Tag: One Petroleum

  • How Mohamed Jaffer Tightened His Stranglehold on Mombasa Port as Parliament Looked Away and a Dirty Fuel Scandal Engulfed His Empire

    How Mohamed Jaffer Tightened His Stranglehold on Mombasa Port as Parliament Looked Away and a Dirty Fuel Scandal Engulfed His Empire

    The vessel MT Paloma had barely cleared Mombasa port and entered South African waters when the full scale of Mohamed Jaffer’s double exposure became impossible to ignore. His fuel company stood accused of flooding Kenyan roads with contaminated petrol over Easter weekend 2026. His lawyers were fighting off a Ugandan importer demanding the release of wheat that had sat detained at berths three and four for years. And somewhere in the Ministry of Roads and Transport, a contract was being drafted that would hand him those same berths, and the grain monopoly they represent, for another twenty years.

    That contract, approved by President William Ruto’s administration and awaiting gazettement as of the date of this publication, extends Bulkstream Limited’s lease over the Port of Mombasa’s only specialized bulk grain discharge terminals seven years before the existing concession was due to expire. It is not a renewal born of competitive merit, transparent procurement, or public interest. It is the latest triumph of an empire that has outlasted four presidents, survived every parliamentary investigation thrown at it, and buried every rival who came close enough to threaten it.

    The deal cements what market analysts, parliamentary committee members, and competing operators have called for two decades the most consequential private monopoly in Kenya’s food supply chain. Bulkstream, formerly known as Grain Bulk Handlers Limited before a quiet 2024 rebranding, handles approximately 98 percent of all bulk grain imports into Kenya, including wheat, rice, and maize destined not only for Kenyan mills but for the landlocked nations of Uganda, Rwanda, South Sudan, Burundi, and eastern Democratic Republic of Congo. Roughly 2.2 million tonnes pass through its terminals every year. No rival has been allowed to operate at scale since the original exclusivity window expired in 2008. It did not expire because the market decided so. Parliament tried to force open the door. The door stayed shut.

    Parliament warned. Courts ruled. Rivals were crushed. And the Ruto government handed him 20 more years anyway.

    THE ARCHITECTURE OF PERMANENT ADVANTAGE

    To understand why no competitor has successfully entered the bulk grain market at Mombasa for over two decades, one must understand the pricing structure that Parliament itself identified as the foundational problem. Bulkstream pays the Kenya Ports Authority a service fee of $3.85 per metric tonne to operate its specialized terminals. Conventional operators wishing to handle bulk grain through non-specialized berths are charged $10.40 per metric tonne for the same privilege. That gap of $6.55 per tonne is not a market outcome. It is a regulatory inheritance, embedded in the KPA tariff book, that makes it structurally impossible for any competitor to undercut Jaffer’s pricing regardless of how efficient, well-capitalized, or willing they might be.

    On top of the KPA fee, Bulkstream charges millers $16 per metric tonne for its handling services. The math is unambiguous. Across 2.2 million tonnes annually, the terminal extracts over $35 million a year in miller fees alone, against a cost base that includes a KPA service charge equivalent to approximately $8.5 million. The embedded price differential flows directly into the cost of bread, ugali, and animal feed across Kenya and several neighboring countries. It is a toll paid by every East African family that consumes grain. Parliament did not merely notice this arrangement in passing. It named it explicitly.

    The 2020 report of the National Assembly Finance, Planning and Trade Committee described the differential as a technical barrier to trade and competition and recommended the transparent appointment of additional bulk grain operators and expansion of port facilities to accommodate them. The Kenya Ports Authority set a 2022 deadline to license a second handler. That deadline passed without a single approval being granted. The committee’s language was unambiguous. Its recommendations were ignored with equal clarity.

    BULKSTREAM BY THE NUMBERS

    Market share of bulk grain imports at Mombasa: ~98%

    Annual throughput: 2.2 million metric tonnes

    KPA service fee paid by Bulkstream: $3.85/tonne

    KPA fee charged to conventional operators: $10.40/tonne

    Differential (competitive moat): $6.55/tonne

    Handling fee charged to millers: $16/tonne

    Lease extension: 20 years, approved 7 years early

    Original concession signed: ~2000 (33-year term)

    MJ Group estimated valuation (Africa Report, 2025): KSh16.3 billion

    TWO DECADES OF WARNINGS, ZERO CONSEQUENCES

    The 2020 parliamentary committee report is not a standalone intervention. It is the culmination of over two decades of parliamentary scrutiny of an arrangement that legislators, regulators, and trade observers have consistently identified as anti-competitive and harmful to the public interest. As far back as 2018, MPs were issuing directives to end Jaffer’s monopoly on the grain trade, as contemporaneous media records show. The problem was never lack of awareness. The problem was the persistent gap between parliamentary resolve and executive action.

    The original concession between Grain Bulk Handlers Limited and the Kenya Ports Authority was signed around the year 2000. It included an initial eight-year exclusivity window, explicitly granted to allow the company to recover its investment costs. That exclusivity expired in February 2008. The KPA board resolved at that point to liberalize grain handling and introduce competition. What followed was a series of cancelled tenders, aborted licensing processes, and unending delays that preserved the monopoly in practice while abandoning it in theory. Each successive government found a reason not to finish the process.

    When in 2022 interests linked to Mining Cabinet Secretary Hassan Joho appeared to have finally broken through, winning a Sh5.9 billion contract for Portside Freight Terminals to construct a competing facility, the Supreme Court quashed the procurement. The ruling found that KPA had failed to meet constitutional thresholds of fairness, transparency, and competitiveness. The irony was corrosive. The very procurement standards cited to cancel Jaffer’s competitor were standards that the original concession to Jaffer had never been compelled to meet. The playing field was cleared again. Jaffer remained the only player on it.

    A senior KPA manager’s remarks to international media in the aftermath of the Portside ruling were telling in their candor. The official stated plainly that KPA cannot run the grain facility and that the two berths are likely to remain under private entities for a longer period. That is not the language of a regulator planning to introduce competition. It is the language of a captured institution confirming that the current arrangement will endure. The 20-year lease renewal that followed merely formalized what the official had already conceded.

    A senior KPA manager told media: ‘The two berths are likely to remain under private entities for a longer period.’ The 20-year lease simply made it official.

    MT PALOMA: CARCINOGENS, COVERUPS, AND THE EASTER WEEKEND CONTAMINATION

    On March 27, 2026, the vessel MT Paloma docked at the Port of Mombasa carrying approximately 60,000 to 68,000 metric tonnes of Premium Motor Spirit. The ship had last been in Fujairah, United Arab Emirates. It had originally been destined for Angola. It arrived in Kenya under an emergency import authorisation signed on March 25, two days before it docked, for a cargo that laboratory tests would later show contained elevated levels of sulphur, benzene, and manganese, all above legally permitted Kenyan standards. Benzene is classified as a known human carcinogen. Elevated manganese destroys catalytic converters. Excess sulphur corrodes engines and elevates toxic roadside emissions.

    One Petroleum Limited, the importing company, is registered to the Jaffer family. Corporate registry documents list Mohamed Jaffer, his sons Mujtaba Jaffer and Ali Abbas Jaffer, and other family members among the directors and shareholders. The firm is headquartered in Mbaraki, Mombasa. It is not a new entrant in the fuel trade. It is a long-established company within the MJ Group ecosystem.

    The sequence of events that allowed contaminated fuel into the Kenyan market reads as a governance failure at multiple levels. Energy Principal Secretary Mohamed Liban wrote to the Kenya Bureau of Standards managing director requesting a temporary waiver on conformity certificates, citing disruption to the Strait of Hormuz following US-Iran tensions as the justification for emergency procurement outside the standard government-to-government supply framework. Trade Cabinet Secretary Lee Kinyanjui then issued a letter on March 28, by which time MT Paloma had already been docked for 24 hours, granting the waiver. The letter acknowledged in plain language that the petroleum aboard contained high levels of manganese, sulphur and benzene.

    The waiver directed that the substandard fuel be blended with existing stocks in KPC’s pipeline system to dilute the chemical concentrations. What that meant in practice was that contaminated fuel was deliberately commingled with Kenya’s strategic reserves and released to oil marketing companies serving retail stations across the country. Kenyan motorists who filled their vehicles over the Easter weekend, some of the highest-traffic days of the year, were doing so without any knowledge that the fuel entering their tanks had failed quality tests. Reports of engine damage linked to the consignment began circulating before the Directorate of Criminal Investigations had made its first arrests.

    Narok Senator Ledama Ole Kina became the most aggressive parliamentary voice on the scandal. In explosive testimony before the Senate Energy Committee, Ole Kina named three individuals at the centre of what he described as a coordinated scheme to manufacture a fuel shortage and exploit it for profit: Joel Mburu, Supply and Logistics Manager at the Kenya Pipeline Company; Joseph Wafula, Deputy Director of Petroleum at the Ministry of Energy; and Mohamed Jaffer. The senator alleged internal communications showed premeditated planning and an orchestrated crisis, with the emergency declaration being used to justify bypassing the G2G framework. His phrasing was blunt: he called it the most brazen act of energy-sector looting in Kenya’s recent history.

    The DCI opened its investigation quickly and its reach was wide. Former KPC Managing Director Joe Sang, former EPRA Director-General Daniel Kiptoo, and former Principal Secretary Mohamed Liban were arrested, questioned, and subsequently resigned from their positions. Two KPC employees, Joseph Wafula and Joel Mburu, were taken into custody and released on police cash bail of Sh100,000 each. Investigators summoned executives from One Petroleum and, separately, Swiss-owned Oryx Energies, which had imported a second controversial consignment of approximately 60,000 tonnes at prices Ole Kina alleged were set at $253.94 per metric tonne against the government’s own contracted rate of $84.00. The DCI confirmed it was working with both local and international investigative bodies.

    One Petroleum’s public statement attempted damage control. The company confirmed that four firms had responded to an emergency request from the Energy Ministry, that it was one of them, and that it had taken steps to ensure the MT Paloma consignment would not enter the market. That last assurance was contradicted within days. KPC confirmed that the fuel had in fact been mixed with existing stocks and released to oil marketing companies. Energy CS Opiyo Wandayi, who ordered the product withdrawn from the market and blocked payments to One Petroleum, stated that the importation would have pushed pump prices up by as much as Sh14 per litre. The government ultimately reversed its own waiver, but by then the fuel had traveled far beyond any pipeline.

    THE MT PALOMA TIMELINE

    March 25, 2026: Emergency import authorisation signed for One Petroleum

    March 27, 4:14 PM: MT Paloma docks at Port of Mombasa

    March 28: Trade CS Kinyanjui issues written waiver acknowledging benzene, sulphur, manganese violations

    March 30: MT Paloma departs for South Africa

    Easter Weekend: Contaminated fuel distributed via KPC to oil marketers

    April 5-6: DCI arrests Sang, Liban, Kiptoo; Wafula and Mburu held on bail

    April 7: Government orders fuel withdrawal; One Petroleum’s Sh11.8 billion exposure confirmed

    April 15: KPC confirms contaminated fuel already in market, commingled with reserves

    April 17: Senator Ole Kina names Jaffer, Mburu, and Wafula in Senate committee testimony

    THE SUCCESSION GAMBLE: PASSING THE EMPIRE TO THE SONS

    Even as the fuel scandal was burning through KPC’s senior leadership and generating its first Senate committee hearings, a quieter restructuring was unfolding inside the Jaffer business empire that goes to the heart of whether the family can sustain what the patriarch built. Mohamed Jaffer is 78 years old. He has been described in regional business media as a work-in-silence billionaire who guarded his empire jealously and brokered political friendships along the way to protect it. That political protection is now being redistributed across a more complex ownership structure, and the question of whether it survives the transition is genuinely open.

    In 2024, MJ Group indirectly sold a controlling stake in Bulkstream through its Mauritius-based holding company Incorp Limited to African Infrastructure Investment Managers, the South Africa-headquartered institutional fund manager with assets under management of approximately $3.8 billion and a portfolio spanning toll roads, renewable energy, and port logistics across Africa. AIIM is itself a subsidiary of the Old Mutual group. The Incorp Limited holding structure places the transaction at arm’s length from direct Kenyan regulatory scrutiny while maintaining the family’s operational influence through subsidiary roles.

    AIIM is now reported to be preparing to sell approximately half of its stake in African Ports and Corridors Holdings, its Mauritius-based platform covering port and commodity logistics assets in Zambia and Tanzania, to Globe In Limited. Globe In is another Mauritius-registered entity with active cargo handling interests in Kenya and Uganda and traceable connections to the Jaffer network. The circular logic of the restructuring is not lost on analysts who track the group: institutional capital comes in through the front door, and network control is maintained through affiliated entities at the back.

    Mujtaba Jaffer and Abass Jaffer, sons of the founder, are the visible faces of the next generation. Mujtaba has fronted Bulkstream’s public statements in the Pan Afric Commodities wheat detention case. Abass, a director at Bulkstream, did not respond to questions from international media in late May 2026 about the lease renewal. Their ascension to operational leadership coincides with a period of maximum external pressure: a live criminal investigation into One Petroleum, multiple court battles over detained cargo, an Sh1.8 billion land compensation dispute involving Miritini Free Port Limited, and the spectacle of their patriarch’s name being read into the record of a Senate committee hearing on a national fuel crisis.

    The institutional investors now holding a controlling interest in Bulkstream through AIIM bring governance expectations and reputational considerations that the family structure did not face in the same way. Foreign institutional capital does not tolerate the kind of opacity that enabled three decades of parliamentary investigation without consequence. Whether AIIM views the One Petroleum scandal as a reputational contagion risk to its infrastructure fund is a question that will play out in boardrooms, not courtrooms. The sons are entering leadership not in a period of consolidation but in a period of acute vulnerability, and the difference between inherited political capital and proven political acumen is a gap that no business school curriculum can close.

    Mujtaba and Abass Jaffer are inheriting an empire under criminal investigation, buried in lawsuits, and restructured through layers of Mauritius-registered entities. The patriarch made it look easy. It was not.

    A PATTERN OF IMPUNITY: THE CONTROVERSIES THAT KEEP ACCUMULATING

    The grain monopoly and the fuel scandal are not aberrations in an otherwise clean record. They are the two largest current expressions of a pattern of controversy that has attached itself to the Jaffer empire across multiple sectors and over multiple decades. Court filings, parliamentary records, and investigative reporting have documented a series of disputes that individually might be dismissed as the inevitable legal friction of large-scale business but collectively form a picture of an empire that uses institutional chokepoints, legal attrition, and political proximity as competitive weapons.

    The Pan Afric Commodities case is illustrative of how Bulkstream’s market power translates into leverage over importers. The Ugandan firm purchased approximately 2,837 tonnes of Ukrainian wheat in 2018 under a charter party agreement. The wheat was shipped to Mombasa and handled by Bulkstream. A portion of the consignment, 1,514 tonnes, remained in storage as a dispute over import taxes and the intervention of a Ugandan receivership manager complicated the release. By September 2025, Bulkstream was asserting a bailment lien over the wheat pending payment of $1.1 million in accumulated handling and storage fees. The Mombasa High Court was still hearing the case into early 2026. A cargo shipped in 2018 was still impounded in 2026. The firm controlling the only bulk grain terminal in Kenya has no commercial incentive to resolve such disputes quickly.

    Parallel civil suits from Kenyan maize millers alleging Sh90 million in damages have traversed the court system over similar grievances. The cases share a structural dynamic: importers and processors who depend entirely on Bulkstream for their grain intake have no alternative handler to turn to, which means any contractual dispute places them at the mercy of their only logistics option. Parliament recognized this leverage in its 2020 report. The market still operates with that leverage fully intact.

    The Miritini Free Port land dispute has brought a separate line of allegations into view. Court records show that Bulkstream’s related entity Miritini Free Port Limited received approximately Sh1.8 billion from the National Land Commission as compensation for land in Jomvu, Mombasa. Those payments have been challenged in court, with proceedings in the Environment and Land Court in Mombasa. Justice Ogla Sewe extended interim orders in the case in July 2024, and as of the period of this publication the matter remains unresolved.

    Reports have also circulated, some contested, regarding allegations of parliamentary bribery in connection with Bulkstream’s interests. A report in August 2025 described allegations that officials connected to Bulkstream paid bribes to members of parliamentary committees handling matters relevant to the grain terminal. President Ruto had around the same time ordered investigations into rising corruption in parliamentary committees. Bulkstream has not formally addressed these allegations. The individuals named in those reports have not faced charges that this publication can verify. But the allegations follow a company whose relationship with parliamentary oversight has always been one of attrition rather than accountability.

    The ProGas and LPG sector dealings attributed to the Jaffer network have generated their own trail of regulatory disputes and court actions. LPG pricing, market access, and cylinder standards have all featured in filings that critics say point to an enterprise that replicates at the energy level the same stranglehold it maintains at the port. The pattern is consistent regardless of sector: identify a regulated infrastructure chokepoint, secure the position through initial investment and political relationships, then use the position to price competitors out while using legal process to exhaust those who resist.

    WHO PAYS THE TOLL

    The 20-year lease renewal is not merely a business story. It is a food security story, a public health story, and a governance story about what happens when accountability institutions fail to act on their own findings. Every parliamentary committee report, every court hearing on competitive procurement, every DCI investigation into fuel quality, represents a moment when the system had the information it needed to act. The lease renewal confirms that having the information and acting on it are not the same thing.

    For Kenyan consumers, the cost of the grain monopoly is embedded in the price of every loaf of bread and every bag of ugali. The $16 per tonne handling fee that Bulkstream charges millers, in a market where no alternative exists, is a tax on food that Parliament labeled a technical barrier to competition six years ago and which remains unchanged today. The landlocked countries that route their food imports through Mombasa inherit the same embedded inefficiency. Uganda, Rwanda, South Sudan, and the DRC are food-secure only insofar as Mohamed Jaffer’s terminal is willing and able to move their grain. That dependency is not a result of geography alone. It is a result of a deliberate regulatory choice to allow a single private operator to control the only specialized facility for 25 years and counting.

    The fuel episode added a dimension of physical risk to the economic one. Kenyan motorists who filled up over Easter 2026 did not consent to receive benzene-laced petrol. They had no way of knowing. The blending directive issued by Trade CS Kinyanjui was not disclosed publicly until it leaked. The government’s first communication was that the fuel had been blocked from the market. That statement was false. The fuel was already circulating. Vehicles had already been reported damaged. The subsequent order to withdraw the consignment came after the damage was done.

    Whether criminal charges ultimately follow Jaffer or his sons in the One Petroleum investigation remains to be seen. The DCI has stated it is pursuing the matter with international cooperation. Several officials who facilitated the procurement have resigned and face their own legal exposure. The Sh11.8 billion question is whether One Petroleum’s principals will face the same accountability or whether, as has happened before across multiple sectors and multiple investigations, the institutional protection that has kept this empire intact for 25 years will once again absorb the impact.

    THE RUNWAY THAT NEVER ENDS

    Under President Moi, Grain Bulk Handlers Limited signed a 33-year concession that gave it exclusive rights over Kenya’s only bulk grain terminals. Under President Kibaki, the exclusivity window expired but the monopoly persisted. Under President Kenyatta, parliamentary committees investigated and recommended competition. Under President Ruto, the answer was a 20-year extension signed seven years early while the country’s DCI was actively investigating the same family’s fuel company for importing contaminated petroleum.

    The Billionaires Africa publication that broke the renewal story noted that across four presidencies, the answer to whether Jaffer wins at the Port of Mombasa has always been yes. That observation is accurate and damning. It points not to a single government’s failure but to a systemic failure of the Kenyan state to subordinate private infrastructure control to public interest when the private controller has sufficient political proximity and legal firepower to resist. That resistance has been sustained across decades, across party lines, and now apparently across criminal investigations.

    Abass Jaffer did not respond to questions about the lease renewal. Mujtaba Jaffer has been the public face of a grain company fighting a cargo lien case in Mombasa courts. KPA’s managing director, the Ministry of Transport, and Bulkstream representatives all declined to comment on the early renewal when contacted by international media. The silence is coherent with a business that has never needed to justify itself to the public because the public has never had a meaningful alternative.

    The 20-year lease simply extends the runway. Ordinary Kenyans will keep paying the toll on their bread. Ugandan wheat importers will continue navigating the lien disputes of the only terminal operator in East Africa’s largest port. Senators will keep naming names in committee rooms. Parliamentary committees will keep writing reports that no one is obliged to implement. And somewhere in the Ministry of Roads and Transport, the gazette notice is being prepared.

  • THE POISON THAT WON’T GO AWAY: Why Rejected Fuel From One Petroleum May Still Be Circulating Despite Assurances

    THE POISON THAT WON’T GO AWAY: Why Rejected Fuel From One Petroleum May Still Be Circulating Despite Assurances

    When Energy and Petroleum Cabinet Secretary Opiyo Wandayi stood before the nation on Tuesday, April 7, and ordered the immediate withdrawal of 60,000 tonnes of condemned super petrol from the Kenya Pipeline Company’s storage network, his directive arrived with the gravity of a man trying to unring a bell.

    By then, according to multiple industry executives who spoke to Kenya Insights, the fuel was not waiting obediently in a tank to be recalled.

    It had already been absorbed into the veins of a national pipeline system that does not segregate cargoes, does not reserve space by importer, and does not operate with the kind of surgical precision that would allow any single consignment of tainted petrol to be extracted from a system that, by its very design, blends everything it receives.

    The question that Kenya’s energy governance apparatus refuses to formally answer — and that Wandayi and the Kenya Pipeline Company have conspicuously avoided — is whether millions of Kenyans who filled their tanks over the Easter holiday weekend were unknowingly consuming petrol laced with levels of sulphur, manganese, and benzene that the Kenya Bureau of Standards has explicitly declared unacceptable for the Kenyan market.

    THE PIPELINE DOES NOT LIE

    Understanding the catastrophic implications of One Petroleum’s assurance requires understanding how KPC’s infrastructure actually works. When a petroleum tanker docks at the Port of Mombasa and discharges its cargo, the product does not flow into a dedicated tank bearing the importer’s name. It flows directly into the national pipeline system by grade — petrol into the petrol stream, diesel into the diesel stream, and dual-purpose kerosene into its own channel. KPC’s depots at Kipevu, Nairobi, Nakuru, Eldoret, and Kisumu all receive product from the same undifferentiated streams.

    Three separate oil marketing company executives, speaking anonymously to avoid what one described as fear of State reprisals, confirmed to Kenya Insights and Business Daily that the moment One Petroleum’s MT Paloma discharged its 68,000-tonne cargo at Mombasa between March 27 and 29, that product was irreversibly blended with whatever was already in the national system.

    “KPC does not segregate fuel at the discharge point. The product is stored separately for each grade. One Petroleum cannot retrieve the fuel that they supplied.”

    The statement above, attributed to one of three industry executives, encapsulates what the government has been unable to publicly concede: that the withdrawal order issued by Wandayi, legally and politically sound as it may have been, is physically impossible to execute.

    Oil marketers who had already booked cargo under One Petroleum’s consignment — including Astrol Petroleum with 2.35 million litres, Aftah Petroleum with 2.065 million litres, Be Energy with 636,657 litres, and Ainushamsi Energy with 363,029 litres — had already paid their taxes to the Kenya Revenue Authority and were, in all likelihood, lifting product from a pipeline that no longer distinguished between good and bad fuel.

    THE EASTER WINDOW: WHEN OVERSIGHT WENT SILENT

    The timeline is damning precisely because of what it reveals about the window during which oversight was absent. MT Paloma docked and discharged between March 27 and 29. The Easter public holiday weekend began on April 3. The DCI arrests of Petroleum Principal Secretary Mohamed Liban, KPC Managing Director Joe Sang, and EPRA Director-General Daniel Kiptoo Bargoria, though also conducted on the night of April 2, triggered immediate resignations that left the regulatory apparatus effectively headless during one of the highest fuel-demand periods in Kenya’s annual calendar.

    Business Daily, citing State fears, reported that the government ordered the exit of the consignment from the country precisely because of concerns that part of the emergency cargo had already been consumed over the Easter holiday.

    That phrasing, embedded in an official government narrative, is as close to an admission as Kenya’s political class has yet managed: the fuel may already be gone, pumped into the tanks of millions of motorists who had no way of knowing that the petrol they purchased had been flagged by a KPC quality assurance manager as non-compliant with national standards.

    The KPC quality assurance manager at the centre of the scandal reportedly halted distribution upon testing the consignment and escalated the matter through internal channels.

    Yet the internal disagreement that followed — over whether the product should be released into the market before a full investigation could be conducted — suggests that pressure was applied to release the fuel anyway. The question of who applied that pressure, and why, is at the heart of the DCI’s criminal investigation.

    A WAIVER THAT OPENED THE GATE

    The bureaucratic infrastructure that allowed substandard fuel to enter Kenya’s system at all was constructed through an extraordinary set of regulatory waivers that bypassed the very safeguards designed to protect consumers.

    On March 26, 2026, then-PS Mohamed Liban wrote to Kenya Bureau of Standards Managing Director Esther Ngari, seeking a temporary waiver on standard pre-export verification procedures.

    His rationale was the disruption caused by the US-Iran conflict and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which had trapped 85,000 tonnes of Gulf Energy petrol at the Port of Jebel Ali in Dubai.

    The letter Liban wrote to Ngari acknowledged that ship-to-ship transfer methods, which the emergency importers were using, meant that cargo originally destined for other markets — markets with different, often lower, quality standards — might not have received the standard certificate of conformity issued by KEBS-authorised agents at the load port. In plain language: Kenya was asking its standards regulator to allow in fuel that had been tested for another country’s requirements, not Kenya’s.

    What followed was even more remarkable. A letter dated March 28, signed by Trade and Investment Cabinet Secretary Lee Kinyanjui and addressed to Energy CS Wandayi, granted a waiver on the petroleum products on the grounds that they contained high levels of manganese, sulphur, and benzene. Kinyanjui listed six conditions for the waiver. The fuel came in anyway.

    The conditions, whatever they were, were not sufficient to prevent a cargo that the nation’s own standards body acknowledged was non-compliant from flowing into the KPC system.

    “Waiver is hereby granted on the petroleum that has high levels of manganese, sulphur and benzene.” — Trade CS Lee Kinyanjui, leaked letter dated March 28, 2026

    THE JAFFER NETWORK: WHO STANDS BEHIND ONE PETROLEUM

    One Petroleum Limited is not a company that emerged from nowhere to win a Sh11.8 billion emergency fuel contract. Corporate registry documents reveal a firm whose shareholder structure includes Mohamed Jaffer, Mujtaba Jaffer, Ali Abbas Jaffer, and Mohamed Husein Jaffer — members of a prominent Mombasa business dynasty with long roots in the coastal petroleum trade.

    The presence of Mbaraki Holdings Limited, a Mauritius-registered entity holding 41,098 ordinary shares, introduces an offshore financial dimension that investigators note is commonly used to obscure beneficial ownership and move value across jurisdictions beyond the reach of Kenya’s financial monitoring systems.

    Preliminary DCI findings have reportedly indicated that the fuel itself originated with Saudi Aramco before being sold to a separate international intermediary and then redirected through One Petroleum to Kenya.

    This chain of custody — from a legitimate sovereign supplier, through an offshore resale mechanism, into an emergency procurement corridor that bypassed normal verification — is the architecture investigators say may constitute criminal economic sabotage.

    The DCI has confirmed it is liaising with investigative agencies in other countries under Mutual Legal Assistance frameworks to trace the full provenance of the cargo.

    Searches of suspects’ homes during the April 2 DCI raids reportedly recovered close to Sh500 million in cash and assets, according to sources cited by Kenya Today, believed by investigators to potentially represent proceeds from the petroleum transactions under scrutiny.

    No charges have been formally filed, and all five detained officials — Liban, Sang, Kiptoo, Deputy Director of Petroleum Joseph Wafula, and KPC Supply and Logistics Manager Joel Mburu — were released on Sh100,000 police cash bail each pending court appearance.

    THE DATA WAS FALSIFIED: A MANUFACTURED CRISIS

    The scandal takes on an even more sinister dimension when the origins of the emergency procurement are examined.

    According to a statement from the Chief of Staff and Head of Public Service Felix Koskei, primary duty bearers in the petroleum supply chain are alleged to have manipulated data on in-country fuel stocks, deliberately creating a false impression of an impending supply shortfall.

    That falsified data was then used to trigger the NSCC directive that instructed Liban to seek alternative fuel sources.

    The NSCC meeting that approved the emergency importation on March 9 was copied to an extraordinary roster of the country’s top security chiefs: National Intelligence Service Director-General Noordin Haji, Chief of Defence Forces Charles Kahariri, Inspector-General of Police Douglas Kanja, and three principal secretaries.

    The political cover was immaculate.

    If the data on which that NSCC recommendation was based had been manipulated, then the entire emergency procurement chain — from the NSCC directive, through Liban’s letters, through Kinyanjui’s waiver, to One Petroleum’s discharge at Mombasa — was built on a manufactured crisis.

    Before Uganda could serve as a regional buffer, Kenya had reportedly approached Kampala requesting to borrow fuel stocks as a stop-gap. Uganda rejected the request, partly because Ugandan petrol stations had already raised pump prices over fears of regional shortages linked to the Middle East conflict.

    Kenya then pivoted to the emergency import contracts awarded to One Petroleum and Oryx Energies.

    That Uganda, which depends on Kenya’s pipeline infrastructure for its own fuel supplies, was also drawn into the regional disruption illustrates how a domestic manipulation of stock data can have cascading cross-border consequences.

    THE PIPELINE’S SEVEN LABORATORIES AND THE ALLEGATION OF INSTITUTIONAL CAPTURE

    KPC operates seven ISO-accredited laboratories across its depot network. Under normal circumstances, those laboratories represent an insurmountable quality firewall between suspect fuel and Kenyan consumers.

    The problem, as described by insiders to Nation Media Group’s investigative team, is that those laboratories are only as independent as the officials who manage the institutions around them.

    If the regulator and the pipeline company are in institutional alignment — which the alleged collusion of Kiptoo and Sang would suggest — then quality certificates can cease to be a defence and instead become what one source called a mask for the fraud.

    The DCI is specifically investigating how the consignment passed through KPC’s quality assurance framework. A KPC quality assurance manager reportedly flagged concerns, halted distribution, and escalated the issue.

    But the internal disagreement that followed suggests that someone above that manager pushed for distribution regardless. Who gave that instruction, and at whose behest, remains the centrepiece of the criminal probe.

    FUEL RATIONING, ENGINE DAMAGE FEARS, AND THE KTA WARNING

    Even as the government maintained that fuel supply was stable, reality unravelled conspicuously at the pump. The Kenya Transporters Association formally wrote to EPRA, the Ministry of Energy, KPC, and all oil marketing companies on April 8, warning of paralysing fuel shortages along key logistics corridors.

    Transporters reported being turned away at fuel stations, forced to buy in small quantities across multiple stops, and experiencing a complete withdrawal of credit facilities by oil marketing companies. The KTA letter described the situation as making it nearly impossible to sustain long-haul operations.

    Motorists had already been raising alarm about fuel quality even before the scandal broke publicly, with reports of engine damage linked to contaminated petroleum products circulating in the weeks before the DCI arrests.

    Martin Chomba, chair of the Petroleum Outlets Association of Kenya, noted in an April 7 interview that some shipments may contain higher sulphur content than Kenya’s preferred standards, acknowledging that while technically usable, such fuel raises compliance questions and could affect vehicle performance.

    The National Assembly’s Energy Committee summoned Wandayi to appear before it on April 9, alongside KPC and EPRA, to explain both the substandard fuel and the worsening shortage.

    “Every motorist, every hawker, every schoolchild breathing roadside air in Nairobi is an unwitting participant.” — Kenya Insights, April 2026

    THE KPC IPO FALLOUT: SH106 BILLION AT RISK

    The scandal lands at the worst possible moment for President William Ruto’s flagship privatisation programme. The KPC initial public offering, completed in March 2026, was celebrated as a landmark success — 105 percent oversubscribed, with 70,000 ordinary Kenyans purchasing shares at Sh9 each.

    Yet as Nation Africa’s analysis revealed, non-EAC foreign investors took only 0.02 percent of the shares on offer, a detail that in retrospect suggests international institutional money may have priced in governance risks that domestic retail investors were not informed about.

    If those who ran KPC at the time of the IPO — including Joe Sang, who has now resigned in disgrace — are proven to have been complicit in a scheme to flood Kenya’s national fuel supply chain with substandard, adulterated product, then every investor who purchased KPC shares on the basis of governance disclosures made during the IPO roadshow faces a question that should alarm any regulatory authority: were material facts withheld?

    The Sh106 billion valuation of KPC now rests on the credibility of an institution whose former management is under criminal investigation for allegedly poisoning the very product it was tasked with delivering.

    WHAT THE GOVERNMENT WILL NOT SAY

    The official position, as articulated by Wandayi, is that the fuel did not enter the Kenyan market because One Petroleum confirmed it had taken steps to ensure the cargo from MT Paloma does not enter the Kenyan market.

    One Petroleum’s statement, published after consultations with the government, maintained that the petroleum cargo brought in via MT Paloma would not enter the market.

    What neither statement addresses is what happened between March 27, when MT Paloma discharged, and the date those commitments were made. KPC’s own structural reality, confirmed by three anonymous industry executives, is that a discharged cargo of petrol cannot be isolated once it enters the pipeline.

    The physics of petroleum infrastructure are not subject to ministerial directives. The fuel mixed the moment it was discharged. The assurance that it will not enter the market is, at best, a commitment about future conduct.

    It says nothing about what has already flowed out of Mombasa’s Kipevu depot and through the pipeline to Nairobi, Nakuru, Eldoret, and Kisumu, where oil marketers were already lifting volumes and paying KRA taxes on cargo they had booked before Wandayi issued his instruction.

    Kenya Insights has established that Wandayi and KPC remained tight-lipped on the full fate of the fuel even as the Business Daily reported industry fears that part of the consignment could have already flowed to motorists’ tanks.

    In a country where motor vehicle penetration continues to rise and where the informal transport sector runs almost entirely on petrol and diesel, a silent contamination of the national fuel supply is not a technical inconvenience.

    It is a public health event.

    The government’s silence on exactly how much of the One Petroleum cargo was already distributed before the withdrawal order was issued is not just a communications failure. It is an accountability failure of the highest order.

    CONCLUSION: THE BELL CANNOT BE UNRUNG

    One Petroleum’s public statement of compliance with Wandayi’s withdrawal directive achieved exactly what it was designed to achieve: it shifted public attention from the irreversible to the procedural.

    By issuing a statement of compliance, the company converted a question about what had already happened into a question about what it would do next. The government, desperate for a political resolution ahead of the April 14 EPRA price review cycle — when pump prices are expected to rise by as much as Sh53 per litre — accepted that framing.

    But the pipeline industry’s physical reality does not accommodate political framing. The Kenya Pipeline Company is a flow system. It does not hold cargo in named containers.

    It does not reserve capacity per importer.

    It does not have a mechanism to reverse the discharge of 68,000 tonnes of substandard petrol once that petrol has been blended with the national supply stream.

    Three industry executives said so, on the record within their anonymity, to Kenya Insights and Business Daily. The DCI knows it. The oil marketing companies know it. The motorists who filled their tanks over Easter weekend did not know it — and they were given no opportunity to find out.

    The most important question in this scandal is not whether One Petroleum complied with the withdrawal order.

    It is whether any Kenyan filling a tank at a petrol station between March 27 and the date of that order was protected by the regulatory system that their taxes fund.

    The answer, based on everything Kenya Insights has established, is that they were not. And the government, as of this writing, has offered them nothing except silence.

  • How Firm Linked To Mombasa Tycoon Jaffer Was Allowed To Import Fuel At Bloated Price And Set To Make Billions In Profits From Iranian War Crisis In Kenya

    How Firm Linked To Mombasa Tycoon Jaffer Was Allowed To Import Fuel At Bloated Price And Set To Make Billions In Profits From Iranian War Crisis In Kenya

    A petroleum company linked to Mombasa billionaire Mohammed Jaffer was quietly allowed to import expensive petrol at three times the normal cost in early March, positioning the politically connected businessman to reap billions in profits as Kenya grappled with the fallout from the US-Israel war with Iran.

    One Petroleum, a subsidiary of Jaffer’s Mbaraki Bulk Terminal Ltd, was among two local firms cleared by the Ministry of Energy to ship in 60 tonnes of petrol each outside the government-to-government deal that Kenya signed with three Gulf oil majors.

    The emergency imports came as the government scrambled to avert shortages tied to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz following Iranian drone attacks on oil facilities in the Gulf region.

    Industry sources revealed at the time that One Petroleum quoted a premium of $290 per tonne, equivalent to Sh37,691.3, which was three times the $84, or Sh10,917.48, quoted for a similar quantity of fuel under the G-to-G deal involving Saudi Aramco, Emirates National Oil Company, and Abu Dhabi National Oil Company.

    The two cargo consignments imported outside the deal were to be part of those used in setting monthly pump prices from April 15, meaning Kenyan consumers were staring at a potential steep climb in fuel costs.

    “We are looking at an increase of at least Sh19 per litre on account of the premiums alone. Then we also add the global benchmark prices of fuel for the month of March which are higher than those from the month of February. The effect is going to be huge unless the government goes for a significant subsidy,” an industry source was quoted at the time.

    The empire of Mohammed Jaffer

    One Petroleum is a subsidiary of Mbaraki Bulk Terminal Ltd, a multi-petroleum products handling facility at the port of Mombasa that is partly owned by Jaffer, a businessman who has managed to secure safe ties with political regimes since the era of President Daniel arap Moi.

    Jaffer, who founded the MJ Group conglomerate now valued at over Sh16.3 billion, was previously a supporter of the late opposition leader Raila Odinga but has since made peace with President William Ruto, whom he had opposed in the last election.

    Company records show Jaffer’s family members, including Mojtaba Mohamed Jaffer, Ali Abbas Jaffer and Mohamed Husein Jaffer, are listed as directors of One Petroleum.

    Others are Solomon Esebwe Mwanjuma Ondego, Ali Salaah Balala, who serves as executive director, and Jonathan James Stokes. Nicholas Kokita is the company secretary.

    The Jaffers are also associated with Africa Gas and Oil Company, One Gas Ltd and Grain Bulk Handlers.

    Africa Gas is partly controlled by the billionaire, who also owns Grain Bulk Handlers, which imports the bulk of the liquefied petroleum gas consumed in Kenya and controls a significant transit market to neighbouring countries.

    A monopoly under threat

    The businessman has been able to maintain a monopoly not only in port operations but also in the LPG industry.

    His empire, however, came under threat from President Ruto’s decision to bring in a new entrant, Taifa Gas, owned by Tanzanian billionaire Rostam Aziz, who put up a 30,000-tonne gas plant at the Dongo Kundu Special Economic Zone in Likoni.

    Jaffer appeared to have made peace with the president and won another tender.

    His company, Grain Bulk Handlers, launched a new grain-handling and storage terminal in Embakasi, Nairobi, in April 2023, with President Ruto attending the event and expressing confidence that the terminal would play a vital role in addressing food security in the country.

    But the Jaffer empire has faced scrutiny before. In 2021, the Kenya Revenue Authority went to court accusing the family’s oil and gas firms of Sh68 million tax evasion.

    How the crisis created opportunity

    The emergency imports that allowed One Petroleum to charge inflated premiums were necessitated by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz following Iran’s drone attacks on oil facilities in Gulf countries.

    Iran attacked at least 18 merchant ships along the strategic waterway in response to US-Israel strikes against it, significantly hindering the movement of fuel from the oil-rich region.

    Nearly 25 per cent of the global liquefied natural gas and fuel passes across the Strait of Hormuz, enabling its movement from the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman, the Arabian Sea and beyond.

    Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar and Bahrain rely on the strait to deliver the vast majority of their oil exports.

    A vessel carrying 114.7 million litres of super from Emirates National Oil Company was unable to leave the Port of Jebel Ali in Dubai due to the closure, prompting the Ministry of Energy to float the idea of shipping fuel outside the G-to-G deal.

    Sources said a section of importers under the deal did not support the idea, citing the potential impact of steep premiums compared to the fixed ones under the government-backed arrangement.

    But the ministry went ahead and cleared One Petroleum and Oryx Energies to ship in the combined 120 tonnes of petrol.

    One Petroleum discharged its cargo, while that for Oryx arrived later.

    The G-to-G deal under the spotlight

    The G-to-G deal, which was designed to address dollar shortages and stabilise fuel supply through six-month credit arrangements backed by Kenyan bank letters of credit, has been a centre of controversy since its inception in March 2023.

    The deal involves Gulf firms Saudi Aramco, Emirates National Oil Co, and Abu Dhabi National Oil Co, and has been running through three main oil companies, Galana Energies, Gulf Energy, and Oryx Energies, which have been distributing fuel on behalf of the three Gulf oil companies.

    According to the Ministry of Energy and Petroleum, Kenya extended the G-to-G deal with the Gulf oil firms to 2028. The three firms will continue to supply gasoline, diesel, kerosene and jet fuel under the 180-day credit arrangement until early 2028.

    By mid-November 2023, oil imports under the scheme amounted to about $3.7 billion, equivalent to Sh592 billion. Letters of credit worth over $784 million, or Sh125.4 billion, were also settled, underlining the lucrative nature of the deal for players involved.

    What the windfall meant for One Petroleum

    With One Petroleum importing petrol at a premium three times higher than the G-to-G rate, the potential profits were staggering.

    The company invoiced oil companies, with the price build-up showing a premium of $290 per tonne. For a 60-tonne consignment, this translated to a premium payment of $17,400, or approximately Sh2.26 million, above the normal rate.

    But the real money lay in the fact that the cargo was to be used to set pump prices nationwide.

    With the premium factored into the pricing formula, the company stood to make billions in additional revenue from the inflated cost structure that would be passed on to consumers.

    Political connections paying off

    The addition of One Petroleum to the exclusive circle of firms allowed to import fuel represents a significant victory for Jaffer, who has maintained a delicate balancing act in Kenya’s turbulent political landscape. His ability to secure favour from successive regimes, from Moi to Ruto, speaks to a sophisticated understanding of how political connections translate into business opportunities.

    Jaffer’s empire spans grain handling, oil and gas, and port operations, giving him control over critical infrastructure that handles the bulk of Kenya’s imports. With the government allowing his firm to import fuel at bloated prices during a national crisis, his dominance over the country’s energy sector was set to grow even further.

    Global disruptions and the changing landscape

    Following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, oil exporters from the Gulf, including Saudi Aramco which is part of the G-to-G deal, turned to alternative routes. They began using the Sikka Port in India, the Port of Antwerp-Bruges in Belgium and the ports situated along the Red Sea for the transportation of oil to markets such as Kenya.

    About 239.1 million litres of petrol were set to be loaded onto two vessels at the Port of Antwerp-Bruges in Belgium. The vessels were to sail towards Kenya via the Red Sea-Mediterranean route and dock at the Port of Mombasa between April 16 and April 27. Another 81.15 million litres of dual-purpose kerosene and 75.6 million litres of diesel were to be loaded onto vessels at the Sikka Port in India, with those vessels expected to dock at the Port of Mombasa between April 12 and April 21.

    The cost to Kenyans

    While One Petroleum and its politically connected owners stood to make billions from the arrangement, ordinary Kenyans faced the prospect of yet another punishing price hike. The April 15 price review was expected to deliver the highest pump prices in months, reflecting the impact of the fuel supply disruptions caused by the attacks on oil facilities in the Gulf.

    The global energy markets reacted sharply to the crisis, with oil prices surging after Iran threatened shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz. Treasury Cabinet Secretary John Mbadi warned lawmakers that the longer the conflict dragged on, the greater the economic shock could become, cautioning that prolonged disruptions to global energy and trade routes could have massive consequences for Kenya’s economy.

    But for Jaffer and One Petroleum, the crisis presented a golden opportunity. The company not only secured a place in the exclusive circle of importers but was also allowed to import fuel at bloated prices that would be passed directly to consumers. It was a classic case of crisis capitalism, where those with the right connections turn national emergencies into personal windfalls.

    What followed

    The Ministry of Energy and Petroleum did not immediately respond to queries over the two vessels and how the government would treat the significantly high premiums in order to protect consumers. Without a steep subsidy, the April 15 to May 14 prices were expected to be the highest in months.

    Energy and Petroleum Regulatory Authority Director General David Kiptoo later revealed in a television interview that the regulator had incorporated One Petroleum and Asharami Synergy into the G-to-G deal, bringing the number of oil firms to five. Under the current arrangement, three Kenyan oil marketing companies, Galana Oil, Gulf Energy and Oryx Energy, own cargo upon delivery to Mombasa port by the international Gulf-based oil giants.

    The expansion of the deal to include Jaffer’s company raised fresh questions about transparency and whether the government was using the cover of a global crisis to reward its political allies. For now, one thing was certain. While ordinary Kenyans braced for another round of punishing price hikes, the politically connected players in the lucrative oil import game were counting their billions.