focuses include global health. Often in Sierra Leone, where she has worked extensively, people go to a hospital to die, Ms. Benton said — and this will not change with the coronavirus outbreak.

    “There are a lot of people who are going to just be sick and in bed. And so what will you be doing for those folks? What kinds of palliation will be provided? Will communities be able to come together to offer painkillers, fever reducers, expectorants, decongestants — things like that?”

    It wasn’t supposed to be this way. At a United Nations conference on primary health care back in 1978, the Health for All initiative was launched. One of its goals was to tackle the gross inequality in global health, particularly between developed and developing nations.

    Enthusiastically welcomed by African governments, it never took off. The rise of free market capitalism in the 1980s, several experts say, changed the notion that states should be responsible for providing health care to every citizen.

    This past week, in an impassioned letter to African leaders calling for health workers’ status to be enhanced and hospital infrastructure upgraded, 88 intellectuals from across the continent returned to the idea of universal health care.

    “Health has to be conceived as an essential public good,” they said.

  • South Sudan Has Only 4 Ventilators And 24 ICU Beds For A Population Of 12 Million People

    South Sudan Has Only 4 Ventilators And 24 ICU Beds For A Population Of 12 Million People

    As coronavirus is rapidly spreading across the world and countries are scrambling to buy life-saving equipment, health experts have warned that the virus could devastate the regions that lack healthcare equipment and infrastructure.

    During such unprecedented times, South Sudan, which has a population of 12 million people, has just four ventilators and 24 ICU beds, according to data from the International Rescue Committee (IRC). With healthcare systems grappling to contain the virus outbreak, COVID-19 cases have topped 2.3 million globally.

    While South Sudan has one ventilator for every three million people, the IRC also reported that Burkina Faso has 11 ventilators, Sierra Leone 13, and Central African Republic 3. According to the data, Venezuela also has only 84 ICU beds for a population of 32 million, and 90 per cent of hospitals face shortages of medicine and critical supplies.

    While speaking to an international media outlet, Elinor Raikes, who is the vice president and head of program delivery for IRC, said that the organisation has seen how the pandemic has quickly overwhelmed health systems in countries with relatively advanced health systems.

    ‘Economic and social devastation’

    Elinor said that there is an immediate cause for concern about how it would quickly overwhelm countries with weaker health systems. According to WHO, found one in every five people who catch the virus need hospital care and one region under close watch is Africa, which has already recorded more than 12,400 cases.

    The regional director for Africa at WHO, Dr Matshidiso Moeti, reportedly said that the virus has the potential not only to cause thousands of deaths but to also ‘unleash economic and social devastation’.

    Last week, WHO also reported that there are fewer than 2,000 functional ventilators in 41 African countries and the total number of available intensive care unit beds in 43 countries is less than 5,000. Authorities are also concerned about the high prevalence of tuberculosis, HIV, malaria and diabetes in the region.

    Moreover, healthcare workers and experts are also concerned that the virus will hit a vulnerable population that is already dealing with complex needs.

    Meanwhile, coronavirus, which originated in China in December 2019, has now claimed over 160,000 lives worldwide as of April 19. According to the tally by an international news agency, the pandemic has now spread to 210 countries and territories and has infected more than 2.3 million people.

    Out of the total infections, more than 600,000 have recovered but the easily spread virus is continuing to disrupt many lives. Major cities have been put under lockdown in almost all countries including Spain, and the economy is struggling.

  • How Safe Are Covid-19 Testing Kits Coming To Africa As European Countries Flag Coronavirus Contaminated Supplies From China

    How Safe Are Covid-19 Testing Kits Coming To Africa As European Countries Flag Coronavirus Contaminated Supplies From China

    Having been declared a pandemic, Covid19 is giving countries sleepless nights. It happens that China is the large if not the only country supplying the world with medical supplies from testing kits, PPEs and other remedial medicines for the coronavirus.

    As countries rush against time to prevent catastrophic deaths, there’s yet another huddle, quality and accuracy of the Covid19 testing kits. As a curbing measure, governments are embarking on mass testing and isolation of infected to cut the spread chain.

    In a most shocking development, several countries have reported that testing kits, protective equipment and medical devices sent to them to combat COVID-19 were itself found to be contaminated with Coronavirus. Meanwhile, in the US the lab authorized to make coronavirus testing kits itself was found to be contaminated with coronavirus. As secret services have launched a worldwide Intelligence War over Coronavirus related medical supplies, the widespread contamination of the coronavirus testing kits poses a serious concern.

    Last week, the UK disclosed that key components of the coronavirus testing kit the UK government had ordered from China were contaminated with the coronavirus itself! On Monday, the 30th of March, 2020, laboratories across UK were warned that there would be a delay in the delivery of “probes and primers.”

    It was reported that the testing kits were sent from China and were found to be contaminated with the coronavirus when they were being surveyed by a Luxembourg-based company, Eurofins Scientific.

    Eurofins admitted to the contamination saying, “We are aware that contaminations of the nature you mentioned have been observed by several primers and probes manufacturers around the world after they produced SARS-COV2 positive controls. ‘Those initial problems can be easily resolved by proper cleaning and production segregation procedures.” A positive control enables assessment of new test’s ability to detect a disease.

    In was in its February 2019 annual report, that Eurofin Scientific’s CEO Gilles G. Martin claimed, that the firm was already capable of handling coronavirus-stricken operations. “Eurofins food testing laboratories in China have already developed testing methods for SARS 2-CoV to help manufacturers resume their business activities.” He also spoke of how criminal cyber-attacks hit many of the Company’s laboratories in June of 2019.

    Why isn’t Eurofins being ratted out for such a horrific gaffe? The Company sent testing kits contaminated with coronavirus! Why aren’t its officials being taken in custody and questioned at the highest levels for putting millions of lives in danger?

    The curious case of undisclosed Contamination in US lab

    In early March, 2020, a senior federal scientist in America and the country’s Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issued shocking statements disclosing that the Atlanta laboratory of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) authorized to make the coronavirus testing kits was itself found to be contaminated. The background to this being that although the WHO had shipped its coronavirus testing kits worldwide to 57 other countries, the U.S. had decided to make its own.

    Timothy Stenzel, the Director of the CDC office of In Vitro Diagnostics and Radiological Health, was sent to the Atlanta lab on Feb 22 to help coordinate the administration’s coronavirus response. Surprisingly, the test specialist was stopped at CDC’s door and made to wait overnight, two individuals with knowledge of the episode told POLITICO. The scientist was granted permission to be on campus only after senior health department officials negotiated his access in a series of calls.

    After the episode, Stenzel found evidence that the lab was contaminated with coronavirus and reported it to the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS). It is unclear which senior health officials, at which agencies, knew about the CDC contamination and when they learned of them. HHS has convened a team of scientists from outside the CDC and launched an investigation into the matter.

    The Race for Medical Equipment

    Governments worldwide are geared up in a massive race for medical diagnostics, testing kits, treatment and vaccination efforts. Governments are engaging in covert intelligence operations related to coronavirus at the highest levels in the race to procure protective equipment and gear, called PPE (Protective Equipment Personal) in medical parlance, which are in great shortage.

    Such an evidently nightmarish situation, finding the coronavirus testing kits themselves contaminated with coronavirus in countries such as the U.S. and UK, raises many questions about not just the specific instance of sourcing, but the bigger geopolitical war-games being played out at an international level.

    In June of 2009, the World Health Organization (WHO) constituted an emergency committee of undisclosed individuals and declared the H1N1 outbreak a “pandemic,” which triggered Buy clauses on vaccination products from various developed countries. These purchases turned out to be not so necessary in the countries making the initial purchases, but fell short in countries which were most affected and couldn’t purchase them in time, resulting in soaring profits for vaccine makers – all down to the machinations of certain undisclosed decision makers!

    Government officials at JKIA to receive medical supplies from China.

    In Canada, a similar story emanates, Thousands of kits meant to screen for COVID-19 delivered to New Brunswick from a supplier in China were contaminated and can’t be used at this point.

    With endless red flags, Beijing is stepping up its oversight of exports of coronavirus test kits after several European countries complained about the accuracy of some Chinese-made tests.

    Chinese exporters of coronavirus tests must now obtain a registration certificate from the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) in order to be cleared by China’s customs, the NMPA said in a statement late on Tuesday.

    Beijing had been encouraging Chinese firms to export test kits and other supplies to help battle the coronavirus pandemic, leading to a surge of companies offering kits to countries desperate to get a handle on the fast-moving and highly contagious disease.

    Some Chinese test kit makers had been taking advantage of easier European Union regulations to get their products into the market before they were approved at home.

    In March, Lei Chaozi, an official with the Ministry of Education, said China-made testing kits had already been supplied to 11 countries, including the UK, Italy and the Netherlands.

    But the accuracy of some Chinese tests marketed overseas without Chinese approval have been questioned by European health authorities.

    Spain withdrew a batch of rapid tests manufactured by Chinese diagnostics firm Shenzhen Bioeasy Biotechnology after the product was found to have low sensitivity, which means they were unable to detect infection sufficiently.

    Bioeasy said in a statement that the inaccurate readings could be because samples were not collected and processed correctly. Bioeasy said it failed to adequately communicate with clients on how to use the test.

    Separately, a spokeswoman from China’s foreign ministry said last week that Slovak government officials had questioned the reliability of rapid tests purchased from China.

    The preliminary conclusion from the Chinese consulate in Slovakia was that the inaccuracies were the result of medical workers using the kit incorrectly, the spokeswoman said.

    ANTIGEN TESTS

    Bioeasy’s rapid tests, as well as the tests questioned by Slovak officials, are antigen tests, a method that targets the virus’ protein to detect infection and can deliver results more quickly than the alternative nucleic acid method.

    But antigen tests require higher level of virus load and therefore could fail to diagnose people correctly when the samples only contain small amount of virus, Dr. Chen Guangjie, an immunology professor at Shanghai Jiaotong University, told Reuters.

    New coronavirus test makers in China are entering the European market during a transition between two regulatory systems.

    A stricter rule will come into force in 2022 that will require many infectious disease diagnostic product manufacturers to follow procedures that can take up to a year or more to get a CE mark that indicates approval to be legally sold in European countries.

    Current regulations used by several Chinese companies allow manufacturers to obtain CE Mark after submitting a dossier of documents without compulsory verification by authorized third-parties.

    Now, China’s tightened scrutiny is interrupting test manufacturers’ overseas expansion plans.

    Xi’an Tianlong Science and Technology, a Chinese firm which received the CE Mark in March and has been in the process of churning out testing reagents that can supply tests for over one million people, told Reuters it now can’t meet its export orders.

    “Our reagents don’t have (NMPA) certificate and cannot be exported,” the company’s marketing director Feng Zhenzhen said, adding the firm is “actively” applying for Chinese regulator’s approval.

    Jam Chan, marketing general manager at Osmunda, a service firm that advises Chinese medical product firms on getting overseas approvals, said many recently developed tests in China haven’t gone through strict clinical trials, which means the self-declared accuracy rate printed on the products is not properly validated.

    “Better not exporting products than offering inaccurate products that can lead to fake results,” said Chan. “The quality of products that have been through domestic review before being exported is at least guaranteed to some extent.”

    The Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC) plans to distribute one million COVID-19 test kits from next week to help countries across the continent address a testing shortfall, according to the director of the African Union body.

    Official figures show that Africa has so far been hit less hard than other continents by COVID-19, the disease caused by the new coronavirus, with 911 known deaths and 3,546 registered recoveries among 17,247 confirmed cases.

    But limited testing in many countries has deprived African officials of a full picture of the disease’s spread.

    Nigeria, with nearly 200 million people, has conducted about 6,000 tests, while Ethiopia, with more than 100 million people, has conducted about 5,000, Kenya with 45M has conducted 10,000 tests.

    Health officials in various parts of the continent are also trying to assess equipment needs.

    While South Africa has about 1,500 ventilators – breathing machines that can be essential to saving patients in serious COVID-19 cases – there are 10 countries in Africa that have none at all.

    The World Health Organization has said fewer than 5,000 intensive care unit beds are available across 43 of the continent’s 54 countries, noting “This is about five beds per one million people in the reported countries compared to 4,000 beds per one million people in Europe.”

    Last week, African Union officials said countries on the continent are struggling to compete with wealthier states for testing kits and other equipment necessary to curb the spread of the coronavirus.

    In the backdrop of these developments, a question that is not getting an answer is just how safe and accurate are the kits coming to Africa are? Could Africa get a better deal than the duped European countries or shall be served with garbage? There’s no African government that has flagged any supply yet.

    “Two Companies from China sold fake COVID-19 test kit to UK for us£20m (Kshs. 2.12Billion). Recuperating PM Boris Johnson who had praised the kit is beyond embarrassed. Even Gov’ts like UK with world class scientists can be conned. Imagine miserable Africa.” Kenyan Lawyer Donald Kipkorir opined.

    Widespread testing—which even the United States has so far failed to implement—may well prove impossible for many African countries. Alternate strategies, such as social distancing, where possible, or restrictions on travel between urban and rural areas, and across national borders, may ultimately prove more effective in limiting the spread of COVID-19 across the population. Even if supply bottlenecks can be overcome—which would allow many African countries to exploit the existing expertise in contact tracing that has been developed during previous Ebola outbreaks—barriers to the distribution of test kits may prove too high.

    Additional reporting by Reuters.

  • The Recipe For Our Economy

    The Recipe For Our Economy

    BY JOBLESS MJAMAA N GEORGE

    Adapting to the fatal errors of covid-19 has made me utilize my unemployed mind by articulating workable strategies that will lower the heat during forthcoming harsh economic times. Am pissed by how we approach the pandemic by copy pasting method.

    Copying in an exam room didn’t do well neither will it work for Kenya, the world is sitting for this very exams and Africa is advantaged by the window period before wide spread. If you are copying, then paste everything.

    They have huge statutory reserves, we have debts, stable food stability, we import food, best health system with 1:1000 ICU facility we have 1:100000, not to mention the copied joke of self quarantine in uncontrolled jobless population.

    I do appreciate the shreds of tenderness and concerns by the government to its taxed citizens, but treating this article like our previous public cry for proactive approach at the airport as hullabaloo will be the gist of Kenyatta’s legacy.

    Dear President Kenyatta, an experienced finance minister. You have a number of analysts and advisors on payroll but take mine 4 free, copy pasting will fail us at 1000 infections figure. If we accept the facts, then we will stand strong to the occasion in the spirit of Harambee.

    We are playing myopic, putting 90 days projection to corona errors will leave us in a financial, social, economical and even spiritual quagmire (corona might overstay much longer and overwork our efforts).

    1st world countries are rolling strategies to rescue economy and social welfare. Curfews and lockdown are not exceptions even animals can testify to hibernation but it will attract high eating habits, low purchasing power with low production. Appling wrong strategies is playing zero sum game with the hungry population, the outcome is left for a pamper mind to explain.

    At 200 infections we have red indicators from the strategic food reserve SFR, what of the worst days to come. Solutions; short term viable option buy plenty of food before food price volatility index unfriend you, long run invest in water supply and agriculture like never before.

    Financial approach

    You need funds about half a trillion to manage the virus and rescue the economy for about 6-9 months. First (a) budget reallocation:cut costs and expenditure budget across the board up to counties,push for 30% salary cut in all civil servants apart from those active in corona errors (operate from non comfort resources zone).

    Second go for what we are good at (borrowing), external finance. Our GDP has leverage on lenders, eg IMF and World Bank. Debt management reviewed intrusively, possibly debt restructuring and sovereign default being viable options in line with United Nations article 2(4).

    Economic approach

    Private sector needs help during this financial distress that is leading to high layoffs. Being victims of the fundamental risks I expect proactive risk management to avoid moral hazard because main point isn’t the economic recession heat but the businesses we retain to propel recovery process.

    Giving affected sectors soft loans with reasonable tenure based on their recurrent expenditure minus salaries.

    Working out leasing contracts across the board with the landlords based on their latest tax file. e.g landlords reduce rents by 20%, collecting 50% from tenants then 30% will be claimed in tax relief after the period of distress.

    Take the entire employees and small scale business liabilities by approving 60% of their incomes as monthly soft loans based on their tax file. This will trigger multiplier effect and cash flow. With support of your fiscal policy, we have longtime immune the economy opposed to buying maize to feed people or issuing money, the government just can’t feed people for 6months it has small window for borrow and spend fiscal stimulus. During payments of the loans great capital will be realized.

    Is the strategy corrupt free?

    Yes, The process is corruption free as the bank and Kenya Revenue Authority are purely accountable. Huduma number could have worked well but let me not go there but use options at hand, have mention KRA PIN everywhere. KRA pin being main collateral becomes the new work permit in Kenya. The loan will follow the KRA pin at the convenience of the borrower getting another income.

    Loan risk management

    The Kenya Revenue Authority and bank being accountable will manage the lending process and risks. 10% interest can be realized to manage long term risks.

    NOTE: Based on Keynes theories approach, I have airtime to further discuss the known unknown, holistic thinking for the interest of the social welfare. Do Kenyans trust and have hope in the government?

  • Government Spent Sh800,000 In Treating Brenda As State Spends Sh1M On Every Covid-19 Patient

    Government Spent Sh800,000 In Treating Brenda As State Spends Sh1M On Every Covid-19 Patient

    Ever wondered how much the government is spending on treating coronavirus patients in the set care centers? Wonder no more, it’s emerging that on each patient, upto Sh.1M is used for their treatment and care.

    Dr. Samuel Njenga, an infectious disease expert at KNH, in an interview with the Nation, said it cost about Ksh.800,000 to keep Brenda Ivy Cherotich at Kenyatta Hospital for three weeks and Ksh.490,000 for Brian Orinda.

    Brenda and Brian were Kenya’s first and third COVID-19 patients and were pronounced fully recovered on April 2.

    With 16 new confirmed cases as of Saturday, Kenya’s cases now stands at 262 as ministry of health rolls out mass testing in targeted areas.

    According to Health ministry, Personal Protective Equipment(PPE) used by healthcare workers handling the patients swallows most of the share.

    Being a highly contagious virus, the PPEs are single used with one session taking about Sh20,000 and could go upto Sh140,000 on a day for a single patient. Most patients stay for not less than 14 days.

    Because these patients are out in isolation, the ward costs per night vary with days spent. Standard cost per night is Sh4,000. Beside, there’s the cost of food, medicine and other miscellaneous stuff.

    The new development of the total costs involved has also raised eyebrows amongst Kenyans whore ever suspicious of the government given the endless cases of corruption. “Red alert someone is preparing to steal and has sent this information kutupima akili.” One wrote.

    Steve: During this pandemic some people will become extremely rich, some will become extremely poor till they die of hunger, lack of medical treatments for other chronic or mild ailments (not covid-19). That’s the system that came about with capitalism

    Ken Japala: We haven’t had one single patient in Mbagathi dump on a ventilator. Lemon and paracetamol for 10 days in 1000 bob plus 300 bob per day is 3000 bob…..less than 5,000/=.

    Dee: It also take Ksh. 10,000 to buy a jerrican, Ksh. 109,320 for one wheelbarrow and Ksh. 435 for a pen. Nothing is too expensive for Kenya let them continue with the good job.

    Willy Obina: My kingsmen in kenya..who bewitched our leaders Kenyans are we this stupid?.last time I checked we only treat symptoms..ie with antibiotics..painkillers..not all patients use ventilators,ppl in quarantine is at their cost. Soon a revolution might come.

    Susuu: One person I know who apparently tested positive told me hajapewa hata panadol. She pays for accommodation and food obviously. I’m wondering where her 1 million is.

    Mister Drey: In depth study may even increase the amount trust me. You need not to be bitter at every info that sounds like scam.

    China on the other hand, is spending average $2,400 which is way below what Kenya is spending on every patient.

    China in early February announced that local government funds would cover the out-of-pocket part of the treatment costs for patients with novel coronavirus infections.

    Drugs and services included in the national treatment plan, such as the use of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation machines, which cost 60,000-100,000 yuan per day once activated, are all covered by the budget no matter whether they were in the medical security coverage or not before the epidemic, according to Xiong.  Netizens heatedly discussed the expenditure. Some said that the average bill is low as most of China’s COVID-19 patients had mild symptoms. Some others noted that the usage of traditional Chinese medicines is also part of the reasons as these medicines are cheaper than imported medicines.

    The medical bill for a US citizen infected with the novel coronavirus varied case by case, depending on whether the patient was insured and how serious the patient’s symptoms were, according to a Wall Street Journal report on March 22.

    For people in employer-based health insurance plans, the total cost for treating pneumonia with major complications exceeded $20,000 on average, and out-of-pocket costs for the patient was about $1,300 on average. Without any complications or comorbidities, the average cost was $9,763, with an average charge to the patient of $1,464, read the Wall Street Journal report.

    People enrolled in Medicare do not need to pay for the nucleic acid tests for COVID-19, but once they are confirmed with the disease, they will have to spend roughly the same amount of out-of-pocket money as employer-based plan enrollees for treatment. People under Medicaid have few out-of-pocket costs.

    Nearly half of US people are covered by employer-based medical insurance. About 20 percent had Medicaid, while 14 percent had Medicare. About 9 percent of its population, or 27 million US citizens, are not insured, according to US media reports.

    In the case of Kenya, it’s unclear if the government foots all the bills or insurance cover subsidizes.

  • Instead Of Just Arresting, This Policewoman Is Making And Giving Free Facemasks To Those Who Can’t Afford Them

    Instead Of Just Arresting, This Policewoman Is Making And Giving Free Facemasks To Those Who Can’t Afford Them

    A police constable based at Namelok Police station, Kajiado South has become a heroine in the area after issuing more than 500 masks to residents of Oloitokitok town.

    Constable  Rahab Kung’u said she went to a garment shop in Loitokitok town and bought clothing materials that she took to her tailor and produced hundreds of masks which she now takes around, giving to those who cannot afford.

    The masks are re-usable, thus one does not have to buy a new one, added Kung’u.

    The police officer urged her colleagues and other leaders from the area to step in and help those who cannot protect themselves against the global pandemic.

    She said she was driven by empathy to help the less fortunate members of the society and street children, after she found them while on routine patrol without masks thereby flouting a government directive as gazetted by  the Health Cabinet Secretary, Mutahi Kagwe.

    Kung’u said  while patrolling the streets of Oloitokitok she met many residents walking in public without the protective gears and that’s when she took it upon herself to provide them with masks using her own resources.

    “Majority of the residents can hardly afford the masks. I decided to assist them so that they can protect themselves from Coronavirus” she said.

    “I want others out there to be mindful of their neighbours’ welfare. We cannot all wait for the government to assist us. Whatever little you have can be of great help to others,” said Kung’u.

    A resident of the area, Anne Namunyak a resident lauded the officer for the kind gesture saying it was exemplary and should be emulated by others.

    “The action has truly indicated that some of our police officers are true servants of the people,” said Namunyak, a trader at Oloitokitok market.

    Meanwhile, a trader at the same market, Mercy Kamau has called upon the leaders from the area to come forth and assist in giving out masks to the general population so as to avert Covid-19 infection.

    “Most of our customers come from the rural areas where they don’t have the leisure of getting masks in their locality, therefore the leaders should chip in, so that locals are not denied access into the market or town,” she said.

    In a gazette notice published in the local dailies on Friday April 10, the government made it mandatory for one to wear a face mask in public.

    According to the gazette notice, users of public or private transport and PSV operators are also required to wear a proper mask that must cover the mouth and nose.

    Failure to wear a mask will attract a fine of Sh.20, 000 or face imprisonment for a period not exceeding six months or both.

    However, many Kenyans have complained about the high prices of masks urging the government to step in and supply masks for free.

  • COVID-19: UN Predicts 300,000 Deaths In Africa From The Pandemic

    COVID-19: UN Predicts 300,000 Deaths In Africa From The Pandemic

    The COVID-19 pandemic will likely kill at least 300,000 Africans and risks pushing 29 million into extreme poverty, the U.N. Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA) said on Friday, calling for a $100 billion safety net for the continent.

    Africa’s 54 countries have so far reported fewer than 20,000 confirmed cases of the disease, just a fraction of the more than two million cases reported globally. But the World Health Organization warned on Thursday that Africa could see as many as 10 million cases in three to six months.

    “To protect and build towards our shared prosperity at least $100 billion is needed to immediately resource a health and social safety net response,” the UNECA report stated.

    UNECA is also backing a call by African finance ministers for an additional $100 billion in stimulus, which would include a halt to all external debt service.

    The agency modelled four scenarios based on the level of preventive measures introduced by African governments.

    In the total absence of such interventions, the study calculated over 1.2 billion Africans would be infected and 3.3 million would die this year. Africa has a total population of around 1.3 billion.

    Most of Africa, however, has already mandated social distancing measures, ranging from curfews and travel guidelines in some countries to full lockdowns in others.

    Yet even its best-case scenario, where governments introduce intense social distancing once a threshold of 0.2 deaths per 100,000 people per week is reached, Africa would see 122.8 million infections, 2.3 million hospitalisations and 300,000 deaths.

    Combating the disease will be complicated by the fact that 36% of Africans have no access to household washing facilities, and the continent counts just 1.8 hospital beds per 1,000 people. France, in comparison, has 5.98 beds per 1,000 people.

    Africa’s young demographic – nearly 60% of the population is below the age of 25 – should help stave off the disease. On the other hand, 56 per cent of the urban population is concentrated in overcrowded slums and many people are also vulnerable due to HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis and malnutrition.

    Africa imports 94% of its pharmaceuticals, the report said, noting that at least 71 countries have banned or limited exports of certain supplies deemed essential to fight the disease.

    “In a best-case scenario … $44 billion would be required for testing, personal protective equipment, and to treat all those requiring hospitalisation,” it stated.

    However, that is money Africa does not have as the crisis could also shrink the continent’s economy by up to 2.6%.

    “We estimate that between 5 million and 29 million people will be pushed below the extreme poverty line of $1.90 per day owing to the impact of COVID-19,” the report said.

    Nigeria alone will lose between $14 billion and $19.2 billion in revenues from oil exports this year. And the prices of other African commodities exports have plummeted as well.

    Lockdowns in Europe and the United States also imperil Africa’s $15 billion in annual textile and apparel exports as well as tourism, which accounts for 8.5% of Africa’s GDP.

  • The WHO Wants Governments To Crackdown On Alcohol Consumption During Covid-19 Outbreak

    The WHO Wants Governments To Crackdown On Alcohol Consumption During Covid-19 Outbreak

    The World Health Organization said that consuming alcohol raises your risk of contracting COVID-19 and will also make matters worse if you do get infected. They are asking governments around the world to limit their citizens access to alcohol for the duration of the pandemic.

    “Alcohol compromises the body’s immune system and increases the risk of adverse health outcomes,” according to the WHO’s European website. The site also note that Europe has a particularly high rate of alcohol consumption.

    One of the WHO’s concerns is that alcohol consumption can aggravate preexisting mental health conditions. It can also increase the likelihood of risk-taking behaviour and in some cases lead to violence, which is a particular concern for the countries that have brought in social distancing measures that force their populations to stay at home.

    The WHO also set out to clear up the “dangerous myth that consuming high-strength alcohol can kill” the coronavirus, publishing a fact sheet to disprove it. They say that alcohol contributes to about 3 million death annually and that those numbers are likely to increase with the pandemic ramping up consumption.

    “Therefore, people should minimize their alcohol consumption at any time, and particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic,” the website said.

    Conversely, in the United States, people are buying in bulk. Alcohol sales have gone up 22 percent for the week ending March 28 when compared to the same week a year ago. There has also been an increase of Americans drinking at home.

    WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus spoke about ways to limit stress and anxiety during quarantine last month. “It’s normal to feel stressed, confused and scared during a crisis. Talking to people you know and trust can help,” said Tedros. “And try not to read or watch too much news if it makes you anxious. Get your information from reliable sources once or twice a day.”

    “During this difficult time, it’s important to continue looking after your physical and mental health. This will not only help you in the long term, it will also help you fight COVID-19 if you get it,” said Tedros.

  • Bill And Melinda Gates Commits Additional $150M To Help Fight Covid-19 After Trump Pulled Out WHO Funding

    Bill And Melinda Gates Commits Additional $150M To Help Fight Covid-19 After Trump Pulled Out WHO Funding

    The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation on Wednesday rolled out a series of expanded measures including an additional 150 million U.S. dollars to combat COVID-19 globally.

    According to the announcement, the added funds will finance the development of diagnostics, therapeutics, and vaccines, as well as new efforts to provide partners in Africa and South Asia with resources to scale their COVID-19 detection, treatment, and isolation efforts, the announcement said.

    Furthermore, the foundation will also leverage a portion of its 2.5 billion Strategic Investment Fund, which uses a suite of financial tools to address market failures and incentivize private enterprise to develop affordable and accessible health products, the foundation said.

    In announcing the funding, the foundation called on world leaders to unite in a global response to COVID-19 to ensure equitable access to diagnostics, treatments, and vaccines.

    “We have a responsibility to meet this global crisis with global solidarity,” said Gates Foundation co-chair Melinda Gates.

    “The world community must understand that so long as COVID-19 is somewhere, we need to act as if it were everywhere. Beating this pandemic will require an unprecedented level of international funding and cooperation,” said foundation Co-chair Bill Gates.

    The foundation identified four priority areas for investment including accelerating virus detection, protecting the most vulnerable, minimizing social and economic impact and developing products for a sustained response, and cooperating with national governments and international organizations such as the World Health Organization and the United Nations Children’s Fund.

    The newly announced funding builds on the 100 million dollars the foundation has committed to date to support the global response.

  • Masinde Muliro University Starts Production Of Anti-Covid-19 Chemicals

    Masinde Muliro University Starts Production Of Anti-Covid-19 Chemicals

    The Department of Pure and Applied Chemistry at Masinde Muliro University of Science and Technology has started production of hand washing soap, sanitisers, chlorine and disinfectants to boost the fight against Coronavirus in Kakamega County.

    The University’s Acting Vice Chancellor (VC) Prof. Solomon Shibairo said they are using the chemistry laboratory to produce over 1,000 litres of the various chemical solutions that would then be given to the county government for distribution to the residents.

    Prof Shibairo is however appealing to well-wishers to chip in to enable the university purchase reagents saying the institution has the capacity of producing over 2,000 litres of the solutions a day.

    The don highlighted the importance of devising homegrown solutions in combating the Covid-19 pandemic adding external assistance is at the moment unreliable.
    The VC added that the institution is collaborating with the county government to train health workers and training of trainers (TOTs) to ensure that the pandemic is contained.

    “We have formed a Covid-19 rapid response team consisting of teachers, students and other staff which is working closely with the county government to enhance surveillance and response across the county,” he stated.

    The university’s head of the Covid-19 response team, who doubles up as the Dean School of Nursing midwifery, Prof John Okoth said some of the institution’s facilities would be used as isolation centers.

    He also disclosed that a plan is underway to set aside a Covid-19 patients-only hospital to separate the suspected Coronavirus cases from the rest of patients.

  • Siaya’s Covid-19 Victim Family Sues To Have His Body Exhumed And Accorded Decent Burial

    Siaya incident continues to take turns given the many questions that surrounds it. The family from the onset has been at loggerheads with the government over the manners in which the burial was held.

    The late KPA worker had passed away last Friday and later on found to have been as a result of Covid19. He would later be hurriedly buried on Sunday morning as the family was making a coffin to beat the deadline as outlined by the government.

    He was buried in a body bag in a shallow dug grave. The manner in which this was conducted ignited fire amongst many Kenyans and their leaders who said it was done without dignity to human life.

    Siaya Senator Orengo had instituted a legal team made of LSK Chairman Nelson Havi to look into the matter. It has now been confirmed that the son and of Siaya Covid-19 victim James Oyugi Onyango have sued to exhume body they’re also demand autopsy and decent burial.

    The family has reiterated that they were never involved in the burial arrangements and neither was there an autopsy done on the body to determine the real cause of his death.

  • Kilifi DG Saburi Finally Released From Jail

    Kilifi DG Saburi Finally Released From Jail

    Having spent more than 15 days behind bars, the Kilifi Deputy Governor Gideon Saburi is finally a free man after Mombasa court released him on a Sh200,000 cash bail or alternative of Sh500,000 bond

    The court directed him to self quarantine for 14 days, deposit all his travel documents and have no interaction with witnesses in the case.

    His lawyer Kithii has argued that there wasn’t any compelling reason to keep holding him given that he wasn’t at a flight risk. Kenya has since cancelled all international flights as a measure of curbing the transmission of the deadly Covid19 virus.

    Saburi is accused of breaching Section 28 (a) of the Public Health Act, which states that: “Any person who while suffering from any infectious disease, willfully exposes himself without proper precautions against spreading the said disease in any street, public place, shop, inn or public conveyance, or enters any public conveyance without previously notifying the owner, conductor or driver thereof that he is so suffering, shall be guilty of an offence and liable to a fine not exceeding thirty thousand shillings or to imprisonment for a term not exceeding three years or to both.”

    Through his lawyer, Saburi has denied ever having tested positive for the Covid19. However, according to the Prosecution, he was tested positive by KEMRI and later on negative according to medical documents tabled by his lawyer.

  • Muslims Issue Covid-19 Burial Protocol For Faithfuls

    Muslims Issue Covid-19 Burial Protocol For Faithfuls

    The National Muslim Covid-19 Response Team has initiated procedures of handling bodies of victims who die of coronavirus, and how their funeral prayers and burial should be conducted.

    Chairman of the Response Team, Prof. Muhammad Karama, said the team has also put in place a team of volunteers in Nairobi, Mombasa, Eldoret, Nakuru and Bungoma handle cases if victims who die from the virus.
    “The volunteers with appropriate personal protection equipment will provide assistance in the handling of the deceased cases and ensure that the bodies of Muslims are wrapped in white sheets and placed in a biodegradable sealed body bags before being transported to the burial areas,” said Prof. Karama.

    Speaking at a press briefing at the Jamia Mosque in Nairobi, Monday, attended and addressed by Imams, scholars and Muslim medical professionals, he said Muslims who die of COVID-19 will not be subjected to the ritual washing procedures in order to prevent infection and spread of the disease.

    “We appeal to Muslims throughout the country to adhere to the government directive to prevent the spread of Covid-19, and to avoid the ritual of washing of bodies of victims confirmed to have died of coronavirus,” said Karama.

    “In the event of a death caused by the virus, either at the hospital or at home, a team from the National Muslim Covid-19 Response Committee will be at hand to provide the necessary assistance regarding the handling of the bodies, transportation and burial procedures,” he said.

    Karama also called on Muslims to report all home deaths through the toll free number 719 for government assessment before the identified teams engage in the burial procedures.

    At the same time, Prof. Karama announced that a team of psychiatrists and psychologists has been put in place to provide counseling and psycho-social support to the families of the deceased.

    The Chairman is also coordinating with scholars and Imams in Mombasa while the Supreme Council of Kenya Muslims will play a coordinating role in ensuring that the information is cascaded to the counties.

    He said the response team is sensitizing the Muslim community in the country about the coronavirus pandemic, with emphasis on adherence to all precautionary measures put in place by the government in containing and fighting Covid-19.

    Karama added that various committees have been put in place to facilitate preparedness and management of the effects of the pandemic, and their role will include body handling, janazah (burial) welfare and resource mobilization, home based care, and psycho-socio support.

    The Chairman also urged the government to provide special consideration to Muslims to feed the less fortunate during the forthcoming holy month of Ramadhan which is due in less than two weeks.

    Prof. Karama said Muslims have already made arrangements on how the food distribution will be conducted, saying that a team of volunteers will distribute the food directly to the homes of the beneficiaries while adhering to protocols put in place by the Ministry of Health to curb the spread of Covid-19.

    The National team thanked doctors, nurses and other medical practitioners who are at the frontline in trying to save the lives of those afflicted with COVID-19.

    National Muslim Covid-19 Response Team was formed with the aim of complementing the efforts of the government and the Ministry of Health in addressing the challenges of Covid-19 pandemic in the country.

    The Team comprises of Islamic scholars, Imams and representatives from different mosques, Muslim organizations and the Kenya Association of Muslim Medical Professionals.

  • From Calm To Confusion: How Kenya’s Covid-19 Frontman Lost His Sheen

    From Calm To Confusion: How Kenya’s Covid-19 Frontman Lost His Sheen

    By Issac Otidi Amuke

    The last few weeks have been a real baptism of fire for Mutahi Kagwe. Kenya’snewly-appointed Cabinet Secretary for Health took office two weeks before the country’s first confirmed coronaviruscase. But, as he revealed during his vetting, he anticipated what awaited him. For Kagwe, the question was when not if COVID-19 would affect Kenya. And so, when it did, the 62-year-old politician hit the ground running, taking charge of government communications in its pandemic response.

    Kagwe’s initial media briefing was on 13 March. Results from the National Influenza Centre laboratories indicated that COVID-19 had found its way into Kenya. Two days later, and with two more cases confirmed, Kagwe was joined by President Uhuru Kenyatta who addressed the nation for the first time regarding the virus. However, as infection numbers increased, Kagwe became the default face of government, steering the National Emergency Response Committee.

    Throughout his pressers, Kagwe spoke with the authoritativeness of a trusted broadcaster, giving little in terms of emotion. He quickly established camaraderie with the press, presenting himself as firm yet accessible. Many Kenyans came to associate Kagwe’s steady baritone with a sense of national reassurance, such that Kenyatta’s absences went unnoticed.

    A response unravels

    When the president did make an occasional appearance, it tended to either elicit ridicule or a lukewarm response. The goodwill for government that Kagwe had accrued started chipping away. The health secretary could talk the talk, but as the situation became more serious the government was struggling to walk the walk.

    As the public awaited the announcement of substantive measures to contain the outbreak on 23 March, for instance, Kenyatta instead used his address to reveal that the government was working with telecoms companies to provide free internet. On 26 March, when the president announced a nationwide dusk-to-dawn curfew, his seeming lack of clarity on its implementation left room for mischief. The police took his order to mean they could be a law unto themselves, going by how much violencethey meted out on workers who weren’t home by 7pm. The president later apologised for what he described as “some excesses that were conducted”.

    On 5 April, he gave an even more puzzling address. Announcing that he was stopping all traffic into or out of Nairobi, the president’s message was instead widely (mis)understood to mean he was halting all movement within the city. It took the intervention of his chief-of-staff Nzioka Waita later that day to set the record straight. As if wanting to dig himself deeper, Kenyatta followed his obtuse speech with an exclusive interview to a number of Kikuyu FM stations, as if to say he only needed to reach his home base at such a time of national reckoning. It again prompted a commotion on social media.

    On 9 April, Kenya’s deputy president William Ruto – whose relationship with the centre of power has gone frosty and who hadn’t made a single public appearance since COVID-19 hit Kenya – also got involved. He gave what has been considered an unnecessary press conference at his Nairobi residence, simply regurgitating what Kagwe and Kenyatta had already said.

    It was up to Kagwe to steady the ship, but he too started running into headwinds. Frustrated by a lack of adherence to government directives, he read the riot act to Kenyans for their alleged indiscipline. Critics complained against the state for not doing enough while expecting the earth from its citizens. Another time, Kagwe said responsibility for tackling COVID-19 lay at the feet of Kenya’s youth. This too drew anger from many who questioned what the government has done for the youth for it to now call on them.

    A few more missteps later, including complaints of the government’s poorly coordinated mandatory quarantine programme, Kagwe started declining to take questions from the press after his updates. It was burdensome to carry the weight of an entire government on one’s shoulders.

    Reassuring words, troubling actions

    Before Kagwe’s appointment, Kenyatta’s blue-eyed boy was Interior Minister Fred Matiangi, a man known for his forthrightness rather than amiability. The president’s other fixer was George Magoha, a former University of Nairobi vice-chancellor with a similar by-all-means-necessary demeanour.

    It seems that public figures like these had set the bar for government public relations so low that when Kagwe showed up and did the bare minimum, the country took notice. Their tendency towards seeming heavy-handedness perhaps also made the softer approach of Kagwe come across as affable and competent by comparison; for the early praise he garnered, he didn’t really do anything more than keep his cool and communicate clearly.

    As the coronavirus has continued to spread, however, this has counted for less and less. With cases increasing – with 216 infections, 41 recoveries, 9 deaths and an estimated 6,000 tested according to the latest figures – it has become sadly apparent how little Kagwe’s reassuring mannerisms matter.

    Especially in exceptional, uncertain and challenging times such as these, trust in the government is earned through actions not words. And unless the governments puts urgent measures in place – especially to support low-income earners and provide the health sector with the life-saving equipment and facilities they need – neither Kagwe’s nor any other minister’s star quality will mean much at all. The health secretary may have projected an aura of competence, but it is actual policy that counts.

    Isaac Otidi Amuke is a Kenyan writer and journalist.

    Original version of this article was first published on African Arguments.

  • Fresh Details Emerge From Siaya Covid19 Case

    Fresh Details Emerge From Siaya Covid19 Case

    As of Wednesday the government had traced and isolated 64 persons who had direct contacts with Mr. Oyugi who had passed away at Matibabu Hospital in Ukwala. Fear that had gripped the village is being handled with the authorities assuring that they’re on top of the game.

    A team of health officials from Nairobi was sent to Siaya. The team, which included Ministry of Health acting Director-General Patrick Amoth, visited the home of late Kenya Ports Authority employee James Oyugi Onyango.

    While the contact tracing and isolation continues, another case has tested positive from the five samples taken from the quarantine in KMTC, Siaya.

    14 additional samples had also been taken to KEMRI in Kisumu and the results expected to be announced today.

    Goverment is appealing to those who might have had contacts with the late either primarily or secondary to come out and test voluntarily in an effort to minimize the spread of the virus which poses a high risk.

    In other news, Siaya Senator James Orengo has tasted the Health CS to give answers to the cause of the death and the justification for the undignified burial that irked the nation and left the family traumatized. Oyugi was buried in a body bag in the wee hours of Sunday contrary to the acceptable cultural practices of the Luos.

    Siaya has been mapped out as an hotspot and a mass Covid19 exercise set to take place during the coming days. The second case of eruption from the KPA follows yet another in Ugunja where the priest from Rome held a mass. He had since recovered from the virus and in custody as he faces charges for putting at risk the health of the public.

  • Covid-19: Apple Releases Budget iPhone SE Priced At $399

    Covid-19: Apple Releases Budget iPhone SE Priced At $399

    (Reuters) – Apple Inc on Wednesday released a smaller iPhone priced at $399, cutting the starting price for the company’s smartphone line in a move to broaden its appeal to budget-conscious customers as the coronavirus hobbles the global economy.

    The lower-cost model could also attract more consumers to Apple services, a growing driver of revenue. Shares of Apple fell 1.1%, less than the 2.8% decline of the S&P 500 index.

    The iPhone SE, available April 24, is the second generation of a previous value model. It will start at $50 less than what was previously the cheapest iPhone available, the $449 iPhone 8, which will be retired. The SE comes with a 4.7-inch display and the same processor chip as Apple’s most advanced phone, the 11 Pro. The SE lacks 5G capability and Apple’s facial recognition system to unlock the device, instead relying on a fingerprint sensor similar to older models.

    The announcement comes as the United States and much of the world is reeling from the novel coronavirus, although U.S. political leaders have begun to talk about ending stay-at-home orders and restarting the economy, hoping record deaths and falling hospitalizations represent a peak.

    Every previous iPhone has been unveiled in a polished presentation in front of fans, but large events remain banned in Apple’s home base of Santa Clara County, California, where public officials ordered the first lockdowns in the United States to slow the spread of the novel coronavirus.

    Apple’s cheaper phone reflects the coronavirus-driven economic downturn and job loss.

    The cheaper phone enters a cut-throat market for value phones, especially in China, where Apple derives about 17% of sales. While the new iPhone adds features such as wireless charging and a high-end camera, it lacks connectivity for 5G, the next generation of mobile data networks. In China, rivals such as Xiaomi Corp (1810.HK) last month announced models with 5G features starting at about $425.

    With wavering hardware sales, Apple has been investing in subscription services such as its Apple TV+ streaming television service, Apple Music and iCloud. The new SE will come bundled with a one free year of the streaming television service, similar to Apple’s flagship devices released last fall.

    Apple said in January that it had 1.5 billion active installed devices and 480 million subscribers to both its own and third-party paid services, compared with 1.4 billion devices and 360 million subscribers a year earlier.

    The company also set out a goal to reach 600 million paid subscribers by the end of calendar 2020.

    The coronavirus has created a volatile start to the year. Sales in China, the first nation hit by the virus, plunged, then rebounded as the country began to reopen. Sales of 500,000 phones in February rose to 2.5 million phones in March, according to government sales data there.

    Apple will begin selling the new model online while its stores around the world are closed, except those within its greater China sales region. Apple will start taking orders for the phone on its website on Friday, with delivery of devices expected to start April 24.

    Apple gets about 31% of its sales from its elegant stores and website, with 69% coming from partners such as mobile carriers and other retailers. Apple said partners would decide whether to sell the phones in their physical stores. Many of Apple’s resellers are trying to guide customers toward online sales. Major partners such as Best Buy Inc have reduced their hours, and AT&T Inc has closed about 40% of its U.S. retail stores.

  • Is Coronavirus A Decoy For The New World Order?

    Is Coronavirus A Decoy For The New World Order?

    By David Kedode

    Praise God, you who is reading this article, I know it’s long but this should be an eye opening for us. But before we read, let’s pray: “Our Father in Heaven we thank you for this season, thank you for bringing us into this season to see the fulfilment of your word, as my readers read this article, let it inspire and open their eyes. I bless you, for it’s in Jesus name I pray, Amen.

    Today, our world is faced with an unprecedented crisis. What started out as fear over the Coronavirus has turned into a power grab by the world’s nations and organizations. In order to understand the dilemma we face, we must understand how we arrived at this point in world history.

    Before we proceed, I want to make this clear that Coronavirus is a real virus that has killed people and it’s still killing though it’s kill rate for those infected by it is 2% and that’s why we have referred to this as a manufactured crisis. It should also be noted that this is not about one nation making a power play over another, this is about globalization.

    As we begin this critical discussion, I want you to understand everything I will outline documents and explains coordinated global efforts. I guarantee you, as a result of the Coronavirus pandemic, our nation and world will forever change. In the very least, we will see further erosion of our freedoms and rights. In order to understand this, we must understand historical events to make sense of today.

    While the League of Nations was formed after the World War 1, it was not until the mid-1940s that globalism truly began to rear its ugly head. The League of Nations gave rise to the United Nations, and just months before, a new financial system was established, known as the Bretton Woods Agreement and Systems. This new system was designed to“promote international trade and development” and brought us the International Monetary Fund and World Bank. While Bretton Woods was dissolved, the system it established lived on.

    This is important to understand, a world crisis gave rise to a completely new global financial order that forever changed the world. Of course, these new global entities were funded by the nations of the world, with the United States providing 30% of their annual budgets.

    We should note, since the founding of these and other global organizations, there has never been another World War. Further, the main conflicts we have witnessed have been against nations that have not complied with the new financial order that was established back in the mid-1940s.

    Summary: History has proven, people will accept just about anything for a perceived peace. They will accept new financial systems and much more if they perceive the alternative will negatively affect them.

    On this date, 09/11/2001 the nation and world forever changed. That morning, terrorists hijacked airliners and crashed them into the Twin Towers in New York, or so the official story explained. This event became the catalyst for the “War on Terrorism” and the massive expansion of the U.S. Government which diminished the rights of the people.

    Americans easily conceded to new sweeping regulations all in the name of peace and safety. The other nations of the world quickly followed suit, and also eroded the rights of their own citizens as the nations quickly launched the surveillance state. This led to the infamous wiretapping program that we all came to know about, but shamefully cared little for. Why? We were told it was a necessary evil to protect our freedoms from the terrorists. Unfortunately, we willingly gave up our freedoms in the name of peace and safety, something Benjamin Franklin warned us of…They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety.

    After the attacks on 9/11, the U.S. Government launched an invasion on Afghanistan rallying a nation. Shortly after, Saddam Hussein of Iraq was deemed an enemy of America and was attacked and removed from power.

    You see, Iraq and Afghanistan were not a part of the global financial order established in the 1940s. Therefore, the globalists were consolidating power around the globe and using the most awesome world power that has ever existed. American’s were being fooled while being blanketed in Patriotism of the Red, White and Blue banner.

    The War on Terror transformed into a humanitarian war, when a manufactured civil war broke out in Syria. The roots of humanitarian intervention come from globalist George Soros, and the U.S. essentially spearheaded the project. Over the years reports surfaced the U.S. was funding the “rebels” in Syria, other reports would explain there were no “rebels” in Syria, only terrorists seeking to remove Syria’s President Basher Assad from power.

    Around the same time, Libya suddenly had their own problems and Muamar Gaddafi was killed by “rebel” terrorists. Interestingly enough, Gaddafi was seeking to establish a new currency for a good portion of Africa based on gold. He was attempting to buck the globalist trend. Yes, you guessed it. Libya and Syria were not playing with the global powers established in the mid-1940s, and they had to be dealt with.

    While Syria’s Assad still clings to power, his nation is in utter chaos. Chaos that led to millions of refugees finding a new home in Europe, forever changing the continent by mixing Christians and Muslims in a massive culture clash.

    Summary: The goal all along was to remove leaders from power in nations who were not apart of the globalist agenda. In the end, these wars would simply be a stepping stone to Iran, better said, it would define Which Path to Persia

    That now brings us to the present, the current global financial crisis that has been thrust upon the world over the Coronavirus. A virus that has only killed 21,191 people globally as of this writing. To put that in perspective, every year globally 61,000 people die from seasonal flu according to the Center for Disease Control. I hope you are scratching your head, you should be. The response we are seeing from governments and organizations across the world is not proportionate to the Coronavirus threat. Despite these simple facts, less than two weeks ago the World Health Organization (founded: 1948) categorized the Coronavirus is a world Pandemic. Global financial markets instantly began to collapse. From there the mainstream media along with the nations of the world created even more panic, as if our leaders were replaced with children, (Isaiah 3:4).

    No efforts have been made to calm the public, only scare them and explain they should wash their hands to avoid being infected with the Coronavirus. The same advice Mom has been giving us since we were born.

    We have all read the headlines. Italy, France, Spain, Britain, Canada, India, Rwanda, Uganda, Senegal, SouthAfrica and now Britain have locked down their nations removing the rights of their people. All in the name of peace and safety to protect us from this “hidden enemy”.

    This has caused global financial markets to fall further. Central Banks around the world stepped in by pumping trillions of dollars into the financial system. The Coronavirus has simply been the catalyst used to move a collapse further.

    As the days grew on, so did the level of panic world governments caused. The U.S Government and world drilled phrases into our mind like “social distancing”, a line and scenario they stole from the movie “Contagion”. Globally, schools, restaurants and other businesses have been shuttered, as if it was a designed chain reaction. The U.S. Government has already passed a bailout package to save Americans from the mass panic they have created, with more bailouts on the way. In Kenya, the President yesterday gave a raft of points to secure the economy and the vulnerable. President of Kenya Address, Canada yesterday did the same thing: Canada Prime Minister.  This script is being used worldwide was it planned? More troubling.

    Summary: Yes, the Coronavirus is real, yet its 2% kill rate does not warrant locking down the world.

    There can be no doubt, we have arrived at a pivotal moment in world history, one that will forever change the course of the world.

    We could very well be experiencing a carefully choreographed soft collapse of the global financial system. This could not come at a more opportune time, like a good designed plan. The nations of the world, corporations, and people are in record debt. It would appear, everyone is being set up for a great fall, a fall that could be so great the world will need an economic reset…

    The precedent for what we now face was set in 2008, when the whole world was bailed out. Yet, Central Bankers said, there would be little they could do to save us from a future crisis, a crisis that is now unfolding.

    As we have explained, with every world catastrophe, the powers that be have presented the people with a way out. A way to save them from their troubles and misery, but it always comes with a price. The resignation of some of our rights. Yet, through history, the people have gladly accepted the solutions placed before them, as the alternative that was carefully crafted against them was much worse.

    It is only reasonable to consider, the master planners have decided the global financial system initiated 75 years ago has run its course, and they are ready for a new financial system they will have more control over. A financial system that will more closely unify the globe. We just may have an agenda unfolding against the people of the world. An agenda brought forward by Satan’s Children at the highest levels, which trickle down, and are executed by our foolish leaders.

    A word of encouragement, do not panic but prepare. This thing is yet to end. For those who want to get quick lessons on preparedness, simple living, survival, kindly visit www.trayerwilderness.com. Very helpful tips for such a time.

    So what should we Christians do in such a time: solution number one and the only one is to pray and repent of our sins. This Pandemic will only end through God’s intervention. Going back to Calvary.

    Yesterday, just going through Facebook, I saw a video prophecy and it confirmed what the spirit had put in my heart. Kindly take time and watch: VERY IMPORTANT PROPHETIC MESSAGE: WHAT IS THE LORD SAYING TO KENYA ON 24TH MARCH 2020

    My friends, please continue to reach out to God and ask Him to comfort, provide, and protect you and your family, (Philippians 1:6). Some of you may not be Christian. It is not too late to turn to God, accept Him, and He will accept you, (Romans 10:9). Be strong for your family and friends, and be prepared to answer their Biblical questions, (1 Peter 3:15). Find answers if you do not have them, we will help you through God’s Grace. Whatever it is that we face, we certainly will need God’s spiritual guidance to protect us through the storm ahead.

    Shalom and God Bless!

    David Kedode is currently working at TNR Trust as the Administrator and a part time Virtual Assistant at TrayerWilderness.com as a Virtual Assistant and also as a contributing author.

  • How the World Will Look After the Coronavirus Pandemic

    How the World Will Look After the Coronavirus Pandemic

    The pandemic will change the world forever. Foreign Policy asked 12 leading global thinkers for their predictions.

    By Foreign Policy

    Like the fall of the Berlin Wall or the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the coronavirus pandemic is a world-shattering event whose far-ranging consequences we can only begin to imagine today.

    This much is certain: Just as this disease has shattered lives, disrupted markets and exposed the competence (or lack thereof) of governments, it will lead to permanent shifts in political and economic power in ways that will become apparent only later.

    To help us make sense of the ground shifting beneath our feet as this crisis unfolds, Foreign Policy asked 12 leading thinkers from around the world to weigh in with their predictions for the global order after the pandemic.


    A World Less Open, Prosperous, and Free

    by Stephen M. Walt

    The pandemic will strengthen the state and reinforce nationalism. Governments of all types will adopt emergency measures to manage the crisis, and many will be loath to relinquish these new powers when the crisis is over.

    COVID-19 will also accelerate the shift in power and influence from West to East. South Korea and Singapore have responded best, and China has reacted well after its early mistakes. The response in Europe and America has been slow and haphazard by comparison, further tarnishing the aura of the Western “brand.”

    What won’t change is the fundamentally conflictive nature of world politics. Previous plagues did not end great-power rivalry nor usher in a new era of global cooperation. Previous plagues—including the influenza epidemic of 1918-1919—did not end great-power rivalry nor usher in a new era of global cooperation. Neither will COVID-19. We will see a further retreat from hyperglobalization, as citizens look to national governments to protect them and as states and firms seek to reduce future vulnerabilities.

    In short, COVID-19 will create a world that is less open, less prosperous, and less free. It did not have to be this way, but the combination of a deadly virus, inadequate planning, and incompetent leadership has placed humanity on a new and worrisome path.


    The End of Globalization as We Know It

    by Robin Niblett

    The coronavirus pandemic could be the straw that breaks the camel’s back of economic globalization. China’s growing economic and military power had already provoked a bipartisan determination in the United States to decouple China from U.S.-sourced high technology and intellectual property and try to force allies to follow suit. Increasing public and political pressure to meet carbon emissions reduction targets had already called into question many companies’ reliance on long-distance supply chains. Now, COVID-19 is forcing governments, companies, and societies to strengthen their capacity to cope with extended periods of economic self-isolation.

    The coronavirus pandemic could be the straw that breaks the camel’s back of economic globalization.

    It seems highly unlikely in this context that the world will return to the idea of mutually beneficial globalization that defined the early 21st century. And without the incentive to protect the shared gains from global economic integration, the architecture of global economic governance established in the 20th century will quickly atrophy. It will then take enormous self-discipline for political leaders to sustain international cooperation and not retreat into overt geopolitical competition.

    Proving to their citizens that they can manage the COVID-19 crisis will buy leaders some political capital. But those who fail will find it hard to resist the temptation to blame others for their failure.


    A More China-Centric Globalization

    by Kishore Mahbubani

    The COVID-19 pandemic will not fundamentally alter global economic directions. It will only accelerate a change that had already begun: a move away from U.S.-centric globalization to a more China-centric globalization.

    It will only accelerate a change that had already begun: a move away from U.S.-centric globalization to a more China-centric globalization.

    Why will this trend continue? The American population has lost faith in globalization and international trade. Free trade agreements are toxic, with or without U.S. President Donald Trump. By contrast, China has not lost faith. Why not? There are deeper historical reasons. Chinese leaders now know well that China’s century of humiliation from 1842 to 1949 was a result of its own complacency and a futile effort by its leaders to cut it off from the world. By contrast, the past few decades of economic resurgence were a result of global engagement. The Chinese people have also experienced an explosion of cultural confidence. They believe they can compete anywhere.

    Consequently, as I document in my new book, Has China Won?, the United States has two choices. If its primary goal is to maintain global primacy, it will have to engage in a zero-sum geopolitical contest, politically and economically, with China. However, if the goal of the United States is to improve the well-being of the American people—whose social condition has deteriorated—it should cooperate with China. Wiser counsel would suggest that cooperation would be the better choice. However, given the toxic U.S. political environment toward China, wiser counsel may not prevail.


    Democracies Will Come out of Their Shell

    by G. John Ikenberry

    In the short term, the crisis will give fuel to all the various camps in the Western grand strategy debate. The nationalists and anti-globalists, the China hawks, and even the liberal internationalists will all see new evidence for the urgency of their views. Given the economic damage and social collapse that is unfolding, it is hard to see anything other than a reinforcement of the movement toward nationalism, great-power rivalry, strategic decoupling, and the like.

    Just like in the 1930s and ’40s, there might also be a slower-evolving countercurrent.But just like in the 1930s and ’40s, there might also be a slower-evolving countercurrent, a sort of hardheaded internationalism similar to the one that Franklin D. Roosevelt and a few other statesmen began to articulate before and during the war. The 1930s collapse of the world economy showed how connected modern societies were and how vulnerable they were to what FDR called contagion. The United States was less threatened by other great powers than by the deep forces—and Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde character—of modernity. What FDR and other internationalists conjured was a postwar order that would rebuild an open system with new forms of protection and capacities to manage interdependence. The United States couldn’t simply hide within its borders, but to operate in an open postwar order required the building of a global infrastructure of multilateral cooperation.

    So the United States and other Western democracies might travel through this same sequence of reactions driven by a cascading sense of vulnerability; the response might be more nationalist at first, but over the longer term, the democracies will come out of their shells to find a new type of pragmatic and protective internationalism.


    Lower Profits, but More Stability

    by Shannon K. O’Neil

    COVID-19 is undermining the basic tenets of global manufacturing. Companies will now rethink and shrink the multistep, multicountry supply chains that dominate production today.

    Global supply chains were already coming under fire, both economically and politically.Global supply chains were already coming under fire—economically, due to rising Chinese labor costs, U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade war, and advances in robotics, automation, and 3D printing, as well as politically, due to real and perceived job losses, especially in mature economies. COVID-19 has now broken many of these links: Factory closings in afflicted areas have left other manufacturers—as well as hospitals, pharmacies, supermarkets, and retail stores—bereft of inventories and products.

    On the other side of the pandemic, more companies will demand to know more about where their supplies come from and will trade off efficiency for redundancy. Governments will intervene as well, forcing what they consider strategic industries to have domestic backup plans and reserves. Profitability will fall, but supply stability should rise.


    This Pandemic Can Serve a Useful Purpose

    by Shivshankar Menon

    It is early days yet, but three things seem apparent. First, the coronavirus pandemic will change our politics, both within states and between them. It is to the power of government that societies—even libertarians—have turned. Government’s relative success in overcoming the pandemic and its economic effects will exacerbate or diminish security issues and the recent polarization within societies. Either way, government is back. Experience so far shows that authoritarians or populists are no better at handling the pandemic. Indeed, the countries that responded early and successfully, such as Korea and Taiwan, have been democracies—not those run by populist or authoritarian leaders.

    This is not yet the end of an interconnected world. The pandemic itself is proof of our interdependence.

    Secondly, this is not yet the end of an interconnected world. The pandemic itself is proof of our interdependence. But in all polities, there is already a turning inward, a search for autonomy and control of one’s own fate. We are headed for a poorer, meaner, and smaller world.

    Finally, there are signs of hope and good sense. India took the initiative to convene a video conference of all South Asian leaders to craft a common regional response to the threat. If the pandemic shocks us into recognizing our real interest in cooperating multilaterally on the big global issues facing us, it will have served a useful purpose.


    American Power Will Need a New Strategy

    by Joseph S. Nye, Jr.

    In 2017, U.S. President Donald Trump announced a new national security strategy that focuses on great-power competition. COVID-19 shows this strategy to be inadequate. Even if the United States prevails as a great power, it cannot protect its security by acting alone. As Richard Danzig summarized the problem in 2018: “Twenty-first century technologies are global not just in their distribution, but also in their consequences. Pathogens, AI systems, computer viruses, and radiation that others may accidentally release could become as much our problem as theirs. Agreed reporting systems, shared controls, common contingency plans, norms, and treaties must be pursued as means of moderating our numerous mutual risks.”

    Even if the United States prevails as a great power, it cannot protect its security by acting alone.

    On transnational threats like COVID-19 and climate change, it is not enough to think of American power over other nations. The key to success is also learning the importance of power with others. Every country puts its national interest first; the important question is how broadly or narrowly this interest is defined. COVID-19 shows we are failing to adjust our strategy to this new world.


    The History of COVID-19 Will Be Written by the Victors

    by John Allen

    As it has always been, history will be written by the “victors” of the COVID-19 crisis. Every nation, and increasingly every individual, is experiencing the societal strain of this disease in new and powerful ways. Inevitably, those nations that persevere—both by virtue of their unique political and economic systems, as well as from a public health perspective—will claim success over those who experience a different, more devastating outcome. To some, this will appear as a great and definitive triumph for democracy, multilateralism, and universal health care. To others, it will showcase the clear “benefits” of decisive, authoritarian rule.To some, this will appear as a great and definitive triumph for democracy. To others, it will showcase the clear “benefits” of authoritarian rule.

    Either way, this crisis will reshuffle the international power structure in ways we can only begin to imagine. COVID-19 will continue to depress economic activity and increase tension between countries. Over the long term, the pandemic will likely significantly reduce the productive capacity of the global economy, especially if businesses close and individuals detach from the labor force. This risk of dislocation is especially great for developing nations and others with a large share of economically vulnerable workers. The international system will, in turn, come under great pressure, resulting in instability and widespread conflict within and across countries.


    A Dramatic New Stage in Global Capitalism

    by Laurie Garrett

    The fundamental shock to the world’s financial and economic system is the recognition that global supply chains and distribution networks are deeply vulnerable to disruption. The coronavirus pandemic will therefore not only have long-lasting economic effects, but lead to a more fundamental change.Globalization allowed companies to farm out manufacturing all over the world and deliver their products to markets on a just-in-time basis, bypassing the costs of warehousing. Inventories that sat on shelves for more than a few days were considered market failures. Supply had to be sourced and shipped on a carefully orchestrated, global level. COVID-19 has proven that pathogens can not only infect people but poison the entire just-in-time system.

    The coronavirus pandemic will therefore not only have long-lasting economic effects, but lead to a more fundamental change.

    Given the scale of financial market losses the world has experienced since February, companies are likely to come out of this pandemic decidedly gun-shy about the just-in-time model and about globally dispersed production. The result could be a dramatic new stage in global capitalism, in which supply chains are brought closer to home and filled with redundancies to protect against future disruption. That may cut into companies’ near-term profits but render the entire system more resilient.


    More Failed States

    by Richard N. Haass

    Permanent is not a word I am fond of, as little or nothing is, but I would think the coronavirus crisis will ​at least for a few years lead most governments ​to turn inward, focusing on what takes place within their borders rather than ​on what happens beyond them. I anticipate greater moves toward selective self-sufficiency (and, as a result, decoupling) given supply chain vulnerability; even greater opposition to large-scale immigration; and a reduced ​willingness or commitment to tackle regional or global problems (including climate change) given the perceived need to dedicate resources to rebuild at home and deal with economic consequences of the crisis​.Many countries will have difficulty recovering, with state weakness and failed states becoming even more prevalent.

    I would expect many countries will have difficulty recovering from the crisis, with state weakness and failed states becoming an even more prevalent feature of the world. The crisis will likely contribute to the ongoing deterioration of Sino-American relations and the weakening of European integration. On the positive side, we should see some modest strengthening of global public health governance. But overall, a crisis rooted in globalization will weaken rather than add to the world’s willingness and ability to deal with it.


    The United States Has Failed the Leadership Test

    by Kori Schake

    The United States will no longer be seen as an international leader.The United States will no longer be seen as an international leader because of its government’s narrow self-interest and bungling incompetence. The global effects of this pandemic could have been greatly attenuated by having international organizations provide more and earlier information, which would have given governments time to prepare and direct resources to where they’re most needed. This is something the United States could have organized, showing that while it is self-interested, it is not solely self-interested. Washington has failed the leadership test, and the world is worse off for it.


    In Every Country, We See the Power of the Human Spirit

    by Nicholas Burns

    The COVID-19 pandemic is the greatest global crisis of this century. Its depth and scale are enormous. The public health crisis threatens each of the 7.8 billion people on Earth. The financial and economic crisis could exceed in its impact the Great Recession of 2008-2009. Each crisis alone could provide a seismic shock that permanently changes the international system and balance of power as we know it.That provides hope that men and women around the world can prevail in response to this extraordinary challenge.

    To date, international collaboration has been woefully insufficient. If the United States and China, the world’s most powerful countries, cannot put aside their war of words over which of them is responsible for the crisis and lead more effectively, both countries’ credibility may be significantly diminished. If the European Union cannot provide more targeted assistance to its 500 million citizens, national governments might take back more power from Brussels in the future. In the United States, what is most at stake is the ability of the federal government to provide effective measures to stem the crisis.

    In every country, however, there are many examples of the power of the human spirit—of doctors, nurses, political leaders, and ordinary citizens demonstrating resilience, effectiveness, and leadership. That provides hope that men and women around the world can prevail in response to this extraordinary challenge.

    John Allen is president of the Brookings Institution, a retired U.S. Marine Corps four-star general, and former commander of the NATO International Security Assistance Force and U.S. Forces in Afghanistan.

    Nicholas Burns is a professor at the Harvard Kennedy School of Government, and a former under secretary for political affairs in the U.S. State Department.

    Laurie Garrett is a former senior fellow for global health at the Council on Foreign Relations and a Pulitzer Prize winning science writer.

    Richard Haass is the president of the Council on Foreign Relations and the author of The World: A Brief Introduction, to be published in May by Penguin.

    Kishore Mahbubani, a distinguished fellow at the National University of Singapore’s Asia Research Institute, is the author of Has China Won? The Chinese Challenge to American Primacy.

    Shivshankar Menon is a distinguished fellow at Brookings India, a former national security advisor to Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, and a visiting professor at Ashoka University, India.

    Robin Niblett is the director and chief executive of Chatham House.

    Joseph S. Nye Jr. is a university distinguished service professor at Harvard University and the author of Do Morals Matter? Presidents and Foreign Policy from FDR to Trump.

    Kori Schake is the deputy director general of the International Institute for Strategic Studies.

    Stephen M. Walt is the Robert and Renée Belfer professor of international relations at Harvard University.