Tag: Diageo

  • Sold And Abandoned: How Diageo and Asahi Are Locking Kenya’s EABL Minority Shareholders Out Of East Africa’s Biggest Corporate Heist

    Sold And Abandoned: How Diageo and Asahi Are Locking Kenya’s EABL Minority Shareholders Out Of East Africa’s Biggest Corporate Heist

    The mathematics of corporate betrayal in Kenya rarely gets as naked as this. On one side of the ledger, Diageo Plc, the British multinational that has controlled East African Breweries Limited for decades, is walking away from Nairobi with a windfall that values its 65 percent stake at Sh303.5 billion — a price of Sh590.78 per share, a 97 percent premium over what ordinary investors on the Nairobi Securities Exchange could ever dream of receiving.

    On the other side sit tens of thousands of Kenyan retail shareholders, the small investors who believed in the promise of East Africa’s most iconic brewer, who are being left at the door of the most consequential corporate transaction this country has witnessed in a generation.

    Behind the share price ticker and the regulatory filings lies something else entirely: a decade-long legal endurance race between a market-dominant multinational and two Kenyan companies that built their businesses within EABL’s orbit, paid for that privilege, and are now watching the exit door close before a single shilling of what courts at every level have said they are owed has been paid.

    For Bia Tosha Distributors and JILK Construction Company, the Diageo-Asahi transaction is not a corporate milestone. It is an enforcement cliff.

    A formal legal objection filed at the Capital Markets Authority by Nairobi law firm Wamalwa and Echesa Co. Advocates, on behalf of minority shareholder Shane Ngechu, has forced the regulatory dimension into the open.

    The petition demands that the CMA compel Asahi to make a mandatory takeover offer to all EABL shareholders on terms no less favourable than those agreed with Diageo, arguing that allowing the deal to proceed without such an offer would constitute unjustifiable differential treatment in violation of Article 27 of the Constitution of Kenya, which guarantees equality before the law.

    “The Diageo consideration does not represent, and should not be construed as, a direct price per share or valuation of the ordinary shares of EABL.” — Asahi Group Holdings, December 2025

    A PREMIUM THAT EVAPORATED OVERNIGHT

    When Diageo announced on December 17, 2025 that it had agreed to sell its controlling stake to Asahi, the market response was predictable and immediate. EABL shares, trading at Sh252 on the NSE, surged 18.94 percent to Sh299.75 the following day as retail investors piled in, believing a mandatory buyout offer was imminent.

    Analysts pointed to Asahi’s implied valuation of Sh590.78 per share and concluded, not unreasonably, that an offer at or near that price was coming.

    They were wrong. Asahi moved quickly to disabuse the market of that notion, warning publicly that the Diageo price should not be taken as an indicator of the company’s general market value. The share price retreated.

    By January 2026, EABL was trading at Sh254.75.

    The brief euphoria had wiped Sh12.45 billion from the paper wealth of minority shareholders who had bought in on the announcement, leaving them nursing losses on a premium they never received.

    The Asahi announcement was not timed for market sentiment. Diageo Interim CEO Nik Jhangiani said the deal delivers significant value for Diageo shareholders and accelerates the group’s commitment to strengthening its balance sheet.

    The announcement was made on December 17. Courts operate at reduced capacity over the Christmas holiday period.

    Counsel is difficult to mobilise. This timing was noted in the urgent court filings that followed weeks later — and the observation has not been rebutted.

    THE REGULATORY TRAP

    Kenya’s Capital Markets Regulations set a clear threshold. Any entity acquiring 25 percent or more of effective control in a listed company must extend a mandatory takeover offer to all remaining shareholders.

    The purpose of this rule is straightforward: when a controlling shareholder exits at a premium, ordinary investors must have the same opportunity to sell.

    Asahi is not acquiring 25 percent of EABL. It is acquiring 65 percent — more than two and a half times the statutory threshold. Yet Asahi has confirmed publicly it intends to apply for an exemption from the mandatory offer requirement, citing its stated desire to maintain EABL’s listing and what it describes as the commercial benefits of retaining minority shareholders.

    The Wamalwa and Echesa petition draws a pointed comparison with the Sanlam Kenya rights issue of 2025, in which the CMA granted an exemption because the transaction involved a rescue of a financially distressed company with no premium being paid to a controlling shareholder.

    The EABL transaction involves none of those circumstances. Diageo and Asahi are profitable multinationals transacting at their leisure over a brewer that posted a net profit of Sh11.2 billion in the half-year to December 2025, declaring an interim dividend of Sh4.00 per share against Sh1.50 a year earlier.

    In Nigeria, Ghana, and Seychelles, Diageo’s exits triggered mandatory buyout offers. Only in Kenya are minority shareholders being left with nothing but a polite warning not to get their hopes up.

    The petition also highlights what ought to be a damning continental precedent.

    When Diageo sold its 80.4 percent stake in Guinness Ghana Breweries in July 2025, the transaction triggered a mandatory takeover offer to minority shareholders.

    The October 2024 sale of Guinness Nigeria to Singapore’s Tolaram included a mandatory tender offer at a 63 percent premium over market price. Seychelles Breweries followed the same structure.

    In every African jurisdiction where Diageo has recently divested, regulators compelled the acquirer to extend a buyout offer to all shareholders. Kenya appears to be the sole exception, and the CMA has offered no public explanation for why.

    WHERE IT STARTED: 22 ROUTES AND A BROKEN PROMISE

    The story of how Bia Tosha Distributors Limited ended up fighting not just EABL and Diageo but now arguably the Chief Justice herself begins in Nairobi West in 1997. That was the year Anne-Marie Burugu’s company entered its first distribution agreement with Kenya Breweries Limited, the dominant EABL subsidiary.

    Over the next nine years, Bia Tosha paid millions in goodwill fees to acquire exclusive rights across 22 routes spanning some of the most lucrative beer-drinking territory in the country — Athi River, Kitengela, Kajiado, Kiserian, Langata, Rongai, Nairobi West, South B, Industrial Area, and a dozen others.

    These were not informal handshakes.

    They were commercial contracts that Bia Tosha negotiated, paid for, and operated.

    In 2006, Kenya Breweries began repossessing the routes. Routes that Bia Tosha had paid goodwill to acquire were handed to new distributors. The Sh38 million goodwill Bia Tosha had paid was declared non-refundable.

    The agreements, KBL now insisted, had never been exclusive. Bia Tosha went to court. What followed is one of the most instructive case studies in how a market-dominant multinational can use every legal, financial, and corporate instrument available to it — year after year, court after court — to frustrate a smaller party’s access to justice while simultaneously expanding and entrenching its market position.

    The High Court issued conservatory orders protecting Bia Tosha’s routes in June 2016. EABL and KBL, Burugu alleges in sworn affidavits, simply ignored them.

    The brewer continued supplying the new distributors in Bia Tosha’s territories, defied the order at every level, and when the matter reached the Court of Appeal, used its decision as the basis for arguing the High Court’s orders had been discharged.

    The Supreme Court, sitting as a five-judge bench in February 2023, cut through this argument definitively. It reinstated the June 2016 conservatory orders, found that EABL had committed contempt, and sent the matter back to the High Court to assess punishment.

    The bench was categorical: the respondents could only appear before the High Court to purge the contempt before they could be given any further audience.

    Bia Tosha sought a fine equivalent to 20 percent of EABL’s gross turnover — roughly Sh39 billion — and civil jail sentences of up to six months for EABL CEO Jane Karuku, Uganda Breweries MD Andrew Kilonzo, and former EABL CEO Andrew Cowan, the three executives found in contempt.

    EABL’s response was to file a review application at the Supreme Court arguing the executives had been condemned without a hearing. The Supreme Court dismissed this attempt in May 2023, confirming the punishment must be addressed at the High Court.

    The three executives named in the contempt proceedings then received promotions. Jane Karuku was elevated to EABL Group CEO. Andrew Kilonzo was sent to run Uganda Breweries. Andrew Cowan was made MD for Diageo’s Africa Travel Retail division. The signal inside the company — that disobeying court orders leads to advancement rather than accountability — was not lost on those watching. Kilonzo’s Uganda tenure later produced its own COMESA violation findings, after which he was rotated back to Kenya as KBL MD, reuniting with Karuku in the same leadership structure the Supreme Court had found in contempt. The circle was complete.

    EABL’S PLAYBOOK: HOW YOU WEAPONISE PROCESS

    Diageo and EABL’s public line is that Bia Tosha is the one weaponising the courts — using decade-old commercial litigation to interfere with a nationally significant transaction. In documents filed by Diageo’s legal team, Bia Tosha’s application is described as hollow, a brazen attempt to advance private commercial interests under the guise of constitutional litigation, and an attempt to hoodwink the court. These characterisations deserve scrutiny.

    Between June 2016 and March 2026, every court that examined Bia Tosha’s core claim has found in the distributor’s favour.

    The High Court issued conservatory orders in 2016. The Court of Appeal sustained the orders. The Supreme Court in February 2023 reinstated those orders and found EABL in contempt.

    A High Court ruling in December 2024 struck down the competing claims of two new distributors — Ngong Matonyok and Manara — who had been given Bia Tosha’s territories, ruling their appointments violated the 2016 conservatory orders. The judiciary at every level has confirmed that EABL violated the contract and defied the orders.

    What EABL has demonstrated in this case is a different kind of weaponisation: the use of superior legal resources, institutional relationships, and procedural complexity to delay, dilute, and ultimately outlast a smaller opponent.

    The company’s legal team — led in this matter by Njoroge Regeru, with Senior Counsel Prof. Githu Muigai’s firm involved in parallel proceedings — is on a retainer that industry insiders estimate at close to Ksh3 million per month, separate from per-matter billings. The incentive structure of retainer-funded litigation does not naturally produce recommendations for arbitration or settlement when the legal budget is large, annual, and guaranteed.

    Bia Tosha also alleges that after the Supreme Court ordered reinstatement, EABL effectively sponsored the new distributors it had placed on its routes to file their own petitions at the High Court, arguing their rights would be violated if Bia Tosha was reinstated.

    The High Court in December 2024 rejected those petitions. But the strategy of manufacturing competing litigation to create procedural obstacles is itself instructive. When courts find against you, you generate fresh litigation to relitigate what has already been decided.

    “The respondents have acted with reckless abandon and with total contempt for the authority of this court, have continued to infringe upon the applicant’s distribution areas.” — Anne-Marie Burugu, Managing Director, Bia Tosha Distributors

    THE COMESA VERDICT: WHAT DIAGEO ADMITTED

    The systemic nature of EABL’s conduct toward its distributor network is not a matter of allegation alone. In October 2025, the COMESA Competition Commission validated what distributors had been whispering for years.

    A four-year investigation into Diageo’s distribution practices, formally registered as Case No. CCC/ACBP/4/1/2021, concluded that contracts in Uganda, Eswatini, and Zambia contained clauses imposing minimum resale prices, single-branding restrictions, and territorial segmentation that violated regional competition law.

    Diageo settled the case for $750,000 and committed to removing all restrictive clauses and notifying distributors within 30 days. The settlement was signed in London on September 30, 2025.

    For a company of Diageo’s size, the fine was a rounding error.

    The significance lay elsewhere: an internationally mandated competition body had formally found that Diageo’s distribution practices breach fair trade principles across the region. The practices were not confined to one market. They were the architecture.

    Within Kenya, EABL’s Distributor Finance Scheme, introduced in 2018, requires all distributors to hold their working capital in accounts linked to five nominated banks including KCB, Equity, and Absa, with payments flowing through Safaricom till numbers connected to these accounts.

    The practical consequence is that EABL has direct access to the bank accounts of its distributors and can debit funds without prior reconciliation or consultation.

    Distributors who raised concerns about erroneous or delayed debits were told to top up their accounts immediately. Those who considered protesting knew the lesson Bia Tosha had already taught the network: complain, and your contract disappears.

    Distributors are also rigidly segmented by product. Those selling Senator Keg cannot distribute mainstream beer or spirits. Those selling Tusker and Johnnie Walker cannot touch Keg. Cross-selling between product lines is prohibited even where consumer demand clearly exists.

    Taken together, the system creates a network of commercially dependent operators who own their vehicles, warehouses, and working capital but function, to all intents and purposes, as captive distribution arms of EABL — bearing all the commercial risk without any of the pricing or operational autonomy that genuine independent commerce requires.

    THE KISUMU FILES: JILK AND PROJECT NAFASI

    Running parallel to the distributor dispute, and increasingly intertwined with it, is the JILK Construction case — a story that adds allegations of sexual harassment, fabricated whistleblower reports, and arbitration corruption to an already combustible picture.

    In October 2017, JILK Construction Company Limited was awarded three civil works contracts by Kenya Breweries Limited for what was branded Project Nafasi — the Ksh15 billion revival of the dormant Kisumu Brewery, described at the time as one of the largest private investments in Western Kenya since independence.

    The project was designed to integrate more than 15,000 sorghum farmers into KBL’s supply chain and create over 100,000 jobs. JILK completed the works and handed over the site. Disputes emerged over the final amount owed.

    JILK initially claimed Ksh163 million. The matter was referred to arbitration, with Mutinda Mutuku appointed as sole arbitrator by the Architectural Association of Kenya. What KBL discovered — or so it alleges — was that Mutuku had undisclosed prior financial dealings with JILK, having received payments totalling hundreds of millions of shillings from JILK before his appointment, and maintained regular contact with JILK’s CEO during proceedings.

    KBL moved to have Mutuku recuse himself. Both the Architectural Association and the High Court declined. By the time the arbitration neared an award, the claim had escalated from Ksh163 million to Ksh2.45 billion — a 1,400 percent increase that KBL describes as evidence of a compromised process.

    In December 2024, KBL filed a petition seeking to annul the arbitration proceedings entirely and obtained ex parte conservatory orders barring the arbitrator from delivering his award. The orders were granted by Justice Freda Mugambi and described by legal observers including former Law Society of Kenya President Nelson Havi as unprecedented in duration — three months, when such orders typically last no longer than 14 days.

    Havi publicly asked why Diageo, the majority EABL shareholder and not a registered trading company in Kenya, appeared to have acted as the effective client and project supervisor during construction. If JILK’s allegations are correct and the whistleblower report is fabricated, Havi noted, the implications in criminal law would be severe.

    JILK alleges the whistleblower mechanism was deployed as a retaliatory instrument.

    In January 2020, two female employees of JILK filed reports at Muthaiga Police Station alleging that a foreign contractor on the Kisumu project had sexually harassed and indecently assaulted them.

    JILK wrote a formal complaint to KBL. The DCI wrote to EABL’s managing director noting the investigation. KBL, through Group Corporate Relations Director Eric Kiniti, acknowledged the complaint — but only after the foreign contractor had already left the country.

    JILK’s CEO now alleges that EABL facilitated the contractor’s departure before he could be investigated, then deployed a whistleblower report two years later as retaliation for the harassment complaint. EABL has denied this characterisation entirely and called it malicious.

    Justice Mugambi subsequently recused herself from the KBL constitutional petition, citing concerns about impartiality — the same judge who had granted KBL the controversial ex parte order.

    The file was sent to the Principal Judge of the Commercial Division for reassignment.

    As with the Bia Tosha matter, a judicial recusal at a critical moment has left the smaller party scrambling for continuity in proceedings that are, by design, time-sensitive.

    THE BOND THAT RAISED QUESTIONS

    Against the backdrop of these compounding legal exposures, EABL’s financial engineering in October 2025 deserves scrutiny. The company redeemed its Ksh11 billion five-year corporate bond a full year before its October 2026 maturity date, invoking its call option. It simultaneously issued a replacement five-year bond of identical size at a coupon rate of 11.8 percent versus the original 12.25 percent.

    EABL presented this as a balance sheet optimisation, saving Ksh1.347 billion in interest over the combined bond period. Critics characterised the saving as financial sleight of hand — the reduction in interest costs derived entirely from skipping the final year’s payments on the original bond, not from any genuine refinancing efficiency. But the more pointed question concerns the VAT suit running alongside it.

    EABL is suing the Kenya Revenue Authority for Ksh800 million, which it claims was overpaid as VAT in 2018.

    The Ksh800 million in question was recovered by EABL from its distributors via direct debit from their DFS accounts, even though those distributors had individually met their own tax obligations.

    EABL collected the money from over 120 distributors without their consent.

    Now it is suing KRA to get that money back.

    If the courts rule in EABL’s favour, the question of where that money goes — to the 120-plus distributors who originally bore the burden, or into EABL’s treasury — has not been addressed by the company. The distributors who bore the burden have no mechanism for recovery and no visibility into proceedings that directly concern their own money.

    THE VAT RECOVERY SILENCE

    This VAT episode sits at the intersection of several of this story’s running themes: the Distributor Finance Scheme as an instrument of control rather than efficiency; the asymmetry between EABL’s legal resources and those of its distributor network; and the question of what governance obligations a company owes to the smaller parties within its commercial ecosystem.

    No distributor has been formally notified that EABL is litigating on their behalf, or that a successful outcome might produce a refund.

    None has been offered standing in the proceedings.

    If EABL wins and the money flows back into the corporate treasury, the 120-plus distributors whose accounts were debited without authorisation will have funded a legal victory they never authorised and from which they will not benefit.

    This is the Distributor Finance Scheme’s ultimate expression: control over the commercial relationship so complete that the operator’s own money can be used to pursue the operator’s legal opponent, without the operator’s knowledge or consent.

    DIAGEO’S INSIDERS STACKING THE DECK

    As the sale process advances toward a second-half 2026 closing, Diageo has been systematically installing its own loyalists in EABL’s C-suite in what observers on the Nairobi Securities Exchange have characterised as a quiet colonisation of the brewer’s leadership structure ahead of the handover.

    Justin Mollel, currently Finance Director at Diageo Ireland — a career Diageo executive who previously served as Finance Director at Guinness Ghana Breweries and Serengeti Breweries in Tanzania — has been named EABL’s Group Chief Financial Officer Designate, effective May 1, 2026, with full duties assumed on July 1.

    His appointment coincides almost exactly with the expected closing of the Asahi transaction. He replaces Risper Ohaga, the first African woman to serve as EABL’s Group CFO, who is departing to become Group Chief Executive Officer at APA Apollo Group.

    Mollel is not alone. Anthony Njenga, formerly of Diageo Australia, was installed as EABL’s Supply Chain Director in January 2025. Lorna Benton, formerly Group Performance and Reward Director at Diageo PLC, joined the EABL board in March 2025.

    Anne Joy Michira, currently Marketing and Innovations Director for Diageo South, West and Central Africa, has been named EABL’s Group Marketing and Innovations Director.

    The brewer that is nominally transitioning out of Diageo’s orbit is being filled, floor by floor, with Diageo’s people at the precise moment when Asahi will need impartial management to navigate the post-acquisition period.

    A LEGACY OF COMPETITOR SUPPRESSION

    EABL does not arrive at this transaction with clean hands in the matter of market conduct. In the 1990s, it engaged in what analysts of the period described as a bruising turf war with South African brand Castle Brewery, which ultimately closed its multimillion-dollar factory in Thika in 2002 at the cost of 800 jobs.

    In 2019, the company was embroiled in a dispute with Keroche Breweries over the embossing of brown beer bottles, with Keroche accusing it of buying up bottles on the open market and stamping them to lock rivals out of the supply chain.

    In 2020, multiple senators hauled EABL before the Senate Committee on Trade, Industrialisation and Tourism to answer allegations of restrictive trade practices and monopolistic tendencies.

    The company denied the allegations.

    In 2024, Nairobi-based alcohol startup African Originals accused EABL of replicating its flagship cider range under a competing brand called Manyatta and orchestrating a social media smear campaign through digital marketing firm Wowzi, whose influencer network posted about falling ill after consuming African Originals products.

    The timing of the posts followed immediately after EABL launched its competing line. EABL dismissed the African Originals allegations as false, defamatory and lacking any evidence.

    The matter was never publicly resolved.

    A Senate committee in 2024 was also convened to examine allegations that Diageo had fraudulently evaded tax liabilities at EABL through what a petitioner described as massive bribery of Kenya Revenue Authority and National Treasury officials.

    The KRA Commissioner General appeared before the committee but no charges were ever filed. The allegations remain unproven. But their ventilation in Parliament illustrates the depth of institutional suspicion that has surrounded EABL’s corporate conduct under Diageo’s stewardship.

    THE FEBRUARY 26 ABDICATION AND THE CJ ACCUSATION

    The sequence of events on February 26, 2026 is, even stripped of any conspiracy theory, a remarkable coincidence of timing. Bia Tosha’s substantive application — seeking to block the share transfer as a constitutional matter — had been scheduled for hearing on that date before Justice Bahati Mwamuye.

    When parties logged into the virtual platform, Justice Mwamuye informed them he had been transferred to Kiambu High Court, effective April 1. He declined to extend the interim orders that had temporarily restrained the share transfer.

    He directed the file to an incoming judge and proposed April 9 as the next mention date.

    EABL issued a press release celebrating the outcome later that day, noting that regulatory processes could now continue uninterrupted.

    The critical window within which Bia Tosha believed the regulatory approvals could be obtained had narrowed significantly.

    Judicial transfers are routine administrative matters. But for a petitioner who has spent nine years in court, whose Supreme Court-backed contempt proceedings are still unresolved, and whose application has now been postponed past the point at which it can practically matter, routine administrative action and targeted obstruction produce exactly the same result.

    It is this indistinguishability that has driven Bia Tosha to language that has no precedent in Kenyan commercial litigation.

    In documents filed before Chief Justice Martha Koome, Burugu alleges that impermissible diplomatic interventions to secure a desired outcome in this matter present a most dangerous and unparalleled surrender of the sovereignty of the people of Kenya. She invokes what she calls Epstein-Prince-Andrew-type interferences through diplomatic and Royal intercessions as the mechanism.

    The reference gains contemporary precision from the February 19, 2026 arrest of Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor on suspicion of misconduct in public office for allegedly sharing confidential trade documents with Jeffrey Epstein while serving as UK trade envoy.

    Whether any of this constitutes anything approaching the interference Bia Tosha alleges, the court filings do not substantiate with documentary evidence.

    But the intensity of the language reflects an accumulation of grievance that is, on the documented record, entirely proportionate to the sequence of events the company has experienced. The company has asked the Chief Justice to appoint a fresh judge and reinstate the expired orders. The Judiciary has made no public response.

    “There is no other effective means by which this court can compel obedience other than through prohibition of the sale.” — Bia Tosha court filing, January 2026

    THE ENFORCEMENT CLIFF

    Everything in this accumulation — the Bia Tosha contempt findings, the COMESA fine, the JILK arbitration, the DFS VAT recovery, the bond manoeuvre — converges on a single fulcrum point: the Diageo-Asahi transaction.

    Diageo currently holds its 65 percent EABL stake through Diageo Kenya Limited, a 100 percent Diageo-owned Kenyan vehicle.

    The transaction will see this stake pass to Asahi at Ksh590.51 per share — a premium of 134 percent over the Ksh252 market price when the deal was announced. Diageo’s affidavit argues that the deal concerns shareholder-level assets and that EABL, KBL, and UDV Kenya will remain as Kenyan operating entities fully capable of satisfying any future judgment. The technical argument has merit as far as it goes.

    But it misses the practical reality that has been clearly articulated: the contempt proceedings named Diageo and its officers.

    The scale of damages Bia Tosha seeks — potentially in the tens of billions of shillings — would be enforceable against a parent company with $48 billion in market capitalisation far more readily than against a mid-cap Kenyan brewer suddenly owned by a Tokyo conglomerate with no pre-existing connection to the dispute.

    JILK’s application similarly notes that regulatory approvals from the Capital Markets Authority and the Competition Authority of Kenya are anticipated between May and June 2026, and that an April 30 judgment deadline was calculated with this timeline in mind.

    If the courts rule against it after Diageo has divested, JILK will be left with an award against a UK company with no Kenyan assets and every legal incentive to contest enforcement from London.

    Bia Tosha’s advocate Kenneth Kiplagat put the central anxiety without ambiguity in a statement in January 2026: if they succeed in disposing of their only known asset in Kenya, we will not be able to execute a judgment against Diageo.

    Diageo retains no operational presence in Kenya after this sale. Its general counsel’s assurances of continued submission to Kenyan jurisdiction have no physical backing once the stake is transferred.

    THE STRUCTURAL QUESTION KENYA CANNOT IGNORE

    The question posed by the convergence of these cases reaches beyond Bia Tosha and JILK. It concerns the capacity of Kenya’s legal system to provide credible protection to domestic parties in their dealings with multinational corporations — particularly when those corporations are in the process of exiting the jurisdiction.

    Kenya has consistently sought to position itself as a reliable arbitration and commercial dispute resolution hub for the region.

    The Kisumu Brewery case, in which KBL obtained ex parte orders blocking an arbitral award for three months and then saw the presiding judge recuse herself, raises uncomfortable questions about arbitration integrity.

    The Bia Tosha case, in which a decade of Supreme Court-endorsed findings has not produced a single day of compliance from the named contemptors, raises uncomfortable questions about enforcement.

    Together, they illustrate the limits of formal legal rights in the face of a determined, well-resourced corporate actor.

    EABL controls approximately 90 percent of the formal beer market in Kenya.

    Its annual legal budget exceeds what most litigants can sustain over a lifetime of litigation. Its ability to rotate implicated executives, promote them out of the jurisdiction, generate competing litigation, and deploy the tools of the Distributor Finance Scheme against the very parties it is supposed to be compensating is not matched by any mechanism that forces expedited compliance.

    Diageo’s exit is not a judgment on this record. Markets do not adjudicate legal disputes.

    The Asahi Group, acquiring a dominant regional brewer at a substantial premium, has every incentive to complete the transaction quickly and has no obligation to resolve disputes it did not create.

    The Ksh303.5 billion changing hands will make Diageo’s shareholders considerably wealthier. Whether it will ever produce a single shilling for Bia Tosha, or for the 120-plus distributors who had Ksh800 million withdrawn from their bank accounts without consent, or for the two women whose harassment reports were allegedly used as raw material for a corporate retaliation campaign, is a question the transaction documents do not address.

    Anne-Marie Burugu has won in the High Court, the Court of Appeal, and the Supreme Court. She has watched each win become the basis for new litigation by her opponent.

    She watched the judge hearing her latest application announce a transfer and walk off the virtual platform. She has now written to the Chief Justice using language borrowed from a global scandal. That language may prove to be overreach. The grievance it expresses is not.

    WHAT THE REGULATOR MUST ANSWER

    The Wamalwa and Echesa petition has placed three specific demands before the Capital Markets Authority.

    The firm wants the regulator to disclose whether any exemption from the mandatory offer requirement has been granted, and if so, on what legal basis. It wants confirmation of what specific measures are being taken to protect minority shareholders.

    And it wants the CMA to compel Asahi to make a mandatory takeover offer on terms no less favourable than those Diageo negotiated for itself.

    The CMA has not responded publicly to the petition. Asahi has not addressed the mandatory offer question beyond its December 2025 statement.

    EABL has maintained that the deal is at the shareholder level and has no bearing on its relationship with minority investors beyond the ordinary obligations of a listed company.

    None of these positions engage with the core question: why should Kenyans who hold shares in EABL receive fundamentally different treatment from the treatment Diageo received when it decided it was time to leave?

    For the thousands of ordinary Kenyans who invested in EABL expecting fair treatment, the April 9 court date and the ongoing regulatory silence represent the final opportunity for Kenya’s institutions to demonstrate that the rules they have written apply equally to the powerful and the small.

    The Asahi transaction will close.

    The court proceedings will continue, slowly, expensively, in the wake of a Sh303.5 billion exit that has already happened.

    What remains to be seen is whether any of the money changing hands will ever find its way to the parties who built EABL’s market, paid their goodwill, built the brewery in Kisumu, and kept faith with an institution that, on the record, did not keep faith with them.

  • Diageo Eyes EABL Exit as African Divestment Strategy Intensifies

    Diageo Eyes EABL Exit as African Divestment Strategy Intensifies

    Diageo Plc appears to be positioning East African Breweries Limited (EABL) as its next major divestment target, as the British multinational accelerates its retreat from African markets in pursuit of higher returns and reduced volatility.

    The speculation has intensified following Diageo’s announcement of a $500 million cost-cutting programme and asset disposal plan, which chief financial officer Nik Jhangiani described as involving “opportunities for substantial changes” that would go “above and beyond the usual smaller brand disposals.”

    Industry analysts are now pointing to EABL where Diageo holds a commanding 65 percent stake worth approximately Sh100 billion as the most likely candidate for divestment, given the company’s systematic exit strategy from African brewing operations.

    The writing on the wall

    The signs have been mounting for months. Since 2022, Diageo has methodically dismantled its African brewing empire, offloading stakes in Nigeria’s Guinness operation (58.02 percent), Ghana Breweries (80.4 percent), and Seychelles Breweries (100 percent).

    Earlier exits from Ethiopia and Cameroon further underscore the company’s pivot away from the continent’s volatile markets.

    “With Diageo plc leaning towards its rich spirit portfolio globally and its continued exit from beer in Africa, we begin to speculate on a likely strategic exit by the shareholder in EABL in the medium term,” Standard Investment Bank noted in a recent analysis.

    The timing appears particularly strategic. EABL represents Diageo’s last major African brewing asset, and with the continent contributing just nine percent to the parent company’s global net sales, the financial logic of an exit becomes increasingly compelling.

    Standard Investment Bank’s analysis suggests EABL could be significantly undervalued, estimating the subsidiary’s worth at $2.79 billion (Sh360.75 billion)—2.35 times its current market capitalization including debt. This valuation gap could create an attractive exit opportunity for Diageo while offering substantial upside for potential acquirers.

    The irony is stark: just two years ago, Diageo invested Sh22.7 billion to increase its EABL stake from 50.03 percent to 65 percent.

    That investment, which seemed to signal long-term commitment, now appears to have been a strategic consolidation ahead of a potential full exit—maximizing control and value extraction before divestment.

    Market pressures mount

    Diageo’s urgency stems from mounting investor pressure to improve returns amid sluggish global demand for alcoholic beverages.

    The company faces the specter of structural decline that has plagued the tobacco industry, as younger consumers increasingly moderate their drinking habits.

    The $500 million cost-cutting programme aims to generate sustainable annual free cash flow of $3 billion—up from $2.6 billion last year. Divesting capital-intensive brewing operations in volatile markets fits perfectly with this “asset-light” strategy focused on higher-margin spirits.

    EABL’s attractive position

    Despite the speculation, EABL remains an attractive asset.

    The company’s recovery is evident in its recent performance, with net profit rising 19.6 percent to Sh8.1 billion in the six months ended December 2024. EABL shares have gained 8.3 percent year-to-date, reflecting investor confidence in the Kenyan market’s resilience.

    The company’s portfolio includes culturally significant brands like Tusker, which holds deep market penetration in Kenya, alongside international brands like Johnnie Walker scotch whisky that benefit from Diageo’s global distribution network.

    A successful EABL acquisition would require deep-pocketed investors, given the Sh100 billion valuation of Diageo’s stake alone. Potential suitors could include:

    Regional Players: Other multinational beverage companies seeking African exposure, particularly those with established distribution networks in East Africa.

    Private Equity: Firms specializing in consumer goods investments, attracted by EABL’s market position and growth potential in Kenya’s expanding middle class.

    Strategic Investors: Companies seeking to enter the African market through an established platform with strong brand recognition and distribution capabilities.

    Local Consortium: Kenyan investors or institutions seeking to nationalize a key economic asset, though the capital requirements would be substantial.

    An EABL divestment would mark the end of Diageo’s significant African brewing presence, completing a strategic transformation that began with the company’s formation in 1997.

    The move would also test Kenya’s appetite for foreign investment exits in key economic sectors.

    For EABL employees and stakeholders, the speculation creates uncertainty about future strategic direction, investment levels, and brand portfolio management.

    However, the company’s strong market position and recovering financial performance suggest it could thrive under new ownership with adequate investment.

    Market watch

    While Diageo has declined to comment on “market speculation,” the company’s systematic African exit strategy speaks louder than official statements. CFO Jhangiani’s emphasis on “substantial changes” to the portfolio, combined with the established pattern of African divestments, creates a compelling case for EABL’s eventual sale.

    The question is no longer whether Diageo will exit EABL, but when and to whom. With the company’s “asset-light” strategy gaining momentum and investor pressure intensifying, the timeline for a potential transaction may be shorter than many anticipate.

    For now, EABL continues operating as a key contributor to Diageo’s African operations, representing 46 percent of the region’s performance.

    But as the British giant reshapes its global portfolio, Kenya’s flagship brewery may soon find itself under new ownership, marking the end of an era and the beginning of a new chapter in East African brewing.

  • Diageo Plans Cost Cuts, Asset Sales To Reduce Debt

    Diageo Plans Cost Cuts, Asset Sales To Reduce Debt

    May 19 (Reuters) – Diageo unveiled a plan on Monday to cut $500 million in costs and make substantial asset disposals by 2028, as the maker of Johnnie Walker whisky and Guinness beer looks to turn around its performance and reduce its debts.

    Cost cuts would come from changes to Diageo’s trade investment and advertising spend, overheads and supply chain, finance chief Nik Jhangiani told investors.

    The world’s largest spirits maker is also expected to dispose of some significant assets, but hold on to its Guinness brand, to help reduce its leverage ratio from 3.1 times net debt to operating profit at end-2024 to between 2.5 and 3 times.

    “We see… some opportunities for what I would call substantial changes versus portfolio trimming,” Jhangiani said. “It’s clearly going to be above and beyond the usual smaller brand disposals you’ve seen over the last three years.”

    CEO Debra Crew later told reporters that “nothing has changed” with regards to well-performing beer label Guinness, which Diageo ruled out selling earlier this year.
    The cost cuts will help Diageo deliver about $3 billion free cash flow per annum from fiscal 2026, the company said. It also revised down its expected hit from U.S. tariffs as the threat of levies on Mexico and Canada receded.
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    The plan did not include large-scale redundancies, though some changes to headcount through approaches such as slower hiring may be included, Crew said.

    Jhangiani joined in September as the company struggled with falling sales and wavering investor confidence.

    Investors welcomed his plans, though its stock gave up earlier gains to trade 0.7% down by 1111 GMT.

    “You can see that (Diageo) is gradually getting its act together again,” said Richard Scrope, manager of the VT Tyndall Global Select fund that holds Diageo stock.

    TARIFF HIT REDUCED

    Turning around a “supertanker” like Diageo however, takes time, said Rob Burgeman, investment manager at another Diageo investor RBC Brewin Dolphin.

    The company still faces difficult trading conditions in key markets like the United States and Europe.

    U.S. President Donald Trump’s 10% tariff on imports from places like Britain and the European Union will also deal a $150 million hit to Diageo’s operating profit per annum, the company estimated.

    That is lower than the roughly $200 million it had previously estimated for the second half alone. Since its previous estimate in February, threats of a 25% levy affecting Mexican tequila and Canadian whisky have not materialised.

    The company reported a 5.9% rise in third-quarter organic sales, largely thanks to an acceleration in shipments to North America ahead of the imposition of tariffs.

  • EABL, Diageo’s Subsidiary Accused Of Playing Dirty Tricks Threatening Shutdown Of A Competitor

    EABL, Diageo’s Subsidiary Accused Of Playing Dirty Tricks Threatening Shutdown Of A Competitor

    African Originals, a Nairobi-based startup behind  ‘KO’ brand popular for a range of ciders, iced teas and gins, is battling regulatory hurdles that now threatens its future and now blaming their rivals and a market giant East African Breweries Limited (EABL) for their predicaments.

    In the current edition of Semafor Africa newsletter, pan African online publication, it’s alleged that EABL could be waging dirty wars against African Originals.

    African Originals, a 7-year old startup accuses EABL of copying some of her products and also sponsoring tweets purported to be from customers complaining about health complications after consumption of African Originals’ products.

    In a letter written by the company to EABL, they accuse the market giant of engaging Wowzi, a Nairobi-based  digital marketing company with links to top influencers and that it was this particular company that was used to wage a war online in vital tweets to defame KO.

    EABL is alleged to have engaged the same digital firm that deals with ‘macro-influencers’ to give ‘authenticity’ in other campaigns.

    The company also accuses EABL staff of maligning her products and incentivized supermarkets staff not to display their products.

    “We are ready and willing to compete with EABL on merit through the quality and prices of our products but we are not prepared to suffer serious commercial harm as a result of their smear campaign,” African Originals chairman Henry Rudd wrote in the letter to Diageo’s general counsel in London.

    In the 90s EABL had a bruising turf war with the South African brand Castle Brewery forcing the latter to close her multi million factory at Thika leading to the loss of 800 jobs in 2002.

    In 2019, EABL was involved in bottle war with Keroche Brewery with the later accusing EABL of dirty tactics to entrench monopoly in the country’s brewing industry.

  • High Gilbey’s Gin Intake In Nairobi, Increased British Diageo’s Global Sales

    High Gilbey’s Gin Intake In Nairobi, Increased British Diageo’s Global Sales

    Kenya high on gin pushed up British multinational Diageo sales to 5 per cent of total income last year as the country binged on the spirit while cooped up to weather Covid-19 pandemic.

    Diageo said gin sales grew 14 per cent to make up 5 per cent of its total sales globally driven by sales in Kenya.

    The Kenyan market grew 11 per cent, with strong spirits growth, particularly in mainstream gin, and slower beer growth due to on-trade restrictions.

    The firm said it changed its delivery models following lockdowns and closure of bars and restaurants by betting big on boda boda deliveries.

    “Gin grew to 5 per cent of Diageo’s net sales and grew 14 per cent across all regions with strong double-digit growth in Africa and Latin America and Caribbean,” Diageo said in a regulatory filing at the US Securities Exchange Commission.

    “Growth in Africa was mainly driven by Gilbey’s in Kenya and broad-based growth of Gordon’s across the region,” the company noted.

    In Kenya and Uganda, consumers are now able to order through easy-to-use apps to ensure safe delivery of our brands to their doorstep via digitally enabled ‘boda boda’ motorbike delivery companies, the company said.

    Growth in Latin America and Caribbean was mainly driven by growth of Tanqueray and Gordon’s in Brazil.

    Sales uptick in Europe was mainly driven by Gordon’s and Tanqueray in Great Britain and Tanqueray in Northern Europe.

    The firm said it has developed route to consumer approach through multiple channels while continuing to develop their owned e-commerce channels and capabilities.

    They expanded the availability of TheBar.com to Colombia and Malts.com to Germany an also launched Diageo Rare & Exceptional in Singapore and Australia and Party Central in Kenya and Uganda.

    These help consumers grow their understanding and knowledge of Diageo’s brands and help them find the right drink for the right occasion.

    In East Africa, Covid-19-related closures of neighbourhood bars and restaurants meant they needed new, fast and safe ways of getting our products to consumers hence the choice of boda boda and available e-commerce applications on mobile phones.

  • Video: How Senator Keg Enthusiasts are being duped with fake scratch cards in Diageo’s Exploitative Scheme “Shikisha na Senator Ushinde” promotion.

    Video: How Senator Keg Enthusiasts are being duped with fake scratch cards in Diageo’s Exploitative Scheme “Shikisha na Senator Ushinde” promotion.

    Kenya insights have on several occasions called out the perpetrators (Diageo, EABL, KBL) promoting ‘Shikisha form na Senator ushinde’ —who have continued to dup liquor enthusiasts from low-income settlement into their lottery scheme; Creating an illusionary shortcut to wealth to these group, Promoting excessive drinking as the promotion encourages participants to buy more mugs and drink more to increase their opportunity and increase their number of entries into the promotion as the more mugs you buy and drink, the more scratch cards you’re given. A game of Tyrany of numbers​. And every single message entry sent, the transaction cost is 10/- on each, unknown to the victims.

    Having done the incisive blogs previously on the scheme and how billions of shillings these perpetrators are making and faking cash prizes for winners, you’ll agree with us on every angle.

    In a video seen by Kenya insights from a keen customer who bought some mugs and on being given the scratch card —realised that the scratch card phase can easily peel off/ be peeled off before even a scratch is done on the phase and the lucky number can be read from the peel off posterior then sticked back on form without suspicion. ​Below is the evidence video.

    FullSizeRender

    From this trick, which seems to have been a top secret to the bar tenders or their agents on the ground – it turns out that you might all just been being given used scratch cards all along. This promotion might just turn out to be one of the most exploitative one in Kenya’s history.

    Check out the peeling off scratch phase without even a scratch

     

    A customer boasting of drinking mugs in a single joint and been given all those scratch cards at a go

     

     

    Peeling off

     

  • Diageo through EABL, KBL promoting Excessive drinking in Kenya under Exploitative Promotion Scheme Posing a Health Risk.

    Diageo through EABL, KBL promoting Excessive drinking in Kenya under Exploitative Promotion Scheme Posing a Health Risk.

    When spirits maker Diageo faced slowing growth in developed economies, it started expanding in emerging markets.

    By 2004, however, many of these mature markets were becoming saturated. Emerging markets, on the other hand, were growing quickly, and the company saw an opportunity in them. Africa provided an attractive target.

    Its population had been growing at more than two per cent per year, and it had an average age of 19.7 years. The middle class was well over 250 million people in 2000, and the number was increasing rapidly. But the continent also presented its fair share of challenges. 

    Many existing products were too expensive for the African middle class. Others, developed for western markets, did not address the specific needs of the African population. The challenge for Diageo was to produce commercial alcoholic beverages that profitably met local needs. To achieve its targeted growth, the company needed to innovate across its entire value network.

    New products, manufacturing setups and distribution systems, tailored to the specific commercial needs and opportunities of the region, would have to be created. Diageo first had to decide whom it would serve to achieve that growth.

    The company was producing and selling a beer called Tusker in Kenya at the time through an equal partnership with a local company, East Africa Breweries Ltd (EABL). Tusker and its rivals were sold at prices well out of the reach of most Kenyans.

    This left a strategic segment underserved: those who drank but for whom branded beer was too expensive. The company created a new product – a beer called Senator Keg – to tap the approximately 60 per cent of consumers who drank only locally brewed alcohol which they considered illegal.

    Diageo engineered its sourcing and manufacturing operations to significantly reduce the cost of producing Senator Keg beer. With most beers being produced from two primary ingredients – barley and hops – which are combined with yeast and water to induce fermentation. The company chose to source barley from local growers and to produce the beer at its subsidiary, EABL.

    This took advantage of low labour costs in Africa while minimising transportation and other expenses associated with sourcing from afar. This drastically reduced the beer’s production cost. The pioneering process of brewing a lager from only barley was the world’s first, and recognised internationally.

    Market research done in 2003 by Diageo showed the optimal pricing for Senator Keg needed to be between 20 and 30 Kenyan shillings a glass (300 ml). When finally introduced, at 15 to 20 shillings a glass Senator cost a fifth the price of Diageo’s mainstream beer, Tusker, and was only slightly more expensive than locally brewed ‘illegal’ alcohol.

    By pricing Senator Keg at this level, Diageo offered consumers a product that was safe, and yet competitive with homemade spirits. Diageo made other significant efforts to reduce the price. It put forward a proposal to the Kenyan government to reduce taxes on Senator Keg to decrease its price and attract budget drinkers away from illicit brews. The government reduced excise duty on Senator Keg.

    Senator Keg has proved an enormous unlawful monopoly in the market. Since its launch, the brand has gained over 50 per cent of the Kenyan beer market, and EABL dominates the country with a 97 per cent share. More broadly, emerging markets now contribute nearly 50 per cent of Diageo’s net sales up from 20 per cent in 2005.

    Africa alone contributes 20 per cent of Diageo’s revenue. The company expects emerging markets to make up almost three quarters of its net sales by next few years.

    Unfortunately, In June this year – Kenya Breweries Limited (KBL) re-introduced their third national consumer rewards promotions with an aim in ‘fighting illicit brews’ – promotion geared at rewarding loyal Senator beer consumers. According to the initiators, the campaign aim to provide a safe, ultra-low-cost beer to compete with illegal supplies which could play a crucial role in both resolving alcohol-related health problems and in achieving the targeted growth for Diageo.

    KBL Managing Director John Musunga said the Shikisha Form na Senator Ushinde, embodies the Senator customers’ pursuit of better lives and seeks to celebrate and recognize their unbridled loyalty and contribution in establishing the Senator brand as the most successful value beer brand in Kenya.

    To participate, consumers are required to purchase two 500ml mugs (either Senator Lager or Dark Extra) to get issued with a scratch card. They are then required to SMS a unique valid code found under the scratch panel to a 5-digit short code to get an entry into the competition. One valid code gives one entry.

    So, the strategy is, the more mugs you purchase, the more scratch cards, the more entry you record and ‘the higher your chances of winning.”

    Unaware and unsuspecting customers hop in for the sweet deal without blinking an eye not knowing that every SMS you send of the code to the 5-digit code, you’re charged 10/- as that isn’t included in requirements, terms and conditions atleast for awareness.

    So, if you buy more mugs- it’s to their advantage, you get more scratch cards – it’s to their advantage as you’ll be charged more in the mobile network transaction fee unaware.

    And with cheap Keg beers they’re out to promote, targeting the vulnarable less fortunate families – low income groups who more often believe in lottery fallacy as the only way to get rich.

    We must be clear that the target group is the low- income consumers who can only afford the cheap Keg beer and who believes in lottery as the only way to richness. This targeted group is a jobless group, and drinking is their business.

    Lets takes an example of Kiambu county, In a small size bar or pub, 10 friends in a day takes 4 mugs each, thats 2000/- in a day times 7 days a week for the addicts, thats 14,000/- times over 1000 such like pubs in one county – that’s 14,000,000 in a week times 40 active counties in the country out of the 47 counties thats roughly over 500,000,000 every week then add the 10/- scratch card charges for every 2 mugs purchased for this group every time the take two mugs for the next three months. The campaign is being run for 3 months before these prizes are given out. The billions of money being exploited in this scheme is almost the country’s annual budget.

    The promotion feature an array of prizes, with the grand prize being Ksh. 10 million. Additionally, 5 loyal customers stand a chance to win Ksh. 2 million each, with Ksh. 1 million set aside to improve their community as well as themselves. Additionally, there will be airtime worth Ksh. 56 million, home shopping worth Ksh. 12 million and home makeovers worth Ksh. 2.4 million. 

    The terms and conditions of buying more mugs to stand higher chances of winning, condition of drinking minimum of two mugs is harmful to health, its addictive method and they know it. These conditions encourages excessive alchohol consumption and binge drinking (Binge drinking is, during a single occasion, four or more drinks for women and five or more drinks for men) on the side of the consumer with an aim to get the consumer buy more, then also charge them more when sending the SMS codes. 

    In the United States, one “standard” drink (or one alcoholic drink equivalent) contains roughly 14 grams of pure alcohol, which is found in: 12 ounces of regular beer, which is usually about 5% alcohol. 5 ounces of wine, which is typically about 12% alcohol. 1.5 ounces of distilled spirits, which is about 40% alcohol.

    Senator Dark Extra, which was launched early this year and is retailing in 2,000 outlets, has an alcohol content at 7.5 per cent compared to Senator Keg’s 5.8 per cent. Tusker is 5% -5.5%.

    The more the alcohol content, the more the harmful risks.

    With this underway exploitative promotion, its possible that end of year Per capita alcohol consumption in Africa statistics will record Kenya among the top alcohol consumers in Africa, Ministry of Health will record higher cases of Diabetes cases, increased cases of Liver and Kidney failures.  

    Cheap is Expensive and This exploitation is underway with the knowledge of the authorities from Communication Authority, Telco companies: Safaricom, Airtel, Telkom – Consumers Federation of Kenya (CoFeK), Legislators in parliament. All in payslip to keep pin-drop silence on the scheme.

  • Diageo’s “Shikisha Form na Senator Ushinde” – Exploitation Scheme

    Diageo’s “Shikisha Form na Senator Ushinde” – Exploitation Scheme

    In June this year, Kenya Breweries Limited (KBL) re-introduced their third national consumer rewards promotions with an aim in ‘fighting illicit brews’ – promotion geared at rewarding loyal Senator beer consumers.

    According to the initiators, the campaign aim to provide a safe, ultra-low-cost beer to compete with illegal supplies which could play a crucial role in both resolving alcohol-related health problems and in achieving the targeted growth for Diageo.

    KBL Managing Director John Musunga said the Shikisha Form na Senator Ushinde, embodies the Senator customers’ pursuit of better lives and seeks to celebrate and recognize their unbridled loyalty and contribution in establishing the Senator brand as the most successful value beer brand in Kenya.

    Beyond rewarding a nationwide consumer audience, Shikisha Form Na Senator Ushinde orchestrators aim to  facilitate the upgrade of key retailer outlet upgrades in the same promotion through provision of seats and tables, mugs, jugs and rebranding of their outlets.

    To participate, consumers are required to purchase two 500ml mugs (either Senator Lager or Dark Extra) to get issued with a scratch card. They are then required to SMS a unique valid code found under the scratch panel to a 5-digit short code to get an entry into the competition. One valid code gives one entry.

    The scratch cards

    So, the strategy is, the more mugs you purchase, the more scratch cards, the more entry you record and ‘the higher your chances of winning.” Unaware and unsuspecting customers hop in for the sweet deal without blinking an eye not knowing that every SMS you send of the code to the 5-digit code, you’re charged 10/- as that isn’t included in requirements, terms and conditions atleast for awareness. So, if you buy more mugs- it’s to their advantage, you get more scratch cards – it’s to their advantage as you’ll be charged more in the mobile network transaction fee unaware. And with cheap Keg beers they’re out to promote, targeting the vulnarable less fortunate families – low income groups who more often believe in lottery fallacy as the only way to get rich.

    Besides Pyramid schemes, recent ponzi scheme, now KBL with help of EABL are here with exploitative lottery scheme in the name of promotion.

    Having done my observations and research —of which many more other researches on the same have been published with regards to lottery schemes that’s becoming a menace in Kenya that even recently   The Betting Control and Licensing Board (BCLB)  banned radio stations from running lotteries and prize competitions over rampant fraud — it is the slums and the poverty rooted families that are always being targeted by the betting/lottery firms.

    If you take a walk or a ride to Eastlands settlement, slum areas in the City – you’ll find tremendous betting firm offices that offers these families free access to their betting sites being that most of the target group in these areas are percieved not to have smartphones, they lure them into addiction of instant virtual games with betting stakes as low as 10/-.

    Same situation here in Shikisha form na Senator Ushinde promotion where their mugs beer are sold as low as 50/-, 30/-.

    Now lets do this cumulative maths how these people are making huge sums of money and giving peanuts in return in the name of promotions. We must be clear that the target group is the low- income consumers who can only afford the cheap Keg beer and who believes in lottery as the only way to richness. This targeted group is a jobless group, and drinking is their business.

    Lets takes an example of Kiambu county, In a small size bar or pub, 10 friends in a day takes 4 mugs each, thats 2000/- in a day times 7 days a week for the addicts, thats 14,000/- times over 1000 such like pubs in one county – that’s 14,000,000 in a week times 40 active counties in the country out of the 47 counties thats roughly over 500,000,000 every week then add the 10/- scratch card charges for every 2 mugs purchased for this group every time the take two mugs for the next three months. The campaign is being run for 3 months before these prizes are given out. The billions of money being exploited in this scheme is almost the country’s annual budget.

    Remember as of last year 2020, the 2020 Comprehensive Poverty Report by the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS)  indicated that 15.9 million out of 44.2 million Kenyans are poor, describing this scenario as an adult earning less than Sh3,252 in rural areas and Sh5,995 monthly in urban areas. Kenya is ranked the top beer consumer in East Africa and top 7 in Africa.

    Promotion prize offers.

    The promotion will feature an array of prizes, with the grand prize being Ksh. 10 million. Additionally, 5 loyal customers stand a chance to win Ksh. 2 million each, with Ksh. 1 million set aside to improve their community as well as themselves. Additionally, there will be airtime worth Ksh. 56 million, home shopping worth Ksh. 12 million and home makeovers worth Ksh. 2.4 million. 

    The innocence of KBL’s Senator Keg in lias with EABL aim of launching this exploitative lottery scheme in the name of promotion to curb illegal sales of beer and illicit brews is just 10%. Aim of exploitating unsuspecting customers is 90%.

    Sales of Senator Keg, a low-priced lager made from locally grown sorghum, rose by close to a third in the last financial year. According to a 2020 ranking by London-based firm Brand Finance, Senator Keg Lager emerged as among the fastest growing brand in Africa’s top 150 most valuable brand leveraging on a 10-million-man pool for drinkers – having grown by 88% to hit a brand value of Kshs 14.4 billion. It has earned its status due to a huge demand from price-sensitive consumers who are literally low income earners. Abuse of dominance is on course in this lottery scheme.

    The terms and conditions of buying more mugs to stand higher chances of winning, condition of drinking minimum of two mugs is harmful to health, its addictive method and they know it. These conditions encourages excessive alchohol consumption on the side of the consumer with an aim to get the consumer buy more, then also charge them more when sending the SMS codes.

    During lauch of the promotion campaign with Njoro of Papa Shirandula(middle) appointed the brand ambassador for the campaign

    This exploitation is underway with the knowledge of the authorities from EABL, Communication Authority, Telco companies: Safaricom, Airtel, Telkom – Consumers Federation of Kenya (CoFeK), Legislators in parliament. All in payslip to keep pin-drop silence on the scheme.