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  • THE POISON THAT WON’T GO AWAY: Why Rejected Fuel From One Petroleum May Still Be Circulating Despite Assurances

    THE POISON THAT WON’T GO AWAY: Why Rejected Fuel From One Petroleum May Still Be Circulating Despite Assurances

    When Energy and Petroleum Cabinet Secretary Opiyo Wandayi stood before the nation on Tuesday, April 7, and ordered the immediate withdrawal of 60,000 tonnes of condemned super petrol from the Kenya Pipeline Company’s storage network, his directive arrived with the gravity of a man trying to unring a bell.

    By then, according to multiple industry executives who spoke to Kenya Insights, the fuel was not waiting obediently in a tank to be recalled.

    It had already been absorbed into the veins of a national pipeline system that does not segregate cargoes, does not reserve space by importer, and does not operate with the kind of surgical precision that would allow any single consignment of tainted petrol to be extracted from a system that, by its very design, blends everything it receives.

    The question that Kenya’s energy governance apparatus refuses to formally answer — and that Wandayi and the Kenya Pipeline Company have conspicuously avoided — is whether millions of Kenyans who filled their tanks over the Easter holiday weekend were unknowingly consuming petrol laced with levels of sulphur, manganese, and benzene that the Kenya Bureau of Standards has explicitly declared unacceptable for the Kenyan market.

    THE PIPELINE DOES NOT LIE

    Understanding the catastrophic implications of One Petroleum’s assurance requires understanding how KPC’s infrastructure actually works. When a petroleum tanker docks at the Port of Mombasa and discharges its cargo, the product does not flow into a dedicated tank bearing the importer’s name. It flows directly into the national pipeline system by grade — petrol into the petrol stream, diesel into the diesel stream, and dual-purpose kerosene into its own channel. KPC’s depots at Kipevu, Nairobi, Nakuru, Eldoret, and Kisumu all receive product from the same undifferentiated streams.

    Three separate oil marketing company executives, speaking anonymously to avoid what one described as fear of State reprisals, confirmed to Kenya Insights and Business Daily that the moment One Petroleum’s MT Paloma discharged its 68,000-tonne cargo at Mombasa between March 27 and 29, that product was irreversibly blended with whatever was already in the national system.

    “KPC does not segregate fuel at the discharge point. The product is stored separately for each grade. One Petroleum cannot retrieve the fuel that they supplied.”

    The statement above, attributed to one of three industry executives, encapsulates what the government has been unable to publicly concede: that the withdrawal order issued by Wandayi, legally and politically sound as it may have been, is physically impossible to execute.

    Oil marketers who had already booked cargo under One Petroleum’s consignment — including Astrol Petroleum with 2.35 million litres, Aftah Petroleum with 2.065 million litres, Be Energy with 636,657 litres, and Ainushamsi Energy with 363,029 litres — had already paid their taxes to the Kenya Revenue Authority and were, in all likelihood, lifting product from a pipeline that no longer distinguished between good and bad fuel.

    THE EASTER WINDOW: WHEN OVERSIGHT WENT SILENT

    The timeline is damning precisely because of what it reveals about the window during which oversight was absent. MT Paloma docked and discharged between March 27 and 29. The Easter public holiday weekend began on April 3. The DCI arrests of Petroleum Principal Secretary Mohamed Liban, KPC Managing Director Joe Sang, and EPRA Director-General Daniel Kiptoo Bargoria, though also conducted on the night of April 2, triggered immediate resignations that left the regulatory apparatus effectively headless during one of the highest fuel-demand periods in Kenya’s annual calendar.

    Business Daily, citing State fears, reported that the government ordered the exit of the consignment from the country precisely because of concerns that part of the emergency cargo had already been consumed over the Easter holiday.

    That phrasing, embedded in an official government narrative, is as close to an admission as Kenya’s political class has yet managed: the fuel may already be gone, pumped into the tanks of millions of motorists who had no way of knowing that the petrol they purchased had been flagged by a KPC quality assurance manager as non-compliant with national standards.

    The KPC quality assurance manager at the centre of the scandal reportedly halted distribution upon testing the consignment and escalated the matter through internal channels.

    Yet the internal disagreement that followed — over whether the product should be released into the market before a full investigation could be conducted — suggests that pressure was applied to release the fuel anyway. The question of who applied that pressure, and why, is at the heart of the DCI’s criminal investigation.

    A WAIVER THAT OPENED THE GATE

    The bureaucratic infrastructure that allowed substandard fuel to enter Kenya’s system at all was constructed through an extraordinary set of regulatory waivers that bypassed the very safeguards designed to protect consumers.

    On March 26, 2026, then-PS Mohamed Liban wrote to Kenya Bureau of Standards Managing Director Esther Ngari, seeking a temporary waiver on standard pre-export verification procedures.

    His rationale was the disruption caused by the US-Iran conflict and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which had trapped 85,000 tonnes of Gulf Energy petrol at the Port of Jebel Ali in Dubai.

    The letter Liban wrote to Ngari acknowledged that ship-to-ship transfer methods, which the emergency importers were using, meant that cargo originally destined for other markets — markets with different, often lower, quality standards — might not have received the standard certificate of conformity issued by KEBS-authorised agents at the load port. In plain language: Kenya was asking its standards regulator to allow in fuel that had been tested for another country’s requirements, not Kenya’s.

    What followed was even more remarkable. A letter dated March 28, signed by Trade and Investment Cabinet Secretary Lee Kinyanjui and addressed to Energy CS Wandayi, granted a waiver on the petroleum products on the grounds that they contained high levels of manganese, sulphur, and benzene. Kinyanjui listed six conditions for the waiver. The fuel came in anyway.

    The conditions, whatever they were, were not sufficient to prevent a cargo that the nation’s own standards body acknowledged was non-compliant from flowing into the KPC system.

    “Waiver is hereby granted on the petroleum that has high levels of manganese, sulphur and benzene.” — Trade CS Lee Kinyanjui, leaked letter dated March 28, 2026

    THE JAFFER NETWORK: WHO STANDS BEHIND ONE PETROLEUM

    One Petroleum Limited is not a company that emerged from nowhere to win a Sh11.8 billion emergency fuel contract. Corporate registry documents reveal a firm whose shareholder structure includes Mohamed Jaffer, Mujtaba Jaffer, Ali Abbas Jaffer, and Mohamed Husein Jaffer — members of a prominent Mombasa business dynasty with long roots in the coastal petroleum trade.

    The presence of Mbaraki Holdings Limited, a Mauritius-registered entity holding 41,098 ordinary shares, introduces an offshore financial dimension that investigators note is commonly used to obscure beneficial ownership and move value across jurisdictions beyond the reach of Kenya’s financial monitoring systems.

    Preliminary DCI findings have reportedly indicated that the fuel itself originated with Saudi Aramco before being sold to a separate international intermediary and then redirected through One Petroleum to Kenya.

    This chain of custody — from a legitimate sovereign supplier, through an offshore resale mechanism, into an emergency procurement corridor that bypassed normal verification — is the architecture investigators say may constitute criminal economic sabotage.

    The DCI has confirmed it is liaising with investigative agencies in other countries under Mutual Legal Assistance frameworks to trace the full provenance of the cargo.

    Searches of suspects’ homes during the April 2 DCI raids reportedly recovered close to Sh500 million in cash and assets, according to sources cited by Kenya Today, believed by investigators to potentially represent proceeds from the petroleum transactions under scrutiny.

    No charges have been formally filed, and all five detained officials — Liban, Sang, Kiptoo, Deputy Director of Petroleum Joseph Wafula, and KPC Supply and Logistics Manager Joel Mburu — were released on Sh100,000 police cash bail each pending court appearance.

    THE DATA WAS FALSIFIED: A MANUFACTURED CRISIS

    The scandal takes on an even more sinister dimension when the origins of the emergency procurement are examined.

    According to a statement from the Chief of Staff and Head of Public Service Felix Koskei, primary duty bearers in the petroleum supply chain are alleged to have manipulated data on in-country fuel stocks, deliberately creating a false impression of an impending supply shortfall.

    That falsified data was then used to trigger the NSCC directive that instructed Liban to seek alternative fuel sources.

    The NSCC meeting that approved the emergency importation on March 9 was copied to an extraordinary roster of the country’s top security chiefs: National Intelligence Service Director-General Noordin Haji, Chief of Defence Forces Charles Kahariri, Inspector-General of Police Douglas Kanja, and three principal secretaries.

    The political cover was immaculate.

    If the data on which that NSCC recommendation was based had been manipulated, then the entire emergency procurement chain — from the NSCC directive, through Liban’s letters, through Kinyanjui’s waiver, to One Petroleum’s discharge at Mombasa — was built on a manufactured crisis.

    Before Uganda could serve as a regional buffer, Kenya had reportedly approached Kampala requesting to borrow fuel stocks as a stop-gap. Uganda rejected the request, partly because Ugandan petrol stations had already raised pump prices over fears of regional shortages linked to the Middle East conflict.

    Kenya then pivoted to the emergency import contracts awarded to One Petroleum and Oryx Energies.

    That Uganda, which depends on Kenya’s pipeline infrastructure for its own fuel supplies, was also drawn into the regional disruption illustrates how a domestic manipulation of stock data can have cascading cross-border consequences.

    THE PIPELINE’S SEVEN LABORATORIES AND THE ALLEGATION OF INSTITUTIONAL CAPTURE

    KPC operates seven ISO-accredited laboratories across its depot network. Under normal circumstances, those laboratories represent an insurmountable quality firewall between suspect fuel and Kenyan consumers.

    The problem, as described by insiders to Nation Media Group’s investigative team, is that those laboratories are only as independent as the officials who manage the institutions around them.

    If the regulator and the pipeline company are in institutional alignment — which the alleged collusion of Kiptoo and Sang would suggest — then quality certificates can cease to be a defence and instead become what one source called a mask for the fraud.

    The DCI is specifically investigating how the consignment passed through KPC’s quality assurance framework. A KPC quality assurance manager reportedly flagged concerns, halted distribution, and escalated the issue.

    But the internal disagreement that followed suggests that someone above that manager pushed for distribution regardless. Who gave that instruction, and at whose behest, remains the centrepiece of the criminal probe.

    FUEL RATIONING, ENGINE DAMAGE FEARS, AND THE KTA WARNING

    Even as the government maintained that fuel supply was stable, reality unravelled conspicuously at the pump. The Kenya Transporters Association formally wrote to EPRA, the Ministry of Energy, KPC, and all oil marketing companies on April 8, warning of paralysing fuel shortages along key logistics corridors.

    Transporters reported being turned away at fuel stations, forced to buy in small quantities across multiple stops, and experiencing a complete withdrawal of credit facilities by oil marketing companies. The KTA letter described the situation as making it nearly impossible to sustain long-haul operations.

    Motorists had already been raising alarm about fuel quality even before the scandal broke publicly, with reports of engine damage linked to contaminated petroleum products circulating in the weeks before the DCI arrests.

    Martin Chomba, chair of the Petroleum Outlets Association of Kenya, noted in an April 7 interview that some shipments may contain higher sulphur content than Kenya’s preferred standards, acknowledging that while technically usable, such fuel raises compliance questions and could affect vehicle performance.

    The National Assembly’s Energy Committee summoned Wandayi to appear before it on April 9, alongside KPC and EPRA, to explain both the substandard fuel and the worsening shortage.

    “Every motorist, every hawker, every schoolchild breathing roadside air in Nairobi is an unwitting participant.” — Kenya Insights, April 2026

    THE KPC IPO FALLOUT: SH106 BILLION AT RISK

    The scandal lands at the worst possible moment for President William Ruto’s flagship privatisation programme. The KPC initial public offering, completed in March 2026, was celebrated as a landmark success — 105 percent oversubscribed, with 70,000 ordinary Kenyans purchasing shares at Sh9 each.

    Yet as Nation Africa’s analysis revealed, non-EAC foreign investors took only 0.02 percent of the shares on offer, a detail that in retrospect suggests international institutional money may have priced in governance risks that domestic retail investors were not informed about.

    If those who ran KPC at the time of the IPO — including Joe Sang, who has now resigned in disgrace — are proven to have been complicit in a scheme to flood Kenya’s national fuel supply chain with substandard, adulterated product, then every investor who purchased KPC shares on the basis of governance disclosures made during the IPO roadshow faces a question that should alarm any regulatory authority: were material facts withheld?

    The Sh106 billion valuation of KPC now rests on the credibility of an institution whose former management is under criminal investigation for allegedly poisoning the very product it was tasked with delivering.

    WHAT THE GOVERNMENT WILL NOT SAY

    The official position, as articulated by Wandayi, is that the fuel did not enter the Kenyan market because One Petroleum confirmed it had taken steps to ensure the cargo from MT Paloma does not enter the Kenyan market.

    One Petroleum’s statement, published after consultations with the government, maintained that the petroleum cargo brought in via MT Paloma would not enter the market.

    What neither statement addresses is what happened between March 27, when MT Paloma discharged, and the date those commitments were made. KPC’s own structural reality, confirmed by three anonymous industry executives, is that a discharged cargo of petrol cannot be isolated once it enters the pipeline.

    The physics of petroleum infrastructure are not subject to ministerial directives. The fuel mixed the moment it was discharged. The assurance that it will not enter the market is, at best, a commitment about future conduct.

    It says nothing about what has already flowed out of Mombasa’s Kipevu depot and through the pipeline to Nairobi, Nakuru, Eldoret, and Kisumu, where oil marketers were already lifting volumes and paying KRA taxes on cargo they had booked before Wandayi issued his instruction.

    Kenya Insights has established that Wandayi and KPC remained tight-lipped on the full fate of the fuel even as the Business Daily reported industry fears that part of the consignment could have already flowed to motorists’ tanks.

    In a country where motor vehicle penetration continues to rise and where the informal transport sector runs almost entirely on petrol and diesel, a silent contamination of the national fuel supply is not a technical inconvenience.

    It is a public health event.

    The government’s silence on exactly how much of the One Petroleum cargo was already distributed before the withdrawal order was issued is not just a communications failure. It is an accountability failure of the highest order.

    CONCLUSION: THE BELL CANNOT BE UNRUNG

    One Petroleum’s public statement of compliance with Wandayi’s withdrawal directive achieved exactly what it was designed to achieve: it shifted public attention from the irreversible to the procedural.

    By issuing a statement of compliance, the company converted a question about what had already happened into a question about what it would do next. The government, desperate for a political resolution ahead of the April 14 EPRA price review cycle — when pump prices are expected to rise by as much as Sh53 per litre — accepted that framing.

    But the pipeline industry’s physical reality does not accommodate political framing. The Kenya Pipeline Company is a flow system. It does not hold cargo in named containers.

    It does not reserve capacity per importer.

    It does not have a mechanism to reverse the discharge of 68,000 tonnes of substandard petrol once that petrol has been blended with the national supply stream.

    Three industry executives said so, on the record within their anonymity, to Kenya Insights and Business Daily. The DCI knows it. The oil marketing companies know it. The motorists who filled their tanks over Easter weekend did not know it — and they were given no opportunity to find out.

    The most important question in this scandal is not whether One Petroleum complied with the withdrawal order.

    It is whether any Kenyan filling a tank at a petrol station between March 27 and the date of that order was protected by the regulatory system that their taxes fund.

    The answer, based on everything Kenya Insights has established, is that they were not. And the government, as of this writing, has offered them nothing except silence.

  • Eric Omondi Tops Kenya Influencers With Sh57mn Earnings

    Eric Omondi Tops Kenya Influencers With Sh57mn Earnings

    NAIROBI, Kenya, April 9 – Comedian Eric Omondi has emerged as Kenya’s top-earning social media influencer, pulling in an estimated Sh57 million in 2025, according to new industry data.

    A report by Odipo Dev shows Omondi led the earnings chart through brand partnerships, reflecting the growing commercialization of Kenya’s digital content space.

    Top influencers collectively earned Sh296 million last year, while total payouts to creators surpassed Sh1.07 billion, underscoring the sector’s rising economic significance.

    The findings highlight entertainment—particularly comedy—as the most lucrative content category, with creators leveraging strong audience engagement to secure repeat brand deals.

    Brands in sectors such as beauty, food and beverage, telecommunications, and financial services are increasingly shifting advertising budgets to digital platforms, with SMEs driving the bulk of influencer partnerships.

    However, the report notes a gap between audience reach and revenue, especially on TikTok, where creators struggle to convert views into income.

    Instagram remains the most effective platform for monetization, while Facebook delivers moderate returns.

    With limited direct earnings from platforms, most Kenyan creators still rely heavily on brand deals and external income streams.

    Analysts say improving monetization models and expanding access to brand partnerships will be critical as the creator economy continues to grow beyond the Sh1 billion mark.

  • Both Sides Claim Victory After US, Iran Agree To 11th-Hour Truce

    Both Sides Claim Victory After US, Iran Agree To 11th-Hour Truce

    The United States and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire barely an hour before President Donald Trump’s Wednesday deadline to obliterate the country was set to expire, with Tehran to temporarily reopen the vital Strait of Hormuz.

    Both sides claimed to have won the more than month-long conflict that has roiled global financial markets and sent oil prices skyrocketing, with Trump telling AFP the deal was a “total and complete victory” for the US.

    Iran too cast the ceasefire as a win and said it had agreed to talks with Washington to begin Friday in Pakistan on a path to end the conflict.

    “The enemy has suffered an undeniable, historic and crushing defeat in its cowardly, illegal and criminal war against the Iranian nation,” said a statement from the Iranian Supreme National Security Council.

    “Iran achieved a great victory.”

    The White House said Israel had also agreed to the ceasefire, but Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said it does not include Lebanon, where Israeli assaults in response to rocket fire by Iranian-backed Hezbollah have led to more than 1,500 deaths, according to Lebanese authorities.

    Israel had encouraged Trump to join the war against Iran, its arch-nemesis, and in the first strikes killed the long-serving supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

    Trump said he had spoken to Pakistan’s leaders who “requested that I hold off the destructive force being sent tonight to Iran.”

    He later told AFP he believed China had helped get Tehran to negotiate.

    “Subject to the Islamic Republic of Iran agreeing to the COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE, and SAFE OPENING of the Strait of Hormuz, I agree to suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks,” Trump wrote on his Truth Social platform on Tuesday.

    Trump had set a deadline to Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz by 8:00 pm Washington time (0000 GMT Wednesday), or 3:30 am in Tehran.

    Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi confirmed safe passage for two weeks for ships through the Strait of Hormuz, the gateway for one-fifth of the world’s oil which Tehran sealed off in retaliation for the war launched on February 28.

    “If attacks against Iran are halted, our Powerful Armed Forces will cease their defensive operations,” Araghchi said.

    – Uranium to be ‘taken care of’ –

    Oil prices plunged by more than 17 percent after the ceasefire announcement. Costs at the pump had risen sharply since the war across the globe and for ordinary Americans, putting heavy political pressure on Trump.

    Stock prices also soared in early trade Wednesday in Asia.

    Trump said that the United States was “very far along” in negotiating a long-term agreement with Iran, which had submitted a 10-point plan that he said was “workable.”

    But Iran publicly released points that took maximalist positions, including lifting long-standing US sanctions, guaranteeing its own “dominion” over the Strait of Hormuz and removing US forces from the region.

    Crucially, it also said its plan would also require Washington to accept its uranium enrichment programme.

    Trump has alleged that Iran was near building an atomic bomb, an assertion not backed by the UN nuclear watchdog and most observers.

    Trump insisted that the nuclear material would be covered by any peace deal.

    “That will be perfectly taken care of, or I wouldn’t have settled,” Trump told AFP, without giving any specifics about what would happen to the uranium.

    Trump would not say whether he would go back to his original threats to lay waste to all power plants and bridges across the country of 90 million people if the deal fell apart.

    “You’re going to have to see,” Trump told AFP.

    Trump had made threats shocking even by his own standards when he warned that “a whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again. I don’t want that to happen, but it probably will.”

    – Heavy strikes before deadline –

    The United States and Israel struck key infrastructure before Trump’s deadline, with Netanyahu saying attacks hit railways and bridges allegedly used by the Revolutionary Guards.

    The Israeli military also offered a rare statement of regret after it acknowledged damaging a synagogue in Tehran, saying it had been targeting a senior Iranian commander.

    Iran, run by Shia Muslim clerics, is home to around 100 synagogues for its historic Jewish minority.

    Infrastructure attacks reported by Iranian authorities Tuesday included a US-Israeli strike on a bridge outside the city of Qom and another on a rail bridge in central Iran that killed two people.

    Iran has retaliated with weeks of drone and missile attacks on Gulf Arab states, citing their role as hubs for US troops.

    The attacks have shattered the monarchies’ hard-fought reputation for safety and stability.

    Qatar said early Wednesday that four people were hurt by falling missile debris, including a child. AFP reporters also heard explosions in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates said they responded to missile threats.

    Two civilians, one of them an eight-year-old child, were killed in Baghdad when a projectile crashed into their home, police told AFP.

    – ‘Terrified’ –

    Iranian university student Metanat, 27, whose classmate was killed two weeks ago in an attack, told AFP before Trump’s suspension of the bombing she felt “terrified and so should everyone else in the country.”

    State media published photos purporting to show groups of Iranians forming human chains to protect power plants.

    The show of patriotism in the face of attacks came several months after Iran’s cleric-run government cracked down violently on mass protests, with rights groups reporting thousands of deaths.

    A peace agreement would leave in place the Islamic republic despite hopes by Israel and the United States of toppling it.

    The United States and Israel said that they attacked Iran to degrade its military capacity.

  • The Teflon Company: How Gulf Energy’s Insiders Built Billions on Kenya’s Fuel, and Walked Away Clean

    The Teflon Company: How Gulf Energy’s Insiders Built Billions on Kenya’s Fuel, and Walked Away Clean

    In the final days of March 2026, as Kenyans crowded Easter forecourts across the country, the Republic of Kenya stood eleven days from running dry. Not because of a global supply catastrophe, not because the world’s oil wells had seized, but because a single company — handpicked by the government, awarded the most lucrative fuel import mandate in the country’s history, and shielded by ownership structures deliberately routed through Mauritius — had failed to deliver what it was contracted to deliver. That company was Gulf Energy Limited. And its principals, having already cashed out billions from a French buyout, were nowhere near the docks when the crisis erupted.

    Four senior government officials were arrested on April 2, 2026. The Petroleum Principal Secretary, Mohamed Liban. The Energy and Petroleum Regulatory Authority Director-General, Daniel Kiptoo. The Kenya Pipeline Company Managing Director, Joe Sang. And the KPC Deputy Director for Petroleum, Joseph Wafula. All four have since resigned. None are named Gulf Energy. Yet Gulf Energy controls over 80 percent of Kenya’s petrol imports under the government-to-government arrangement — the largest single allocation awarded to any oil marketing company in the country. The question that Kenya’s investigators, politicians, and long-suffering motorists must now demand an answer to is simple: when the contracted company fails, fabricated shortage or not, who authorised the emergency exit, who profited from it, and why has no one touched the company that made all of this possible?

    THE ARCHITECTURE OF DOMINANCE

    Gulf Energy did not become the most powerful oil company in Kenya by accident. Its rise is a story of patient relationship-building, regulatory capture, and political access spanning more than two decades — a story whose protagonists built personal fortunes measured in billions of shillings before the company changed hands, and whose successors continue to operate the machinery from inside its boardrooms today.

    The company was founded in 2005 as a Nairobi-based special purpose vehicle for bulk oil supplies, initially serving commercial and institutional clients. It expanded methodically across East and Central Africa — Uganda, Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, Zambia, South Africa — accumulating fuel storage infrastructure in both Mombasa and Nairobi. By the time the original shareholder group began engineering their exit, Gulf Energy had become what industry insiders described as a company whose footprint exceeded its market share: a business with outsized influence over Kenya’s petroleum supply chain.

    The original ownership structure has been extensively documented in records from the Business Registration Service. Suleiman Said Shahbal, the Mombasa investment banker and politician who would later serve as an East African Legislative Assembly Member of Parliament, held a 25 percent stake through his wholly-owned vehicle, Monte Carlo Investments Limited. Francis Koome Njogu, the Meru businessman and hotelier who served as Managing Director, held 20 percent directly. Duncan King’ori Mukira held 12.5 percent. Paul Kiprotich Limoh — who today serves as Gulf Energy’s CEO and its public face before Senate committees — held a matching 12.5 percent stake.

    The remaining 25 percent stake was held through a company called Nama Kenya Limited, a United Kingdom-registered entity with a minority Kenyan director in Ahmed Said Bajaber, who also sits on the board of Gulf African Bank. The beneficial ownership of Nama Kenya Limited beyond Bajaber’s disclosed minority stake has never been definitively established in public records — a structural opacity that, as events in 2026 demonstrate, is far from incidental.

    Mauritius is not a coincidence. It is a decision. When the majority shareholder of Kenya’s most powerful fuel importer sits in an offshore jurisdiction beyond the reach of Kenya’s disclosure laws, that is a governance failure the government chose to live with.

    THE RUBIS WINDFALL AND THE OPAQUE RESTRUCTURING

    In November 2019, French multinational Rubis Energie — which had already acquired KenolKobil in a Sh36 billion transaction in March of that year — announced it had signed a share purchase agreement for the acquisition of Gulf Energy Holdings Limited. The deal was completed in December 2019, giving Rubis a combined market share exceeding 21 percent and making it Kenya’s largest petroleum retailer overnight. The Competition Authority of Kenya approved the transaction; the Energy Regulatory Commission gave its blessing; the machinery of the state nodded through the consolidation of an already dominant player into an even more dominant foreign-owned conglomerate.

    For the original Gulf Energy shareholders, the Rubis deal was transformative. Suleiman Shahbal is estimated to have earned approximately Sh2.4 billion from the transaction — the largest single payout of any named shareholder, commensurate with his 25 percent stake through Monte Carlo Investments. Francis Koome Njogu is estimated to have received approximately Sh1.9 billion for his 20 percent holding. Duncan Mukira and Paul Kiprotich Limoh each received an estimated Sh1.2 billion for their matching 12.5 percent stakes. The total value extracted by the four named Kenyan principals exceeded Sh6.7 billion — and that is before accounting for the Nama Kenya Limited stake and the Mauritius-based Auron Energy holding that, depending on the transaction structure, may represent an additional layer of beneficial wealth that has never been publicly disclosed.

    Shahbal payout (est.): Sh2.4 billion

    Njogu payout (est.): Sh1.9 billion

    Mukira payout (est.): Sh1.2 billion

    Limoh payout (est.): Sh1.2 billion

    Combined named Kenyan principals: Sh6.7 billion+

    What happened after Rubis took control is where the story becomes significantly more complex. The Competition Authority of Kenya’s records show a separate transaction: the proposed acquisition of 80 percent of the issued share capital of Gulf Energy Limited — a distinct operating entity from the holdings company — by Auron Energy Limited, registered in Mauritius. This Auron Energy is not the same Auron Energy E&P Limited that Gulf later used to acquire Tullow Oil’s Kenya assets in 2025. The structures have multiplied, the Mauritius connections have deepened, and the beneficial ownership of the largest single bloc of Gulf Energy’s operating entity remains, in 2026, a matter the company has been permitted to leave unresolved.

    In September 2025, Gulf Energy’s affiliate Auron Energy E&P Limited completed the acquisition of Tullow Oil’s entire Kenyan working interests — the Lokichar oil fields — for a minimum consideration of US$120 million. The deal was advised by Dentons Hamilton Harrison and Mathews. It was hailed as a landmark transaction, proof of Gulf Energy’s strategic evolution from a downstream fuel distributor into an upstream exploration player. What it also represented was a dramatic expansion of Gulf Energy’s footprint across Kenya’s entire petroleum value chain — from the wellhead in Turkana to the pump in Nairobi — at precisely the moment when the government’s G2G arrangement was making it the indispensable gatekeeper of Kenya’s fuel supply.

    THE GOVERNMENT-TO-GOVERNMENT ARRANGEMENT: A MONOPOLY BY DESIGN

    The government-to-government petroleum import framework was established in 2023, following the severe fuel shortages of 2022 that produced long queues at filling stations and a foreign exchange crisis that threatened to paralyse the economy. The framework was designed to stabilise supply by removing the volatility of open-market procurement, replacing it with sovereign-backed agreements with Gulf state oil majors: Saudi Aramco, the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, and the Emirates National Oil Company. Payment in Kenyan shillings, with a 180-day credit facility, was supposed to ease pressure on the dollar.

    Three local oil marketing companies were nominated to handle the imports: Gulf Energy, Galana Oil Kenya, and Oryx Energies. The selection criteria — centred on liquidity thresholds that only the largest players could meet — was described by the IMF and the National Treasury as a structural distortion of market competition. The framework, critics noted from its inception, concentrated procurement power among a handful of politically connected firms and gave five major Kenyan banks outsized influence over dollar allocation. It was, in short, not merely a logistics arrangement but an economic chokepoint — and Gulf Energy held the most lucrative position within it.

    Under the G2G framework, Gulf Energy was contracted to import between 170,000 and 200,000 metric tons of diesel monthly — the largest single allocation awarded to any nominated oil marketing company. Its dominance extended to petrol: Gulf Energy handles more than 80 percent of Kenya’s petrol imports under the arrangement. By 2023, Gulf Energy’s CEO Paul Kiprotich Limoh was appearing before Senate committees to confirm that the company had remitted US$686 million in fuel payments — a figure that speaks not merely to the scale of the G2G business but to the extraordinary concentration of national risk in a single, Mauritius-shadowed corporate entity.

    Gulf Energy was not just an oil company. Under the G2G framework, it was the load-bearing wall of Kenya’s fuel supply. When it failed, the entire structure cracked.

    THE EASTER CRISIS: HOW GULF ENERGY FAILED KENYA

    The crisis of March 2026 was not sudden. It was bureaucratic, documented, and — crucially — known to every senior official in Kenya’s energy architecture weeks before Kenyans noticed anything at all. Gulf Energy was under cargo code KG05/2026, contracted to deliver 85,000 metric tons of petrol. The vessel designated for the cargo, MT Elka Apollon, had loaded fuel at Jebel Ali in the United Arab Emirates. It never sailed. The Strait of Hormuz had been effectively closed following the escalation of conflict in the Middle East, and the tanker sat at anchor while Kenya’s stocks declined.

    Gulf Energy admitted the problem on March 18, 2026, during an emergency crisis meeting with the technical committee of the Ministry of Energy and Petroleum. Their proposed solution was a partial fix: two smaller vessels delivering a combined 76,000 metric tons — a shortfall of 9,000 tons against the contracted quantity, in a week when Easter demand was projected to spike 20 percent. The ministry’s own internal projections, contained in a leaked document reviewed by The Standard, concluded that national petrol stocks as of March 19 would sustain only 11 days of normal consumption. A demand surge would reduce that to seven days. The country would run dry by April 2.

    The National Security Council Committee, chaired by the President, was convened. Emergency powers were granted to the Ministry of Energy to bypass the G2G framework. On March 25, the government awarded emergency contracts to One Petroleum Services and Oryx Energies — neither of them Gulf Energy — to deliver fuel at a rate of $290 per metric ton, against the $84 per metric ton G2G rate. The premium was not a negotiating failure. It was the arithmetic of desperation, and Kenyans would pay for it at the pump: a surcharge of Sh17.49 per litre attributable to the emergency procurement.

    Gulf Energy, to compound the crisis it had triggered, kept attempting to recover the situation with proposals that arrived too late and at specifications below Kenyan legal standards. On March 21, three days after admitting failure, the company proposed a 37,000-ton cargo from Saudi Aramco to be carried by MT NCC Najeem, with a projected delivery date of April 8 to 10 — a week after Kenya would have run out of fuel. When the cargo documentation was reviewed, ministry officials confirmed in a letter dated March 25 that the petrol in question had an octane rating of RON 91 against Kenya’s mandatory minimum of RON 93, contained elevated sulphur levels, and included manganese — a metallic additive banned under Kenyan petroleum regulations. The ministry nonetheless granted a quality exemption, characterising it as a matter of national security of supply.

    Gulf Energy did not bid for the emergency tender issued on March 18. While Hass Petroleum, Oryx Energies, E3 Energies, and One Petroleum submitted competitive offers, Gulf — the company that had created the emergency — was absent from the process entirely.

    THE MV PALOMA AND THE MANUFACTURED SHORTAGE

    It is the events surrounding the MV Paloma that have drawn criminal investigators most acutely and most dangerously close to a network of actors that extends well beyond the four officials already arrested. The DCI’s public statements confirm that the vessel docked at Mombasa between March 27 and March 29, 2026. Preliminary findings indicate that the cargo originated from Saudi Aramco before being sold to a separate international firm and redirected through a local Kenyan importer. The vessel was, according to investigators, originally destined for Angola — a routing that, if confirmed, would establish that the fuel was deliberately diverted to Mombasa through intermediaries at a moment of manufactured vulnerability.

    KPC’s quality assurance manager tested the cargo and rejected it for excess sulphur content. Officials then allegedly attempted to offload the fuel regardless, triggering the DCI raids of April 2. The preliminary overpricing estimate stands at Sh4 billion. If a second anticipated shipment under similar arrangements is confirmed, the figure rises to Sh8 billion.

    Presidential spokesperson Felix Koskei confirmed that primary duty bearers within the petroleum supply chain may have manipulated data on in-country fuel stocks to exploit rising global oil prices and heightened public anxiety — the precise conditions that Gulf Energy’s contractual failure had created. The government’s statement to the nation was direct: the emergency shipment was procured in blatant breach of the G2G framework, at a price significantly above contracted rates, in complete disregard of established emergency procurement procedures, and was of substandard quality. The DCI has confirmed it is tracing bank accounts of companies in the petroleum trade for kickbacks, and has stated that a wider network beyond the arrested officials is under active investigation.

    Gulf Energy created the emergency. The emergency created the pretext. The pretext created the profit. And the profit, preliminary estimates suggest, was Sh4 billion — potentially Sh8 billion if the second shipment is confirmed.

    THE POLITICAL IMPUNITY AND THE WANDAYI QUESTION

    Energy Cabinet Secretary Opiyo Wandayi was copied on every warning. The ministry letter of March 17 from Petroleum PS Mohamed Liban to Gulf Energy’s CEO Paul Limoh, requesting an update on the missing PMS cargo, was a ministry communication — which means its contents were available to the CS. By March 18, the technical committee had already classified the situation as dire. By March 19, the stock projections showing an April 2 stockout date were circulating at the ministry level. And by March 25, Wandayi’s ministry was granting quality waivers to below-specification fuel from a company that had already failed its primary obligation.

    Wandayi did not speak publicly about the crisis until after the arrests. When he finally issued a statement, it was framed as a declaration of decisive action — the ministry had stopped the second cargo, he said, to protect the public interest. He accused a section of political leaders of spreading disinformation. He warned cartels against exploiting uncertainty. He did not address why Gulf Energy, which had triggered the crisis, received neither a financial penalty, nor a public censure, nor a suspension from the next import cycle. He did not address whether he or his office had approved the quality exemption for the RON 91 cargo. He has not been arrested. He has not been summoned. He continues to serve.

    The silence of politically powerful actors in the face of documented institutional failure is not new in Kenya. But the scale of the benefit asymmetry in this case is stark. Four career civil servants have been arrested, resigned, and subjected to criminal investigation. The company that created the preconditions for the entire scandal — by failing to deliver a contracted cargo it had accepted sovereign-backed payment terms to supply — has faced no consequences. Gulf Energy remains a nominated oil marketer for the next import cycle.

    THE DEEPER NETWORK: GULF POWER, GALLANT, AND THE MAURITIUS WEB

    The governance questions surrounding Gulf Energy are not confined to the petroleum import arrangement. The company’s directors and former shareholders sit at the centre of a web of energy interests that extends into power generation, real estate, and banking — all of them touching, in various configurations, publicly funded revenue streams.

    Gulf Power Limited, a thermal electricity generation company with an installed capacity of 80.32 megawatts, holds a Power Purchase Agreement with Kenya Power under which it received Sh3.569 billion in the financial year ended June 2022 — at an average rate of Sh44.07 per unit, more than four times the national average generation cost. The company’s majority shareholder is Gallant Power Limited, registered in Mauritius, which controls 80 percent of Gulf Power. The remaining 20 percent is split between the Kenya Power and Lighting Company Staff Retirement Benefits Scheme and Noora Power Limited — in which both Suleiman Shahbal and Francis Koome Njogu hold 50 percent stakes respectively. A Senate committee examining the Gulf Power arrangement in 2023 directly asked whether former officials — including former Energy Minister Kiraitu Murungi and former permanent secretaries — held beneficial interests in the Mauritius entity. The managing director denied this but declined to produce a list of Gallant Power’s actual beneficial owners.

    Shahbal’s GulfCap Group, operating across finance, real estate, energy, and hospitality, has continued to expand its footprint under his EALA parliamentary platform. His Gulf African Bank, Kenya’s first fully Shariah-compliant financial institution, ranks among the country’s top 15 banks by assets. His GulfCap Real Estate is developing properties in Nairobi and a Sh120 billion lakeside project in Kisumu in partnership with a politically connected family. For a man who cashed out Sh2.4 billion from Gulf Energy in 2019, the subsequent years have represented not an exit from the energy sector but a lateral migration into its regulatory and political architecture.

    THE ACCOUNTABILITY DEFICIT

    President William Ruto, addressing the scandal, declared zero tolerance for cartels in the oil sector. He described the scheme as an attempt to exploit rising global prices and public anxiety. His language was unsparing. But the architecture of the arrangement he was denouncing — the G2G framework itself, with its concentration of procurement power, its Mauritius-resident beneficial owners, and its explicit exclusion of competitive market forces — was one his government had inherited, extended to 2027/28, and continued to rely upon even as the criminal investigation unfolded.

    Kiharu MP Ndindi Nyoro offered a different reading. The arrests, he suggested publicly, had less to do with protecting Kenyans than with settling scores between small players who had eaten what belonged to bigger ones. It was a remark that attracted predictable criticism but also — in Kenya’s political ecology — a knowing nod from those familiar with how petroleum sector disputes typically resolve. The DCI’s stated commitment to following bank accounts wherever they lead has been noted. Whether that commitment survives the gravitational pull of the interests involved remains the defining question of the investigation.

    The IMF and the National Treasury had already concluded, in assessments predating the scandal, that the G2G framework distorted market competition, concentrated procurement among liquidity-tested oligarchs, and gave major commercial banks disproportionate influence over foreign exchange allocation. The framework was always, in other words, a design choice — one that created systemic vulnerabilities while enriching a narrow group of connected actors. The Easter 2026 crisis was not an anomaly. It was the inevitable consequence of building critical national infrastructure on a foundation of deliberately opaque beneficial ownership and structurally asymmetric accountability.

    Gulf Energy failed. Officials cooked the books to paper over it. Competitors were rushed in at three times the price. Kenyans paid Sh17.49 extra per litre. Four civil servants have been arrested. The company that started it all is planning its next import cycle.

    WHAT ACCOUNTABILITY LOOKS LIKE

    Kenya Insights has confirmed that the DCI’s investigation is being conducted in collaboration with international partners under the Mutual Legal Assistance framework. Bank accounts across the petroleum trade are being traced. Executives from Oryx Energies have been summoned. The investigation has been described as extending well beyond the four officials already in custody. Whether that extension reaches Gulf Energy’s current corporate structure, its Mauritius-resident beneficial owners, or the political network that awarded and maintained the G2G arrangement is the measure by which this investigation will ultimately be judged.

    What the evidence establishes, independent of criminal verdicts not yet delivered, is this. A company with opaque beneficial ownership, operating under a government-mandated monopoly over the most sensitive commodity in Kenya’s economy, failed a critical contractual obligation at the worst possible moment. That failure created the conditions for an emergency procurement that cost Kenyans billions. The officials who managed that emergency in breach of legal procurement frameworks are facing criminal charges. The company whose failure triggered the emergency is continuing to operate. And the Cabinet Secretary who was copied on every document, who authorised the quality exemption, and who has not spoken about Gulf Energy’s accountability, remains in office.

    Paul Kiprotich Limoh, Gulf Energy’s CEO, has confirmed publicly to Senate committees that the company remitted $686 million in a single year under the G2G arrangement. He was once a shareholder who received an estimated Sh1.2 billion from the Rubis buyout. He is now the operational face of a company whose majority beneficial ownership sits, deliberately, beyond the reach of Kenya’s corporate disclosure requirements. The question of what he knew, when he knew it, and what obligation his company bears for the consequences of its contractual failure is one the DCI says remains very much under investigation.

    Kenya has been here before. Oil, contracts, Mauritius, anonymous beneficial owners, emergencies that create windfall profits, and officials who take the fall while the companies that profit walk away clean. The fuel in the pumps is different this time. The structure of impunity is identical.

  • Inside Details Of Sh78 Billion Fraud in KPC’s Mombasa-Nairobi Line 5 Pipeline Project That Has Continued To Bleed The Country

    Inside Details Of Sh78 Billion Fraud in KPC’s Mombasa-Nairobi Line 5 Pipeline Project That Has Continued To Bleed The Country

    The pipeline was supposed to be a triumph. Stretching 450 kilometres from the port of Mombasa to Nairobi, the new 20-inch multi-product conduit was Kenya’s most ambitious petroleum infrastructure project since independence, a Vision 2030 centrepiece awarded in July 2014 to Lebanese construction firm Zakhem International Construction Limited for a contract valued at approximately USD 484.5 million. It was commissioned in 2018. It was handed over. It was celebrated. And then, almost immediately, it became something else entirely: the locus of a financial extraction scheme so elaborate, so sustained, and so damaging to the Kenyan public that independent analysts now place the total documented exposure to taxpayers at over KSh 78 billion and still rising.

    That figure is not a projection or an estimate conjured for effect. It is derived from audited financial statements, High Court filings, Auditor-General reports, and the records of at least sixteen interconnected civil suits that have wound through the Milimani Commercial Court since 2018, engaging five different judges, triggering four recusal applications, and attracting a Directorate of Criminal Investigations inquiry into whether a sitting High Court judge was improperly approached to tilt the outcome. What began as a procurement dispute has metastasised into a matrix of garnishee orders, Mareva injunctions, consent judgments, and counter-applications that have effectively turned Kenya’s judiciary into an instrument of financial extraction from a state corporation.

    Activist and politician Morara Kebaso brought the matter back into public focus in early April 2026, when a video he originally posted in September 2024 resurfaced on social media.

    In the nearly 35-minute recording, Kebaso presents bank transfer documents, Auditor-General excerpts, and High Court filings, alleging what he describes as dirty dealings involving excessive post-completion payments, opaque variations, and the routing of public funds through prominent advocates. The video, amplified by the Nyakundi Report account on X, has reignited demands for a parliamentary probe and a full forensic audit. KPC has not issued a direct public response to the resurfaced claims.

    But Kebaso’s intervention, however pointed, tells only the surface layer of a story that is far darker and far more structurally dangerous than any single video can convey. Kenya Insights has reviewed court records, financial statements, and legal filings spanning twelve years to assemble the most comprehensive account yet of how Kenyan public infrastructure funds were pledged to a foreign bank through instruments that KPC’s own leadership appeared not to understand, and how a Lebanese construction dynasty then used that pledge as the foundation for a decade of litigation that has bled the corporation of billions while shielding the original wrongdoing from prosecutorial scrutiny.

    THE DEBENTURE THAT PRECEDED EVERYTHING

    The architecture of the scheme was assembled eight years before the pipeline contract was signed. In February 2006, a Lebanese construction company registered in Nigeria as Zakhem Construction Nigeria Limited executed a Deed of Debenture with Ecobank Nigeria PLC in Lagos. The instrument pledged all of Zakhem’s present and future assets globally, including future receivables, as security for financial facilities that Ecobank might extend. To most observers, such instruments are routine commercial arrangements. In this case, the debenture was a loaded mechanism that would lie dormant for nearly a decade before being activated with devastating consequences for the Kenyan public.

    In July 2014, KPC awarded the Mombasa-Nairobi Line 5 pipeline contract to Zakhem International Construction Limited, the Cypriot-registered arm of the Zakhem group, for approximately KSh 49.5 billion at prevailing exchange rates. Within months of that award, Zakhem secured a financing facility estimated at USD 300 million from Ecobank Nigeria, using the KPC contract proceeds as collateral. The instrument activating that pledge was a set of domiciliation letters, dated October 2014, in which Zakhem gave what court filings describe as unconditional and irrevocable instructions directing KPC to channel 70 percent of all contract payments into Zakhem’s account at Ecobank Nigeria, with the remaining 30 percent routed to Ecobank Kenya.

    KPC confirmed receipt of those Domiciliation Letters on 13 October 2014, placing its dated stamp upon them. What the corporation did not disclose, and what would become the central controversy of litigation that continues to this day, is that by stamping those letters, KPC had effectively bound itself as a party to a three-way financial obligation involving a Nigerian bank, a Cypriot holding company, and a Nigerian construction entity, all connected by an eight-year-old debenture that predated the KPC contract entirely. Ecobank had engineered itself a senior claim over contract proceeds that ranked, in practical terms, ahead of anything KPC’s own legal advisers had contemplated. None of this was disclosed in KPC’s annual reports for years, even after the corporation had been named as a defendant in a lawsuit demanding over USD 52 million.

    The financing consortium that KPC’s own documentation acknowledges included CFC Stanbic, Citibank Kenya, Co-operative Bank, Rand Merchant Bank, and Standard Chartered. Ecobank was not among them. Yet by virtue of the domiciliation letters, Ecobank’s claim to contract proceeds was arguably superior to any arrangement KPC had formally sanctioned. Legal experts have since argued that by accepting those letters, KPC created a binding financial obligation to a foreign bank without parliamentary approval or Treasury oversight, in potential violation of the Public Finance Management Act.

    THE BALLOON THAT NEVER STOPPED INFLATING

    The contract itself was a source of controversy from the outset. Zakhem International Construction Cyprus had submitted two different bid figures during the procurement process, USD 591 million and USD 485 million, a discrepancy that competitors alleged was irregular. KPC awarded the contract at the lower figure. Construction commenced shortly after signing, with project completion and handover to KPC occurring in July 2018 following a commissioning process. But the price had already moved well beyond the original contract value through a sequence of variation orders and extensions of time that KPC’s Auditor-General-reviewed accounts would later acknowledge as design changes and omitted works.

    By the financial year ending June 2019, official records showed total expenditure on the Line 5 project reaching KSh 51.4 billion, a material increase from the original contract sum. The Auditor-General’s reports for successive years flagged billions in additional disbursements to the contractor, including a red-flagged payment of KSh 2.8 billion in a single financial year. KPC’s own 2018 financial statements contained a startling admission: that until matters related to contract variations and extensions of time were resolved, it was not possible to confirm that the carrying value of the pipeline as stated in the accounts was true and fair. That was not a footnote. That was an auditor’s signal that the numbers could not be vouched for.

    The variation dispute had by then been transplanted from the boardroom into the courts. A partial decree of USD 44 million was awarded against KPC by Justice Grace Nzioka in June 2020, covering unpaid sums that both parties had been negotiating to resolve but which the intervention of the Directorate of Criminal Investigations in July 2019, which ordered KPC to suspend all payments to Zakhem pending its own inquiry, had transformed into a court battle. The DCI’s intervention, whatever its merits, produced an outcome that would prove financially catastrophic. The delay in paying the agreed amount triggered contractual interest charges of approximately 6 percent per annum. By independent calculations, those avoidable penalties cost Kenyan taxpayers upwards of KSh 3 billion.

    THE LAWSUIT THAT BLED THE NATION

    In 2018, Ecobank Nigeria Limited and its Kenyan subsidiary filed Civil Suit 292 of 2018 at the Commercial and Tax Division of the High Court of Kenya, naming KPC as the fifth respondent. The bank’s case rested on those domiciliation letters from 2014. Its position was that Zakhem had colluded with KPC to divert contract proceeds to Stanbic Bank rather than through the Ecobank accounts as instructed, causing Ecobank to suffer a loss of USD 52.3 million, the outstanding balance of the USD 206 million it claims to have advanced for the project. KPC, which had not borrowed directly from Ecobank and had not been a party to the 2006 debenture, found itself defending a claim arising purely from its own acceptance of those domiciliation letters.

    The corporation reportedly spent at least KSh 90 million in legal fees in a single year defending the suit. High Court Judge Mary Kasango issued permanent orders in November 2018 barring KPC from paying contract proceeds to any party other than Ecobank Nigeria and Ecobank Kenya, effectively freezing KPC’s ability to settle its acknowledged debts to Zakhem while simultaneously exposing it to interest penalties for non-payment. The bind was structurally inescapable. By the time a final decree in the Ecobank matter was issued on 16 February 2024, consolidating an earlier partial decree, the award in favour of Ecobank Nigeria and Ecobank Kenya had grown to USD 31.9 million in undisputed and disputed sums combined.

    The list of case references alone tells the story of a judiciary under siege. Civil Suit 292 of 2018, HCCC E322 of 2019, HCC Misc E042 of 2021, HCCC E276 of 2019, Civil Case E132 of 2020, Civil Case E202 of 2020, Miscellaneous Civil Application E1215 of 2020, HCCC Misc E329, E330, and E331 of 2022, Civil Application E503 of 2024, Civil Application E420 of 2024, Civil Application E436 of 2023, Miscellaneous Application E395 of 2025, and Miscellaneous Application E590 of 2025. That is not a record of different legal disputes. It is a matrix of interconnected applications, stay orders, garnishee proceedings, recusals, appeals, arbitrations, and counter-applications, all orbiting the same contract while the clock on interest ran continuously at the expense of the Kenyan taxpayer.

    The recusal attempts alone were extraordinary in their audacity. Four judges handled the matter before being recused or transferred. Justice Abigail Mshila, the late Justice David Majanja, Justice Wilfrida Okwany, and Justice Freda Mugambi all passed through the matter. Senior Counsel Ahmednasir Abdullahi, representing Zakhem, then filed an application demanding that Justice P.J. Otieno also recuse himself. Justice Otieno refused on 8 August 2024, observing that abandoning the case after substantive judicial resources had been invested would perpetuate the very delays that the litigation had created. The Court of Appeal separately ordered the DCI to file a report on allegations that Professor Tom Ojienda, acting for subcontractor Oilfields Engineering and Supplies, had allegedly approached Justice Otieno to tilt the outcome in his client’s favour. That report, if it has been completed, has not been made public.

    THE SETTLEMENT THAT WAS NOT FINAL

    In September 2023, KPC and Zakhem recorded a consent judgment of USD 69.6 million, approximately KSh 9 billion at prevailing rates, which KPC’s own financial reporting described as the resolution of a long legal dispute with one of its contractors. It was not final. It was not even a pause. Within months of the consent judgment being recorded, Zakhem was back in court. Ahmednasir Abdullahi filed applications seeking to freeze KPC’s bank accounts at Standard Chartered Bank over an alleged remaining debt of KSh 926 million.

    That application was dismissed by Justice Wayua Mong’are on 29 May 2025, on the grounds that Zakhem was raising the same arguments before a court of concurrent jurisdiction that it had already placed before another court, which the law does not permit. But Zakhem immediately regrouped. In June 2025, fresh garnishee applications were filed against KPC’s accounts at Equity Bank, Stanbic, KCB, NCBA, Citibank, Co-operative Bank, and Absa. The High Court ultimately ordered Equity Bank to release KSh 485 million from KPC’s accounts and pay it directly into the trust account of Ahmednasir Abdullahi Advocates LLP, finding that KPC had failed to comply with a January 2021 order to pay that balance after settling its tax obligations with the Kenya Revenue Authority.

    The KRA angle adds another dimension to the damage. Following the June 2020 decree awarding Zakhem USD 44 million, KPC made two payments to KRA as part of Zakhem’s assessed tax liabilities, KSh 3.09 billion in October 2020 and KSh 915 million in January 2021. KPC then argued that additional KRA agency notices consumed the remaining balance owed to Zakhem. The court rejected that position, finding that any payments made beyond the court-ordered amounts were at KPC’s own risk. The effect was that KPC had remitted over KSh 4 billion to KRA and still owed Zakhem the outstanding balance, leaving the corporation exposed on two separate financial fronts simultaneously.

    It was in this context that the July 2024 payments described in Kebaso’s video must be understood. The certificate of urgency filed by Ahmednasir on 1 August 2024 in the High Court’s Commercial Division confirmed that KPC had by then released USD 25 million out of USD 31.3 million owed pursuant to the February 2024 decree in favour of the Ecobank entities, with funds preserved in the trust accounts of Ahmednasir Abdullahi Advocates LLP and Majanja Luseno and Company pending the resolution of a Mareva injunction sought by the Oilfields subcontractor. High Court Judge P.J. Otieno ordered on 8 August 2024 that those funds be preserved and not disbursed pending determination of the competing claims.

    THE SUBCONTRACTORS LEFT BEHIND

    While billions moved between corporate accounts and law firm trust funds, the companies that actually performed the physical labour on the Line 5 project were left to chase payment through their own separate litigation. Oilfields Engineering and Supplies Limited, a local subcontractor engaged by Zakhem, moved to court in 2024 seeking to freeze KSh 4.1 billion that was to be paid by KPC to Zakhem, arguing that Zakhem owed it money for completed work. That court fight became so vicious, with accusations of judicial interference and counter-allegations of manipulated arbitration, that the matter was effectively frozen at the appellate level while the DCI investigation dragged on.

    Azicon Kenya Limited, which handled electrical, instrumentation, and telecommunications installations on the project, received formal certification for payment in March 2019 and had still not been paid by mid-2025. A Nairobi court ordered Zakhem to settle KSh 537.3 million owed to Azicon, clearing the way for enforcement action. Ruhpumpen Global Limited, another subcontractor, had sued KPC alleging it was induced to favour Ebara Corporation in equipment procurement, though that case was ultimately dismissed. The pattern is consistent: the main contractor extracted billions from a state corporation, the foreign bank that financed the contractor extracted further billions through litigation, and the Kenyan subcontractors who built the thing were left to pursue enforcement through courts that were themselves ensnared in the larger dispute.

    THE IPO AND THE CONTINGENT LIABILITY NO ONE DISCUSSED

    This is the context in which Kenya Pipeline Company conducted its landmark initial public offering in January 2026. The government sold 65 percent of KPC, offering 11.81 billion shares at KSh 9 per share and targeting gross proceeds of KSh 106.3 billion, in what Reuters described as East Africa’s biggest IPO in local currency terms in over a decade. The offer exceeded its target by 5.7 percent, according to Bloomberg, closing on 24 February 2026 with listing on the Nairobi Securities Exchange on 9 March 2026. For the year ended 30 June 2025, KPC reported revenue of KSh 38.6 billion and profit of KSh 7.49 billion. The transaction was positioned, in President Ruto’s own framing, as a once-in-a-generation opportunity for ordinary Kenyans to own a share of their national energy artery.

    What was not foregrounded in that framing was the fact that as of the close of the IPO, active garnishee applications from Zakhem remained pending against KPC’s accounts at seven separate banks, that the total documented financial exposure from the Zakhem-Ecobank litigation exceeded KSh 78 billion by the most conservative accounting, and that no forensic investigation into the original domiciliation arrangements had been publicly ordered. The KPC prospectus, by regulatory requirement, would have disclosed material litigation. Whether the full scope of that exposure was sufficiently communicated to retail investors who were encouraged by government to participate in a patriotic act of share-buying is a question that Kenya’s Capital Markets Authority and Nairobi Securities Exchange have not yet publicly addressed.

    Former KPC Managing Director Joe Sang, who served during the critical phases of the contract and the subsequent litigation, resigned following a separate fuel procurement scandal in which Petroleum PS Mohamed Liban and EPRA Director General Daniel Kiptoo Bargoria were also arrested following a public signal from the President. Their resignations came within two days of the arrests. The state can move when it chooses to. The Zakhem-Ecobank exposure, which dwarfs the fuel procurement matter in both scale and duration, has attracted no equivalent executive accountability.

    WHAT ACCOUNTABILITY REQUIRES

    Ahmednasir Abdullahi has stated publicly on X that the KPC payments described in Kebaso’s video were not legal fees to his firm and that he does not act for KPC in the matter. He dismissed suggestions of personal enrichment as misguided. KPC has not issued a direct public response to the resurfaced allegations. Faith Boinett, who chairs the KPC board and was reappointed to that position by President Ruto, has also not commented publicly on the Zakhem litigation exposure or the adequacy of disclosures made during the IPO.

    The questions that remain unanswered are not complicated. Who within KPC authorised the acceptance of the October 2014 domiciliation letters and on what legal advice? Did the National Treasury, which has board representation at KPC, receive any disclosure of the Ecobank domiciliation arrangement before or after it was executed? What is the total sum disbursed by KPC in all forms, including principal payments, interest, penalties, legal fees, and tax payments, in connection with the Zakhem contract since commissioning in 2018? And why, despite the DCI being ordered by the Court of Appeal to investigate allegations of judicial interference in the proceedings, has no report been made public and no prosecution initiated?

    The Director of Public Prosecutions and the DCI Director face a specific evidentiary record that is already assembled in court files, audit reports, and financial statements. The 2006 debenture was registered in Nigeria. The domiciliation letters were stamped in Kenya in 2014. The contract was awarded, the pipeline was built, and the financial extraction has been running ever since through mechanisms that the courts, the auditors, and parliamentary committees have each partially illuminated but none has comprehensively prosecuted. A full forensic investigation into the banking records, the legal instruments, and the decision-making chain within KPC between 2014 and 2018 is not optional. It is the minimum that accountability to the Kenyan public requires.

    For now, the pipeline pumps fuel. The litigation pumps money. And the KSh 78 billion figure grows.

  • Details Of The Precise Rescue Of Elite US Troops From Iranian Territory

    Details Of The Precise Rescue Of Elite US Troops From Iranian Territory

    The rescue had unfolded with near‑perfect precision. Under cover of darkness, US commandos slipped deep into Iran, undetected, scaled a 7,000‑foot ridge and pulled a stranded American weapons specialist to safety, moving him toward a secret rendezvous point before dawn on Sunday.

    Then everything stopped.

    Two MC-130 aircraft that had ferried some of the roughly 100 special operations forces into rugged terrain south of Tehran suffered a mechanical failure and could not take off, a US official told Reuters, speaking on condition of anonymity.

    Suddenly, elite commandos risked being stuck behind enemy lines.

    Their commanders made a high-risk decision, ordering additional aircraft to fly into Iran to extract the group in waves — a decision that left the elite commandos waiting for a couple of tense hours.

    “If there was a ‘holy shit’ moment, that was it,” said the official, who credited quick decision-making with saving the day. The official, along with others who spoke to Reuters for this story, was granted anonymity in order to speak candidly about the operation.

    The gamble worked. The rescue force was pulled out in stages, and US troops destroyed the disabled MC‑130s and four additional helicopters inside Iran rather than risk leaving sensitive equipment behind.

    The Pentagon did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

    The successful extraction ended one of the most perilous episodes of the five-week-old conflict, averting what could have been a catastrophic loss of American lives and easing a mounting crisis for President Donald Trump as he weighs whether to escalate a war that has already killed thousands.

     

    Downed pilot hides, makes contact

     

    The rescued US weapons specialist was the second of two crew members on an F-15E Strike Eagle fighter jet that Iran said ​on Friday had been hit by its air defenses. The US official said the plane was flying over Isfahan province when it was brought down and the two airmen ejected separately. The pilot was rescued while the second airman remained in Iran.

    US air crews are trained in Survival, Evasion, Resistance and Escape (SERE) techniques if downed behind enemy lines, but few are fluent in Persian and face a challenge in staying undetected while seeking rescue.

    A US source familiar with some of the operational details said the American officer, whom Trump said held the rank of colonel, sprained his ankle and hid in a crevice on a hilltop.

    The official said the airman later established contact with the US military and authenticated himself – a critical step to ensure rescue forces were not walking into a trap.

    The CIA had run a deception campaign earlier, hoping to confuse Tehran by planting information inside Iran that US forces had already located the missing airman and were moving him before the operation took place, a senior Trump administration official said.

    But the US military took additional steps, jamming electronics and bombing key roads around the location to prevent people from getting close, the U.S. source familiar with the planning said.

    The source told Reuters that the aircraft eventually sent to extract the airman and rescue forces were much smaller turboprop aircraft, capable of landing on small airfields and relatively light.

    Throughout the operation, the White House, the Pentagon and the US military’s Central Command were uncharacteristically silent. Trump was so relatively quiet that a local reporter went to check if he was at Walter Reed Hospital.

    Once the mission was complete, Trump was triumphant.

    “Over the past several hours, the United States Military pulled off one of the most daring Search and Rescue Operations in US History,” Trump said in a statement, adding that the airman was injured, but “he will be just fine.”

     

    US aircraft hit

     

    The initial search effort encountered fierce resistance from Iran when it began on Friday, after the F-15 pilot was initially rescued.

    Reuters reported on Friday that two Black Hawk helicopters involved in the search were hit by Iranian fire but escaped from Iranian airspace.

    In a separate incident, a pilot ejected from an A-10 Warthog fighter aircraft after it was hit over Kuwait and crashed, the officials said, though the extent of crew injuries was unclear.

    The conflict has killed 13 US military service members, with more than 300 wounded, the U.S. Central Command says. No US troops have been taken prisoner by Iran.

    While Trump has repeatedly sought to portray the Iranian military as being in tatters, its ability to repeatedly hit US aircraft is significant, military experts say.

    ​Iran’s Khatam ​al-Anbiya joint military command said ​on ​Saturday the military used a ​new air ‌defense system on Friday ​to ​target a US ⁠fighter jet.

    Reuters first reported on US intelligence showing that Iran retains large amounts of missile and drone capability.

    Until just over a week ago, the US could only determine with certainty that it had destroyed about one-third of Iran’s missile arsenal.

    The status of about another third was less clear, but bombings probably damaged, destroyed or buried those missiles in underground tunnels and bunkers, Reuters sources said.

    Appearing unburdened after the successful rescue, Trump used harsh language on Sunday to threaten Tehran ​if it did not reopen the Strait of Hormuz for oil flows vital to the world economy.

  • The Fuel Deal That Exposed Wandayi’s Lies As Pressure Mounts For His Resignation

    The Fuel Deal That Exposed Wandayi’s Lies As Pressure Mounts For His Resignation

    For weeks, Opiyo Wandayi stood before cameras and microphones and told Kenya there was nothing to worry about. No fuel crisis. No shortage. No cause for panic. He said it on March 13. He said it again on March 27. He said it with the serene confidence of a man who had read every brief, studied every data point, and arrived at an informed and commanding conclusion. It now turns out that he had read every brief. That is precisely the problem.

    Leaked internal correspondence from the Ministry of Energy and Petroleum, authenticated by investigators and now before the Directorate of Criminal Investigations, establishes that Wandayi was not merely a passive recipient of good news. He was an active participant in the approval chain for a KSh 4.8 billion fuel consignment that his own ministry’s documents acknowledge was substandard, overpriced, and procured in flagrant violation of Kenya’s government-to-government framework with Gulf oil suppliers. The documents show that the Principal Secretary for Petroleum, Mohamed Liban, copied Wandayi on correspondence to the Kenya Bureau of Standards in which he explicitly sought a quality waiver for a cargo aboard the MT Paloma carrying petroleum products with dangerously elevated levels of sulphur, manganese, and benzene. Condition two of the waiver letter states unambiguously that the MT Paloma consignment was not compliant with Kenya’s mandatory fuel standards. Wandayi was on notice.

    “If he knew, he must be arrested immediately for criminal culpability. If he didn’t know, he must immediately take political responsibility and resign or be sacked for gross incompetence.” — Senator Boni Khalwale

    The paper trail begins on March 26, 2026. On that day, Liban wrote to Kenya Bureau of Standards Managing Director Esther Ngari requesting a temporary waiver on quality certification requirements for the incoming consignment. In that letter, Liban invoked the disruption caused by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which a fifth of global oil supplies flow, as justification for bypassing standard pre-export verification. What that letter omitted was the sequence that investigators now consider most damning.

    On March 25, the day before Liban wrote to KEBS, he had already written directly to One Petroleum Limited director Ali Balala and Oryx Energies chief executive Angeline Maangi, authorising each firm to import approximately 60,000 tonnes of petroleum. The authorisation preceded the quality waiver request by a full day, suggesting, in the language of investigators at the DCI, that the emergency narrative was constructed to justify a deal they believe was already pre-arranged.

    A Cargo Intended for Angola

    The MT Paloma docked at the Port of Mombasa between March 27 and 29, carrying 68,000 tonnes of petroleum products imported by One Petroleum Limited, a firm linked to Mombasa tycoon Mohamed Jaffer. According to investigators, the consignment was originally destined for Angola before being diverted to Kenya in circumstances that remain under active investigation.

    A second shipment of 60,000 tonnes imported by Swiss-owned Oryx Energies was blocked from docking before it could unload, following the eruption of the scandal. The financial motive embedded in the deal is staggering. One Petroleum quoted a price of KSh 37,691 per tonne for its cargo, more than three times the KSh 10,917 per tonne charged under the regular government-to-government arrangement.

    Wandayi himself inadvertently confirmed the price disparity in his belated public statement on April 5, citing invoice comparisons showing that One Petroleum’s landed in-tank Mombasa price stood at KSh 198,855 per metric tonne while the G-to-G equivalent was KSh 140,111.

    That gap of KSh 58,744 per metric tonne, translating to KSh 43.40 per litre, was being absorbed by consumers who had been told there was nothing to worry about.

    On March 28, Trade Cabinet Secretary Lee Kinyanjui wrote directly to Wandayi formally recommending a waiver for the importation of the petroleum products aboard the MT Paloma. That letter listed six conditions to be met before the waiver took effect, including destination inspection of the cargo, full compliance with automotive gasoline specifications, and a written indemnity from the importer protecting KEBS against any fallout.

    None of the six conditions was verified before the MT Paloma began discharging its cargo. The KPC quality assurance manager who detected the anomaly through laboratory testing halted distribution and escalated the matter to senior officials. What followed was not corrective action from the top. It was internal disagreement over whether to release the product anyway.

    The Silence and Then the Statement

    When the DCI descended on the energy sector on the night of April 2, conducting coordinated raids and detaining the most powerful figures in the petroleum supply chain, Wandayi disappeared into silence. Petroleum PS Mohamed Liban, KPC Managing Director Joe Sang, EPRA Director-General Daniel Kiptoo, Petroleum Deputy Director Joseph Wafula, and KPC Supply and Logistics Manager Joel Mburu were arrested, interrogated, and eventually either resigned or remained in custody facing economic sabotage charges. Liban was released on medical grounds. Kiptoo, Sang, and Wafula remained in custody heading into the Easter weekend. Reports surfaced that more than KSh 500 million recovered during raids of the suspects’ homes had allegedly vanished from police custody, with accounts suggesting a senior Kenya Kwanza-linked politician had the cash delivered to him without any official receipt or inventory.

    As five officials fell and the public clamoured for answers, Wandayi remained in office and said nothing. Treasury Cabinet Secretary John Mbadi stepped into the vacuum, telling Parliament in measured and distinctly more honest terms that Kenya had only 16 days of petrol stock and 19 days of diesel, a stark contradiction of the boundless reassurance Wandayi had offered weeks earlier. The burden of explaining the crisis had quietly passed from the man who caused the problem to a colleague attempting damage limitation.

    Wandayi finally broke his silence on April 5. His statement offered no acknowledgement of the internal letters. He did not explain why he had approved the waiver despite knowing the consignment was non-compliant. He did not address why he was copied on correspondence from his own PS to KEBS seeking waivers for carcinogenic fuel parameters. He warned against disinformation. He called for patience. He announced an internal review. He insisted the G-to-G framework remained stable and resilient. It was, by every measure of accountability journalism, a statement designed to outlast scrutiny rather than meet it.

    “It is no longer about the junior officials. The focus must move to decisions made at the highest policy levels.” — Senior DCI officer, on record with investigators

    The Impossible Defence

    Kakamega Senator Boni Khalwale has framed the political calculus with forensic precision. If Wandayi knew the fuel was substandard and approved its release anyway, he is criminally culpable and must be arrested.

    If he did not know, then a KSh 4.8 billion deal procured outside the government-to-government framework, at more than three times the regulated price, involving cargo originally bound for Angola and carrying carcinogenic levels of sulphur, manganese, and benzene, passed through the entire Ministry of Energy and Petroleum without the Cabinet Secretary learning a word of it.

    That too is not innocence. That is incompetence of a magnitude that demands the immediate surrender of office. Khalwale has warned that if President Ruto fails to sack Wandayi, the National Assembly must exercise its constitutional mandate and impeach him.

    The Consumer Federation of Kenya revealed on April 5 that KEBS had already allowed the substandard MT Paloma fuel to be sold in the Kenyan market. The implications are not abstract.

    Fuel contaminated with excess sulphur damages catalytic converters, destroys engine seals, accelerates corrosion in vehicle fuel systems, and over time increases harmful emissions to levels that cause respiratory damage in urban populations.

    The Kenyans who filled their tanks in Mombasa in late March and early April were not told what they were putting in their engines. Wandayi had assured them, as recently as March 27, that there was no crisis and that all petroleum products met the requisite quality standards.

    The Political Calculation

    Wandayi’s survival in office is not principally a question of evidence. It is a question of political architecture. He joined President Ruto’s Cabinet on August 8, 2024, as part of the broad-based government arrangement that followed the late Raila Odinga’s defection from opposition following the Gen Z protests. His appointment was part of the donation of senior ODM figures, including John Mbadi, Ali Hassan Joho, and Wycliffe Oparanya, to the Ruto administration. Firing him carries consequences that extend beyond his personal culpability.

    It risks fracturing the ODM component of the broad-based government at a moment when Ruto’s political coalition is still consolidating ahead of the 2027 election cycle.

    Those who defend Wandayi’s continued presence in Cabinet deploy the language of stability. Remove the Energy minister now, they argue, and you inject more uncertainty into an already volatile sector. The counter-argument, advanced by a growing number of legislators, civil society organisations, and ordinary Kenyans, is that what looks like stability from inside State House looks like selective accountability from everywhere else.

    It cannot have escaped notice that President Ruto, speaking at a church service in Kilgoris on April 5, spoke with considerable force about cartels and accountability. He vowed that the energy sector cartels would not operate freely. He declared that developments in the Middle East would not be used as an excuse to create artificial problems at home. He reached for the language of moral resolve.

    What he did not do was mention Opiyo Wandayi by name. He did not demand a resignation. He did not acknowledge that leaked letters show his own Cabinet Secretary was copied on the very correspondence that authorised the release of condemned fuel into the Kenyan market.

    The Karen Question

    Questions intensified when reports surfaced that Wandayi had recently acquired a palatial residential property in the Hardy area of Karen, with market valuations ranging between KSh 200 million and KSh 275 million.

    The property has become shorthand in public discourse for the disparity between ministerial assurances and ministerial enrichment, even as investigators have not established a direct link between the property and the fuel transaction.

    A senior DCI officer privy to the investigation has confirmed that the two Cabinet Secretaries, Wandayi and Kinyanjui, will be required to explain their roles. The authenticated letters, the officer stated on record, are critical because the focus must now move to the decisions made at the highest policy levels.

    The MT Paloma has already discharged its cargo. Its fuel is already in the system. The second consignment was stopped. Five officials have left their posts or are under arrest.

    A plea bargain is reportedly in negotiation with some of the detained officials. KSh 500 million in recovered cash has reportedly gone missing from police custody. The DCI has summoned Oryx executives.

    And Opiyo Wandayi, the man whose name is on the ministry letterhead, whose PS signed the waiver request, whose correspondence trail forms the backbone of the DCI probe, remains in his office, urging patience and warning against disinformation. That is where Kenya finds itself this Tuesday morning.

  • Who Architected the Ksh 4.8 Billion Fuel Scandal? Two CSs Now Caught in the Storm

    Who Architected the Ksh 4.8 Billion Fuel Scandal? Two CSs Now Caught in the Storm

    Kenya’s Ksh 4.8 billion fuel scandal has exploded beyond the resigned technocrats and now threatens to consume two Cabinet secretaries.

    Leaked letters have dragged Trade CS Lee Kinyanjui and Energy CS Opiyo Wandayi into the heart of a scheme investigators believe was engineered to flood Kenya with substandard, overpriced fuel while exploiting the Middle East crisis as cover.

    With five suspects facing economic sabotage charges and the DCI coordinating with foreign agencies, the question every Kenyan is asking is simple: Who really architected this scandal?

    Who Architected the Ksh 4.8 Billion Fuel Scandal? Two CSs Now Caught in the Storm
    CS Lee Kinyanjui must explain why he granted waivers for substandard fuel, why he never followed up on his six conditions, and why the cargo docked before anyone confirmed compliance. [Photo: Courtesy]

    How the Ksh 4.8 Billion Fuel Scandal Unravelled From the Top Down: The Letter Trail That Exposed the Ministers

    The paper trail begins on March 26, 2026, when former Energy Principal Secretary Mohamed Liban wrote directly to Kenya Bureau of Standards Managing Director Esther Ngari, requesting a temporary waiver on quality certification requirements for incoming petroleum products. Liban cited disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz as justification, arguing that delays would trigger a fuel shortage and drive up pump prices for ordinary Kenyans.

    Crucially, Liban copied that letter to both CS Wandayi and Industrialization PS Juma Mukhwana, meaning neither minister can credibly claim ignorance of the request at its earliest stage.

    Two days later, on March 28, Trade CS Lee Kinyanjui wrote directly to Energy CS Opiyo Wandayi, formally recommending a waiver for the importation of petroleum products carrying dangerously elevated levels of manganese, sulphur, and benzene—all markers of substandard fuel that Kenya’s own standards prohibit.

    Kinyanjui’s letter referenced the earlier correspondence from the State Department for Petroleum dated March 26 and 27, confirming he had read and acted on Liban’s groundwork. He listed six conditions that had to be met before the waiver took effect, including destination inspection of the cargo aboard MT Paloma, full compliance with automotive gasoline specifications, and a written indemnity from the importer protecting the Kenya Bureau of Standards against any fallout.

    Here is where the scandal deepens. Kinyanjui says he never received any response from the Ministry of Energy after writing that letter. Nobody confirmed the conditions were met. Nobody told him they were not. The fuel came in anyway.

    Who Faked the Emergency and Who Benefited

    On March 25, a day before Liban wrote to Kebs, he had already written to One Petroleum Limited director Ali Balala and Oryx Energies CEO Angeline Maangi, authorizing them to import approximately 60,000 tonnes of petroleum each, with allowance to exceed that figure by up to ten percent.

    That sequence matters enormously. Liban authorized the importers before he even formally requested the quality waivers, suggesting the emergency narrative was constructed to justify a deal that investigators believe was already pre-arranged.

    MT Paloma docked at the Port of Mombasa in late March carrying 68,000 tonnes of petroleum products imported by One Petroleum Limited, a firm linked to Mombasa tycoon Mohamed Jaffer. A second consignment of 60,000 tonnes through Swiss-owned Oryx Energies was blocked before it could dock following the eruption of the scandal.

    The financial motive is staggering. One Petroleum’s cargo cost Ksh198,855 per tonne landed in Mombasa. The standard Government-to-Government cargo sourced from Saudi Arabia and the UAE cost Ksh140,111 per ton—a difference of Ksh58,744 per tonne. On MT Paloma’s 68,000-tonne consignment alone, that price gap translates to a potential windfall of approximately Ksh4 billion for the cartels behind the deal, all extracted from Kenyan consumers and public funds.

    What Wandayi and Kinyanjui Still Have to Answer

    CS Kinyanjui has publicly distanced himself from the scandal, insisting his letter merely outlined conditions and that he acted within the law. He says the PS and KPC MD approached him seeking a waiver, and he simply responded as required. That explanation, however, raises more questions than it answers. Why did his ministry never follow up to confirm the six conditions were fulfilled before the cargo docked?

    CS Wandayi has been less forthcoming. When the Nation sought specific answers from him about Kinyanjui’s letter and whether the conditions it outlined were ever satisfied, Wandayi did not respond to the direct questions. He later issued a general public statement condemning cartels and confirmed his ministry had blocked the second consignment once the full picture emerged.

    DCI investigators have now confirmed that the two Cabinet secretaries must explain what they knew and when they knew it, describing the leaked letters as documents that will fundamentally change the direction of the probe.

    Three senior officials have already resigned: EPRA Director General Daniel Kiptoo Bargoria, KPC MD Joe Sang, and Energy PS Mohamed Liban. Five individuals face potential charges of economic sabotage. The DCI is actively coordinating with foreign investigative agencies through the Mutual Legal Assistance programme, extending the probe to the countries from which the petroleum consignments were sourced.

    Kenya’s Ksh 4.8 billion fuel scandal is no longer a story about rogue technocrats acting alone. It is a story about decisions made at the highest levels of government, enabled by letters, waivers, and a manufactured crisis, while cartels stood ready to pocket billions. The ministers must now face the heat.

  • THE ZAKHEM-ECOBANK MACHINE: How Kenya’s Courts Were Weaponised to Drain a State Corporation of Over KES 78 Billion

    THE ZAKHEM-ECOBANK MACHINE: How Kenya’s Courts Were Weaponised to Drain a State Corporation of Over KES 78 Billion

    THE SLEEPING GIANT: A DEBENTURE BORN IN LAGOS

    In February 2006, a Lebanese construction company called Zakhem Construction Nigeria Limited signed a Deed of Debenture with Ecobank Nigeria PLC. To the uninitiated, a debenture is merely a technical word in commercial law.

    To those who understand its lethal implications, it is a document that can reach across borders, across years, and across jurisdictions to claim everything a company will ever earn. In this case, Zakhem pledged every asset it owned or would ever own anywhere in the world.

    Not just property and equipment, but all receivables. Every debt that any person, company, or government owed to Zakhem, anywhere on the planet, from that moment forward belonged first to Ecobank.

    The original debenture covered a facility of One Hundred Billion Naira. It was registered with the Nigerian Corporate Affairs Commission on 7th June 2006. For eight years, it sat dormant, a perfectly engineered legal instrument waiting for a sufficiently large target to emerge.

    The target arrived in July 2014. Kenya Pipeline Company, the strategic state corporation that moves petroleum products from the coast to the interior of Kenya, awarded Contract No. SU/QT/032N/13 to Zakhem International Construction Limited.

    The contract was for the construction, testing, and commissioning of Line 5, a 450-kilometre oil pipeline from Mombasa to Nairobi.

    The contract value was USD 484,502,886.40. At current exchange rates, that is approximately KES 62.9 billion. It was supposed to be Kenya’s infrastructure century project, a Vision 2030 flagship that would modernise fuel distribution and cement national energy security.

    Within two months of winning the KPC contract, Zakhem had secured a USD 300 million credit facility from Ecobank, using the KPC contract proceeds as its primary collateral.

    What followed was not the construction of a pipeline. What followed was the activation of the most sophisticated financial extraction mechanism ever deployed against a Kenyan public institution.

    THE 300 MILLION DOLLAR TRAP

    On 23rd September 2014, barely two months after winning the KPC contract, the board of directors of Zakhem International Construction Limited convened in Lagos, Nigeria. They approved a USD 300,000,000 credit facility from Ecobank Nigeria. That is three hundred million US dollars, approximately KES 39 billion at prevailing rates.

    The securities Zakhem provided to Ecobank for this facility are documented in court papers filed in Nairobi’s Commercial and Tax Division. They include an All Assets Debenture covering all of Zakhem’s fixed and floating, present and future assets. They include a Personal Guarantee from Albert Zakhem for the full facility amount, supported by a notarised statement of his net worth.

    They include Corporate Guarantees from Zakhem International S.A. dated 25th February 2005 and from the Kenyan entity dated 4th January 2014. They include 20 percent cash collateral for advance-payment guarantees and retention-money guarantees. And they include Letters of Domiciliation of the proceeds of the KPC contract to Ecobank’s accounts.

    It is this last item that is the engine of the entire scheme.

    The Letters of Domiciliation gave Ecobank a direct claim over the money that KPC owed Zakhem under the pipeline contract.

    Not a secondary claim. Not a claim that would crystallise after Zakhem defaulted. A direct, first-ranking claim on the contract proceeds, structured in such a way that Ecobank effectively became an invisible sub-party to a government contract it had never won, in a country where it bore no regulatory obligation and offered no value.

    Court documents filed in Nairobi reveal the precise terms of the facility.

    Ecobank is recorded as having financed the contract upto an amount of USD 206,433,676.80. Against this, the bank received from KPC the sum of USD 17,943,447.40 through its Nigerian operations and USD 8,899,960.00 through its Kenyan subsidiary.

    The combined recovery through both channels of USD 26,843,407.40 left a shortfall of approximately USD 52,785,027.27 that Ecobank would eventually pursue in Kenya’s Commercial Court.

    THE DOMICILIATION LETTERS: THE SMOKING ARCHITECTURE

    On 11th October 2014, less than three months after the KPC contract was signed, Zakhem sent two letters to KPC headquarters.

    The letters gave what court filings describe as unconditional and irrevocable instructions. Seventy percent of the entire contract value, seventy percent of USD 484 million, was to be paid directly into Zakhem’s account with Ecobank Nigeria. The remaining thirty percent was to go to Zakhem’s account with Ecobank Kenya.

    KPC confirmed receipt of these Domiciliation Letters on 13th October 2014, placing its dated stamp upon them.

    What KPC did not disclose, and what would form the centrepiece of litigation that continues to this day, is that these letters created a three-way financial obligation involving a Nigerian bank, a Cypriot holding company, a Nigerian construction entity, and a Kenyan state corporation, all bound together by a 2006 debenture that predated the KPC contract by eight years.

    KPC stamped the Domiciliation Letters on 13th October 2014. By doing so, it effectively invited a Nigerian bank into the most sensitive infrastructure contract in Kenya’s history without Treasury authorisation, without parliamentary oversight, and without public disclosure.

    Court filings in Civil Suit 292 of 2018 reveal that Ecobank issued bank guarantees on behalf of Zakhem totalling at least USD 39 million in four tranches between September 2015 and September 2016. These guarantees enabled Zakhem to access advance payments and retention payments under the KPC contract.

    The mechanism was elegant in its ruthlessness: Ecobank fronted the guarantees, KPC paid Zakhem, Zakhem was supposed to remit proceeds to Ecobank, and the debenture stood as the ultimate backstop.

    When Zakhem allegedly began diverting payments to accounts at Stanbic Bank rather than Ecobank, the entire structure collapsed into litigation. Kenya became the arena in which a Nigerian bank, a Cypriot holding company, and their Kenyan-registered fronts fought over the spoils of a state contract.

    What had been structured as a pipeline construction arrangement had, in reality, been structured as a foreign-controlled cash extraction mechanism from the moment the ink dried on the contract.

    THE MANDATE THAT WAS NEVER DISCLOSED

    A mandate letter dated 15th July 2015, obtained and reported by The Standard newspaper in its earlier investigation, reveals a fact of devastating significance.

    The official financing arrangement for the KPC pipeline project involved a consortium of six Kenyan and international banks: CFC Stanbic Bank, Citibank, Commercial Bank of Africa, Co-operative Bank of Kenya, Rand Merchant Bank, and Standard Chartered Bank. These six institutions agreed to provide USD 350 million in financing, split among them in defined proportions.

    The mandate letter, according to reporting by The Standard, specified explicitly that no other entities were to be involved as mandated lead arrangers, underwriters, or documentation agents, and that no additional compensation should be paid to any party not included in the original contract.

    Ecobank Nigeria was not in this consortium. Ecobank Kenya was not in this consortium. Neither Ecobank entity appears in any official KPC financing document publicly available. And yet, by virtue of the debenture signed in 2006 and the Domiciliation Letters signed in October 2014, Ecobank had engineered itself a senior claim over contract proceeds that ranked, in practical terms, ahead of anything KPC’s own legal advisers had contemplated.

    When KPC’s own annual reports spanning 2020 through 2023 were analysed, there is no mention of Ecobank Nigeria or Ecobank Kenya in connection with the financing of Line 5. The corporation that was a named defendant in a lawsuit demanding over USD 52 million had apparently not seen fit to disclose the existence of that lawsuit, or the financial arrangements that gave rise to it, in its annual reports for years.

    HCCC 292 OF 2018: THE LAWSUIT THAT BLED THE NATION

    In 2018, Ecobank Nigeria Limited and Ecobank Kenya Limited filed Civil Suit 292 of 2018 at the Commercial and Tax Division of the High Court of Kenya.

    The defendants were Zakhem International Construction Limited of Nigeria, Zakhem Construction Nigeria Limited, Zakhem International Construction Limited of Cyprus, Zakhem Construction (Kenya) Limited, and critically, Kenya Pipeline Company Limited.

    KPC, a state corporation owned entirely by Kenyan taxpayers, found itself a defendant in a foreign bank’s debt recovery action against a foreign construction company.

    KPC had not borrowed money from Ecobank. KPC had not guaranteed Zakhem’s facility with Ecobank. KPC’s exposure arose entirely from the Domiciliation Letters it had stamped in October 2014, by which it had given unconditional irrevocable instructions to pay contract proceeds to Ecobank’s accounts.

    When those instructions were subsequently honoured in part and diverted in part, Ecobank dragged KPC into court.

    KPC immediately retained legal representation, entering into an engagement agreement for KES 90,000,000 in legal fees with MMA Advocates LLP, according to a separate court case, MMA Advocates v Kenya Pipeline Company, filed as Civil Case E202 of 2020 at the High Court.

    Ninety million shillings in lawyers’ fees, paid by Kenyan taxpayers, to defend a state corporation from a lawsuit arising from its own decision to stamp letters it had apparently not fully understood.

    KPC paid KES 90 million in legal fees in 2019 alone to defend itself in the Ecobank suit, a suit that arose from KPC’s own decision to stamp the Domiciliation Letters in 2014.

    Justice Mary Kasango, presiding over the case in its early stages in July 2018, issued a freeze order on Zakhem’s bank accounts at CFC Stanbic and KCB banks while simultaneously stopping KPC from making any payments to Zakhem outside the terms of the Ecobank arrangement.

    The order lasted only six days before expiry, but its significance was profound.

    A Kenyan court had confirmed that there was a serious and arguable case that Zakhem’s contract proceeds were legally encumbered in favour of a Nigerian bank. The pipeline was finished; the accounting war had just begun.

    THE DCI LETTER THAT COST KENYANS KES 3 BILLION

    On 26th July 2019, the Directorate of Criminal Investigations wrote to KPC management directing the suspension of all payments to Zakhem pending investigation. It was, on its face, a legitimate exercise of investigative authority. In practice, it became one of the most expensive government letters in Kenyan history.

    The dispute over Zakhem’s Extension of Time claims had been referred to an independent expert scheduler, M/s Nyara, who assessed the four core claims and determined the payable amount at USD 44,019,024.64. Both Zakhem and KPC had reportedly agreed on this figure. The DCI letter halted payment at the precise moment the parties were closest to resolution.

    As a result of that halt, Zakhem initiated legal proceedings in the High Court in HCCC E322 of 2019, filed on 26th September 2019, seeking the full amount of USD 126,255,812.62 in unpaid sums. On 16th June 2020, the High Court issued a partial decree in Zakhem’s favour for USD 44,019,024.64. And because KPC had been directed by the DCI to stop paying, and had complied, Zakhem was now entitled to charge interest and penalties on the unpaid sum for every day it remained unpaid.

    According to Kenya Pipeline’s own audited accounts and a July 2024 report by Business Daily Africa, the penalties and interest that accrued as a result of the DCI-ordered payment halt amounted to KES 3,027,732,573, equivalent to over USD 23 million at the time of accrual. Auditor General Nancy Gathungu noted in KPC’s 2023 audit that the delay in payment was occasioned by the DCI directive, and that the resulting penalties and interest were entirely avoidable.

    A single letter from the DCI, suspending payments that both parties had agreed on, cost Kenyan taxpayers over KES 3 billion in avoidable penalties and interest.

    Three billion shillings. Gone. Not from a heist at gunpoint. Not from a cyber fraud. From a government directive, written by one arm of the state, destroying the carefully negotiated financial position of another arm of the state, in circumstances where no charges were ever filed and no person was ever convicted of any offence related to the original contract.

    THE ‘FULL AND FINAL’ SETTLEMENT THAT WAS NEITHER

    In September 2023, KPC and Zakhem signed what was recorded as a consent judgment in HCCC E322 of 2019. The consent judgment fixed the total amount owed by KPC to Zakhem at USD 69,684,238.46, comprising USD 48,140,000 in principal and USD 21,544,238.46 in interest at six percent.

    Business Daily Africa, reporting on KPC’s 2024 annual accounts, confirmed that KPC had treated this as a final settlement, describing it as the resolution of a long legal dispute with one of its contractors.

    It was not final. It was not even a pause.

    Within months of the consent judgment, Zakhem was back in court. Senior Counsel Ahmednasir Abdullahi, appearing for Zakhem, filed applications seeking to freeze KPC’s bank accounts at Standard Chartered Bank over an alleged remaining debt of Sh926 million.

    The application was dismissed by Justice Josephine Mongare on 29th May 2025, on the grounds that Zakhem was raising the same arguments and tabulations it had already made before a court of concurrent jurisdiction, which the law does not permit. But Zakhem immediately regrouped.

    In June 2025, Zakhem filed fresh garnishee applications against KPC’s accounts at Equity Bank, Stanbic, KCB, NCBA, Citibank, Co-operative Bank, and Absa Bank. This time, Justice Mongare allowed the application in respect of the Equity Bank account, issuing a Garnishee Order Absolute directing Equity Bank to pay Zakhem KES 485,000,000 from KPC’s accounts. The money was to be remitted directly to the bank account of Ahmednasir Abdullahi Advocates LLP at UBA Kenya Bank Limited, Upperhill Branch, account number 55030160006446.

    So the money passed through not just from a state corporation to a foreign construction company but through the trust account of one of Kenya’s most politically connected and publicly controversial lawyers.

    Court records confirm the transfer was executed. Equity Bank complied. KES 485 million left KPC’s accounts and entered a law firm’s trust account.

    THE KRA DIMENSION: TAXING THE EXTRACTED

    Amid the cascade of claims and counter-claims, the Kenya Revenue Authority inserted itself into the money flow in a manner that further complicated and multiplied KPC’s exposure. Following the 2020 partial decree in favour of Zakhem, KRA issued agency notices demanding tax from Zakhem. Because the money was to flow through KPC’s accounts, KPC found itself obligated to withhold and remit significant amounts to KRA before releasing the balance to Zakhem.

    Court records show that KPC paid KRA KES 3,099,971,539 in October 2020 and a further KES 915,316,830 in January 2021, totalling over KES 4 billion in tax deductions from the Zakhem decree. Zakhem subsequently obtained letters from the National Treasury dated November 2022 and February 2023 confirming that all penalties and interest on its tax liabilities had been waived.

    Justice Mongare, in her June 2025 ruling, found that KPC’s additional payments to KRA beyond the ordered amounts were at KPC’s own risk and could not extinguish its obligation to Zakhem, effectively ruling that KPC had overpaid KRA and was still indebted to Zakhem for the balance.

    By this arithmetic, KPC paid the contractor. KPC paid the taxman. The taxman gave the contractor a waiver. The court told KPC it still owed the contractor more. And then the contractor refused to pay its own subcontractors.

    THE SUBCONTRACTORS LEFT TO DIE

    While billions flowed from KPC to Ecobank and from KPC to Zakhem and from Zakhem’s court-ordered recoveries into lawyers’ trust accounts, the Kenyan companies that physically built this pipeline were left destitute.

    Azicon Kenya Limited was engaged by Zakhem to carry out electrical, instrumentation, and telecommunications installation works under a subcontract valued at approximately KES 1.3 billion. The firm completed its works, obtained certification for the installations, and was paid approximately KES 840 million, leaving a balance exceeding KES 460 million that has remained outstanding since 2020. The firm obtained a court decree ordering Zakhem to pay the amount. The decree has not been honoured.

    In January 2025, Azicon served Zakhem with an insolvency statutory demand. Twenty-one days elapsed. Nothing was paid. Azicon then filed an insolvency petition at the High Court seeking to liquidate Zakhem International. In court documents filed in this proceeding, Azicon’s lawyer Collins Taliti alleged that Zakhem was actively scheming to avoid payment by incorporating new companies, including Mokowe Traders Limited and Bangal Marina Resorts Limited, to conceal assets and defeat enforcement. When Azicon attempted to attach Zakhem’s bank accounts at Stanbic Bank, they found a balance of KES 393,000. A company that had extracted over KES 9 billion from a government contract had KES 393,000 in its main banking account.

    As of July 2025, when Zakhem received KES 485 million from KPC through the Equity Bank garnishee order, Azicon immediately moved to court demanding that the directors of Zakhem be jailed for contempt of court.

    The directors in question, Ibrahim Salim Zakhem and Abdallah Salim Zakhem, the latter being the Honorary Consul of Lebanon in Nairobi, were summoned to appear before the court to explain why the decree had not been paid. Abdallah Zakhem is not just a contractor. He is a diplomat. He holds honorary consular status. He appears at official functions. His company has extracted billions from Kenyan taxpayers, left Kenyan subcontractors unpaid, and his family enjoys the protections of diplomatic courtesy while Kenya’s courts scramble to enforce their own orders.

    Multiple ICD (Kenya) Limited pursued a separate claim against Zakhem for USD 3,286,590. They obtained a court order freezing KPC’s bank accounts in connection with this debt, arguing that KPC and Zakhem had conspired to defeat justice by refusing to release funds. The order was eventually lifted.

    Oil Fields Engineering and Supplies Limited obtained a Mareva injunction in August 2023 restraining KPC from paying any further funds to Zakhem, an order that froze USD 31.3 million. Quality Inspectors obtained an arbitration award and found collection nearly impossible.

    Zakhem extracted over KES 9 billion from a government contract. Its main Stanbic Bank account held KES 393,000 when creditors came looking. This is not insolvency. This is engineered invisibility.

    THE JUDICIAL BATTLEFIELD: CASES, RECUSALS, AND THE CAROUSEL OF CLAIMS

    No honest account of this scandal can avoid grappling with the sheer scale of the judicial manipulation that has accompanied it. The cases in which Zakhem, Ecobank, KPC, and their related parties have appeared include HCCC No. 292 of 2018, HCCC E322 of 2019, HCC Misc E042 of 2021, HCCC E276 of 2019, Civil Case E132 of 2020, Civil Case E202 of 2020, Misc Civil Application E1215 of 2020, HCCC Misc E329, E330, and E331 of 2022, Civil Application E503 of 2024, Civil Application E420 of 2024, Civil Application E436 of 2023, Miscellaneous Application E395 of 2025, Miscellaneous Application E590 of 2025, and Petition E021 of 2024. That is not a list of different legal disputes. That is a matrix of interconnected applications, stay orders, garnishees, recusals, appeals, arbitrations, and counter-applications, all circling the same KES 62.9 billion pipeline contract like vultures over a carcass.

    The recusal attempts alone are staggering in their audacity. Ahmednasir Abdullahi filed an application demanding that Justice P.J. Otieno recuse himself from hearing the Oil Fields case on grounds of alleged partiality and bias.

    The Court of Appeal was drawn into this recusal fight in Civil Application E503 of 2024, where it noted that questions of partiality had been raised even before a substantive order was granted, and that the integrity of the process itself had been called into question.

    Justice Otieno refused recusal on 8th August 2024, observing that abandoning the case after substantive judicial resources had been invested would perpetuate the very delays that litigation abuse had created. Meanwhile, the DCI was ordered to investigate whether Professor Tom Ojienda, acting for Oil Fields, had allegedly approached Justice Otieno to tilt the scales in his client’s favour. The investigation report, if it exists, has not been made public.

    The Legal fees claim by LJA Associates LLP, the firm that had previously represented various Zakhem entities and then fell into a dispute with them, was taxed at KES 279,792,000. That is two hundred and seventy-nine million shillings in legal fees claimed for work done in a single matter.

    Lady Justice Mshila ruled in July 2023 that Ahmednasir Abdullahi Advocates LLP, which had come on record to replace LJA Associates, could only do so if it paid these fees into an escrow account.

    The resulting dispute between the two law firms over who gets paid what, out of money that is itself the product of a dubious extraction from a state corporation, has spawned its own litigation in CA No. 134 of 2023.

    Each court application, each appeal, each recusal attempt, each garnishee proceeding represents not just a legal strategy but a financial extraction in itself. Court fees, advocate fees, process server fees, and the time cost of senior state officials defending KPC in matters they cannot explain to auditors or to Parliament.

    JOE SANG: THE MAN AT THE CENTRE OF EVERY STORM

    No name appears more consistently at the intersection of the Zakhem-Ecobank scandal and Kenya’s broader energy sector dysfunction than Joe Sang. His career at Kenya Pipeline Company is a biographical mirror of the corporation’s descent into institutional crisis.

    Sang was first appointed Managing Director of KPC in April 2016. During his first tenure, the Zakhem contract was in active execution. The Domiciliation Letters instructing KPC to pay 70 percent of contract proceeds to Ecobank had already been stamped.

    The disputes over Extension of Time claims were escalating. The Ecobank lawsuit that would be filed in 2018 was being prepared. In December 2018, Sang was arrested alongside other senior KPC officials over the Sh1.9 billion Kisumu Oil Jetty project, charged with abuse of office and engaging in a project without prior planning. He resigned.

    In December 2022, Sang and his co-accused were acquitted. A magistrate ruled that the prosecution’s case lacked merit and that the project had been properly planned. The Law Society of Kenya challenged his subsequent reappointment to KPC in January 2023 and formal reinstatement in April 2023 on grounds that it bypassed merit-based constitutional competition procedures. The challenge was unsuccessful.

    During Sang’s second tenure, the consent judgment with Zakhem was signed in September 2023. As KPC’s own annual report for that year obliquely noted, a major reason for the KES 2.85 billion decline in the corporation’s cash reserves was the settlement of a long legal dispute with one of its contractors.

    That contractor was Zakhem. The settlement Sang’s management signed was the one that was supposed to be full and final. Seventeen months later, Zakhem was back in court seeking hundreds of millions more.

    On 2nd April 2026, Sang was arrested by the DCI, along with Petroleum Principal Secretary Mohamed Liban and EPRA Director General Daniel Kiptoo Bargoria, over allegations that they had manipulated fuel stock data to fabricate a shortage and justify the irregular emergency procurement of a KES 4 billion fuel shipment outside the Government-to-Government framework.

    The shipment, carried by the vessel MV Paloma, docked between 27th and 29th March 2026 and is alleged to have been sourced from Saudi Aramco before being resold through international intermediaries at prices well above contracted rates. Investigators have suggested that the total loss to the public could reach KES 8 billion when a second related shipment is factored in. Sang resigned on 4th April 2026. He has not publicly addressed the Zakhem-Ecobank dimension of his time at KPC.

    Joe Sang was KPC’s Managing Director when the Domiciliation Letters were confirmed, when the DCI halt letter was issued, when the consent judgment was signed, and when the fuel manipulation scheme allegedly ran. He must now account for all of it.

    THE PATTERN OF KPC: AN INSTITUTION DESIGNED TO BE LOOTED

    The Zakhem-Ecobank affair does not exist in isolation. It is the latest chapter in a documented pattern of systematic extraction from Kenya Pipeline Company that stretches back two decades.

    In 2009, the Triton Oil Scandal saw corrupt KPC staff exploit a new computer system to steal 126 million litres of petroleum products valued at KES 7.6 billion. It remains one of the largest corporate frauds in Kenya’s history. The Managing Director was dismissed. No comprehensive recovery was ever achieved.

    In 2013 and 2014, KPC purchased 60 hydrant pit valves for JKIA at a cost of KES 647 million, pricing each valve at approximately KES 10 million when the market price was KES 1.5 million. In January 2025, four individuals were convicted over this procurement fraud. They received non-custodial sentences. Fines instead of prison. The message was clear: loot KPC, pay a small fine, walk free.

    In 2016 and 2017, the Kisumu Oil Jetty project saw KES 1.9 billion spent on infrastructure that prosecutors alleged was improperly planned. Joe Sang was charged. He was acquitted in 2022. The money does not appear to have been recovered.

    Now in April 2026, the fuel data manipulation scandal has cost the country at least KES 4 billion and potentially KES 8 billion in a single fraudulent procurement cycle. And all the while, the Zakhem machine has been running in the background, extracting tens of billions through court orders and consent judgments and garnishee proceedings, using Kenya’s commercial courts as a factory for the transfer of public wealth to foreign interests.

    The cumulative financial exposure from the Zakhem contract alone now exceeds KES 78 billion when all claims, settlements, penalties, interest, and legal costs are aggregated. This from a contract originally worth KES 62.9 billion. The contractor has extracted more than the original contract value. And the claims continue.

    THE FINANCIAL RECKONING: WHAT HAS KENYA LOST

    THE MONEY TRAIL: DOCUMENTED FINANCIAL EXPOSURE

    Original KPC Contract Value: USD 484,502,886 (KES 62.9 billion)  July 2014

    Ecobank Facility Extended to Zakhem: USD 300,000,000 (KES 39 billion)  September 2014

    Ecobank Claim in HCCC 292/2018: USD 52,785,027 (KES 6.8 billion)  Amount in arrears

    Partial Decree, June 2020: USD 44,019,024 (KES 5.7 billion)  HCCC E322/2019

    Consent Judgment, September 2023: USD 69,684,238 (KES 9 billion)  Inc. interest at 6%

    KRA Tax Payments by KPC: KES 4,015,288,369  October 2020 and January 2021

    Avoidable Penalties from DCI Halt: KES 3,027,732,573 (KES 3 billion)  Auditor General confirmed

    KPC Cash Reserve Decline, FY 2024: KES 2,850,000,000 (KES 2.85 billion)  Zakhem-linked payments

    Garnishee Order, June 2025: KES 485,000,000  Equity Bank, paid to Ahmednasir LLP trust

    LJA Associates Legal Fees Taxed: KES 279,792,000  In escrow dispute

    Azicon Kenya Unpaid Decree: KES 460,000,000+ Subcontractor, unpaid since 2020

    TOTAL DOCUMENTED EXPOSURE EXCEEDS KES 78 BILLION. NEW CLAIMS REMAIN PENDING.

    THE CRIMINAL QUESTION

    The evidence assembled from court files, audited financial statements, parliamentary records, and media investigations raises questions that the Director of Public Prosecutions and the Directorate of Criminal Investigations cannot continue to ignore.

    The 2006 debenture registered in Nigeria and the 2014 Domiciliation Letters signed in Kenya together created a mechanism by which Kenyan public contract proceeds were pledged as collateral for a foreign private bank loan without Treasury approval, without parliamentary sanction, and without the knowledge of the Kenyan public. Whether the legal instruments themselves constitute fraud under Section 318 of the Penal Code or obtaining by false pretences under Section 313 turns on facts that only a properly resourced forensic investigation can establish. But the question must be asked and it must be answered.

    The signing of a consent judgment described as full and final in September 2023 and the subsequent filing of fresh claims on the same contract in 2025 raises the question of whether a conspiracy to defraud under Section 317 of the Penal Code was engaged. The consistent pattern of filing multiple overlapping applications across different case numbers, obtaining interim freeze orders on KPC accounts, causing operational disruption to a national infrastructure operator, and then negotiating settlements that are immediately relitigated, constitutes, at minimum, potential abuse of court process and at maximum, a coordinated scheme to extract public funds through judicial mechanisms.

    The routing of Kenyan public contract proceeds through Nigerian bank accounts, Cypriot holding companies, and ultimately through a chain of corporate entities whose beneficial ownership structure has never been made transparent to Kenyan authorities raises serious questions under the Proceeds of Crime and Anti-Money Laundering Act, 2009. Money laundering does not require that the underlying transaction be a robbery. It requires only that the movement of money be structured to obscure its origin or ultimate destination. The debenture-domiciliation structure described in this report does precisely that.

    Finally, KPC’s failure to disclose in its annual reports the existence of the Ecobank lawsuit, the domiciliation letters, the foreign debenture structure, and the quantum of financial exposure from the Zakhem contract over a period of years raises questions about whether directors and management breached their fiduciary duties under the State Corporations Act and the Companies Act.

    WHAT MUST NOW HAPPEN

    The DCI has demonstrated in April 2026 that it can move swiftly when the political will exists. Petroleum PS Mohamed Liban, KPC Managing Director Joe Sang, and EPRA Director General Daniel Kiptoo Bargoria were arrested within hours of the President’s public signal. Their resignations followed within two days. The state can act when it chooses to.

    The question is whether this same resolve will be applied to a scheme of far greater financial magnitude and far longer duration. The Zakhem-Ecobank extraction has been running since at least 2014. It has already cost the public, by the most conservative accounting, more than KES 20 billion in unnecessary payments, avoidable penalties, legal fees, and financial drain on a state corporation. By a comprehensive accounting, the exposure exceeds KES 78 billion.

    The DPP Renson Ingonga and DCI Director Mohamed Amin must initiate a full forensic investigation into the debenture signed in Lagos in 2006, the credit facility extended in September 2014, the Domiciliation Letters stamped by KPC in October 2014, the banking records of all relevant entities at Ecobank Nigeria, Ecobank Kenya, Stanbic Bank, and any other institution that processed contract proceeds, the settlement of September 2023 and the persons who negotiated it on KPC’s behalf, and the source and destination of the USD 485 million disbursed through Equity Bank in June 2025 and remitted to a law firm trust account.

    Travel bans and asset freezes must be considered for the principals of Zakhem International, foreign nationals who have demonstrated the capacity and willingness to move money offshore and to place assets out of reach of creditors and courts. Abdallah Zakhem holds honorary consular status in Kenya. That status does not confer immunity from criminal process. It does, however, make early action essential before documents, assets, and persons disappear.

    Joe Sang must be questioned comprehensively, not just about the fuel scandal for which he has already been arrested, but about the entire Zakhem affair from 2016 to 2026. He was the Managing Director when the DCI halt letter was issued. He was the Managing Director when the consent judgment was signed. He was the MD when fresh claims were filed on a supposedly settled contract. He must account for all of it.

    The Law Society of Kenya must investigate whether advocates who signed full and final settlements and subsequently filed fresh claims on the same contracts, or who facilitated the legal architecture of the domiciliation scheme, committed professional misconduct within the meaning of the Advocates Act.

    Parliament’s Public Investments Committee, which four years ago threatened to issue arrest warrants for Ibrahim Zakhem when he ignored its summons, must reconvene. The full financial exposure of KPC from this contract must be tabled before the National Assembly and Senate. Kenyans must know how much was paid, to whom, on whose authority, and what, if anything, remains to be paid.

    The pending Fast Track case filed by Zakhem in January 2026 seeking a further USD 6,029,388.94 must be stayed pending the outcome of criminal investigations. If judgment is entered before investigations are complete, Kenya will have no legal basis to resist further enforcement. The courts have been weaponised long enough. They must now serve justice.

    THIS IS KENYA’S MONEY. IT MUST COME BACK.

    The ordinary Kenyan who fills their vehicle at a petrol station pays a fuel levy that flows in part to KPC. The businessperson who depends on timely petroleum delivery pays when KPC is financially hamstrung by runaway litigation. The citizen who believes in an independent judiciary sees that institution exploited as a cash machine for interests that have never paid a tax in this country, never built anything that was not already paid for, and have left not one genuine legacy in this land except a pipeline that leaks, a string of lawsuits that never end, and a balance sheet that bleeds.

  • Poison at the Pump: How Kenya’s Fuel Marking System May Be Exposing Millions to Cancer-Causing Chemicals

    Poison at the Pump: How Kenya’s Fuel Marking System May Be Exposing Millions to Cancer-Causing Chemicals

    Every morning, across the length and breadth of Kenya, tens of millions of citizens queue at fuel stations from Moyale to Mombasa, Kisumu to Garissa, and fill their vehicles, matatus, bodas, generators, and cooking stoves. They have been told, repeatedly, by the Energy and Petroleum Regulatory Authority, that the fuel flowing from those pumps is protected by a sophisticated biochemical marking system. What they have never been told is what, precisely, is in that marker — or what it becomes when it burns.

    A bombshell legal notice filed on March 31, 2026 by the Consumers Federation of Kenya (COFEK) to EPRA Director General Daniel Kiptoo Bargoria now alleges that the answer to both questions may be deeply alarming. According to the notice, the fuel marking system — administered in Kenya by Swiss corporation SICPA SA under a contract worth Sh2.35 billion — is suspected of releasing brominated compounds into petroleum products, compounds that the federation characterises as posing cancer risks to every Kenyan who breathes exhaust fumes or handles fuel.

    The timing of the allegation is extraordinary. Even as COFEK’s letter was wending its way through EPRA’s official channels, DCI detectives were moving in the opposite direction — arresting Daniel Kiptoo himself, alongside Petroleum Principal Secretary Mohamed Liban and Kenya Pipeline Company Managing Director Joe Sang, over a separate but equally alarming scandal: the alleged importation of substandard, high-sulphur fuel that fell outside Kenya’s own regulatory specifications. The men spent Thursday night, April 3, 2026, in police custody at Gigiri Police Station.

    In the space of four days, Kenya’s entire petroleum governance architecture has been called into question from two directions at once — the quality of the fuel entering the country, and the safety of the chemicals used to mark it. Together, the crises constitute what may be the most serious challenge to the integrity of Kenya’s fuel supply chain in recent memory.

    “Every motorist, every hawker, every schoolchild breathing roadside air in Nairobi is an unwitting participant in this experiment.” — COFEK formal notice, March 31, 2026

    THE COFEK BOMBSHELL

    The Consumers Federation of Kenya is not, by nature, a sensationalist organisation. Operating under the Consumer Protection Act 2012 and anchored in Article 46 of the Constitution of Kenya — which guarantees the right to goods and services of reasonable quality — it has, over the years, built a reputation for measured, legally grounded interventions. Its letter of March 31, 2026 is therefore remarkable not only for what it alleges, but for the deliberateness with which it is constructed.

    Addressed to EPRA Director General Daniel Kiptoo Bargoria and copied to the Head of Public Service, Cabinet Secretary for Energy Opiyo Wandayi, the Attorney General, the Auditor-General, the Ethics and Anti-Corruption Commission, and the Director of Public Prosecutions, the letter states that COFEK has spent at least three months reviewing whistleblower reports, documented complaints, and technical literature pointing to risks arising from the Fuel Integrity Solution. Its central contention: that the biochemical markers injected into petroleum products at the point of entry may generate brominated compounds during combustion, and that those compounds are potential carcinogens.

    The federation explicitly names SICPA SA, the Swiss firm EPRA contracted to implement the Fuel Integrity Solution, as the vendor at the centre of its concern. The letter demands immediate and verifiable regulatory action and constitutes, in its own words, unequivocal notice of COFEK’s intention to commence legal proceedings should EPRA fail to respond adequately. A social media post accompanying the notice reveals that COFEK has already dispatched fuel samples to an independent laboratory in the United States, with results awaited.

    EPRA had issued no formal public response to the letter as of publication date.

    THE SCIENCE OF THE ALLEGATION

    To understand what COFEK is alleging, it is necessary to understand what bromine chemistry in a combustion context actually means. The SICPA Fuel Integrity Solution works by injecting a patented biochemical tracer — whose precise molecular composition is proprietary and undisclosed — into petroleum at the point of entry or distribution. EPRA and SICPA have consistently described this marker as non-toxic and stable. The question COFEK is now forcing into the open is what happens to that marker under the conditions of an internal combustion engine, burning at temperatures that can exceed 600 degrees Celsius.

    The scientific literature on brominated compounds in combustion environments is not reassuring. Research published across multiple peer-reviewed journals has established that when organic compounds containing bromine are subjected to high-temperature combustion, they can generate brominated polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons — a class of chemicals whose toxic equivalency has been compared, in some environmental matrices, to dioxins. Separately, a 2021 review in the journal Environmental Science and Technology found that certain brominated flame retardants, which share structural properties with many organic bromine compounds, act as endocrine disruptors, with studies in humans and animals suggesting correlations with thyroid disorders, neurodevelopmental damage, reproductive harm, and oncological disease.

    The critical scientific distinction — and the one that regulators will be forced to address — is between the chemical marker in its injected state, which SICPA claims is harmless, and what that marker’s constituent compounds may become upon thermal decomposition inside a vehicle engine. These are two entirely different chemical questions, and it is the second one that the available public documentation on the SICPA system appears never to have addressed publicly.

    Without knowing the precise molecular structure of the SICPA marker, it is not possible to make definitive assessments of combustion by-products. COFEK’s decision to dispatch samples for independent analysis in the United States is, in this context, a rational evidential strategy. The results, when they arrive, will either validate or undermine the federation’s central allegation.

    “What burns in your engine is not necessarily what was injected at the depot. The chemistry of combustion transforms compounds — sometimes into something far more dangerous.” — Public health researcher, speaking to Kenya Insights

    THE SWISS COMPANY WITH A BRIBERY PAST

    SICPA SA is headquartered in Lausanne, Switzerland, and describes itself as a global leader in secure traceability and authentication technologies. It has been active in Kenya since 2013, initially through its Excisable Goods Management System for the Kenya Revenue Authority, covering security stamps on tobacco and alcohol products. The company marks over 60 billion litres of fuel annually across multiple continents.

    In April 2023, however, SICPA’s global reputation sustained a significant blow. The Office of the Attorney General of Switzerland issued a penalty order finding the company criminally liable for failing to take all necessary and reasonable organisational precautions to prevent its employees from bribing foreign public officials. The order related to bribery of high-ranking officials in the Colombian and Venezuelan markets between 2009 and 2011. SICPA was ordered to pay CHF 81 million — comprising a CHF 1 million fine and an CHF 80 million compensation claim based on profits from the relevant period. A former sales manager was handed a conditional prison sentence of 170 days.

    The Swiss OAG’s findings identified organisational deficiencies in SICPA’s corporate governance, risk management, and compliance processes as having made the bribery possible. Investigations into SICPA’s conduct were reportedly also ongoing, at various stages, in Egypt, India, Kazakhstan, Pakistan, Senegal, Vietnam, and Ukraine at the time of the Swiss conviction. The company has since obtained ISO 37001 anti-bribery certification and says it will not appeal the Swiss order.

    The bribery history takes on added weight in the Kenyan context because of how SICPA obtained its EPRA contract in the first place. Business Daily investigations published in August 2024 revealed that the fuel marking tender awarded to SICPA was worth Sh2.35 billion — more than three times the Sh694 million that competing firms Intertek Testing Services and Authentix had offered to do the same job. The tender was cancelled in December 2021 on the instruction of then-Interior Principal Secretary Karanja Kibicho, who directed EPRA’s Daniel Kiptoo to abandon the competitive process and award the contract to SICPA through a specially permitted procurement procedure.

    Kenya’s Auditor-General Nancy Gathungu subsequently flagged the deal as having no justification for single-sourcing, arguing that taxpayers could not realise value for money. The Public Procurement and Regulatory Authority told Business Daily it had not been consulted on the cancellation. More damaging still, the Auditor-General found no evidence that the SICPA system had even been fully implemented nine months after the contract kicked off in 2023.

    It is against this background — an overpriced, single-sourced contract pushed through by a political directive and whose vendor carries a bribery conviction — that COFEK’s health allegations must be assessed. The story of Kenya’s fuel marking programme is not simply a technical question. It is a procurement scandal with a potential public health dimension.

    THE FUEL SECTOR IN FREEFALL

    The COFEK allegations do not arrive in isolation. Kenya’s petroleum sector is, as of this week, experiencing what amounts to a systemic governance crisis on multiple simultaneous fronts.

    On Thursday night, April 3, 2026, DCI detectives from the Operations Support Unit conducted a coordinated operation, picking up Petroleum Principal Secretary Mohamed Liban, EPRA Director General Daniel Kiptoo, and Kenya Pipeline Company Managing Director Joe Sang. A fourth official, identified as Simon Wafula, was also detained. Their homes were searched and unspecified cash and documents recovered. Capital FM reported that the fuel at the centre of the investigation is suspected to have elevated sulphur levels, rendering it non-compliant with Kenya’s petroleum specifications.

    Sources familiar with the investigation told this publication that a KPC quality assurance manager had raised concerns after testing the consignment and declined to authorise its discharge, escalating the matter through internal channels before investigators were alerted. The fuel in question was linked to the government-to-government import arrangement launched in 2023 with Gulf suppliers including Saudi Aramco, ADNOC, and ENOC under a 180-day credit facility. The G2G deal, praised for stabilising supply amid foreign exchange pressures, now stands at the centre of a criminal probe.

    The arrests come as Kenya grapples with a broader fuel supply anxiety driven by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, which has pushed Brent crude prices sharply upward and complicated the country’s import logistics. Government Spokesperson Isaac Mwaura confirmed on April 4 that Kenya’s April fuel consignment had been secured, but the arrests of the very officials responsible for guaranteeing fuel quality have done nothing to steady public confidence.

    Separately, over a period stretching back through 2025, EPRA has itself been conducting enforcement sweeps of petrol stations across the country, flagging outlets selling diesel blended with kerosene. The regulator’s own biannual statistics report noted that 23 stations were found non-compliant out of 10,598 samples collected from 2,305 outlets during the review period — a 99 per cent compliance rate that is now being held up for scrutiny in light of the arrested officials who presided over the very enforcement regime that generated those numbers.

    The arrests of the Petroleum PS, EPRA Director General, and KPC Managing Director in a single night represents an unprecedented collapse of faith in Kenya’s fuel governance infrastructure.

    WHAT THE REGULATOR HAS NOT SAID

    EPRA has, over the years, mounted a vigorous public defence of the SICPA Fuel Integrity Solution. In promotional materials and official commentary, the authority has described the biochemical marker as patented, non-toxic, and stable. It has cited the programme’s World Bank and IMF recognition for improving fiscal governance. It has pointed to a compliance rate of 98.67 per cent across nearly 6,000 petroleum sites as evidence of the system’s effectiveness. What EPRA has never done, in any publicly accessible document reviewed by Kenya Insights, is publish the chemical composition of the marker, commission or release an independent toxicological assessment of its combustion by-products, or subject the health claims around the system to external peer review.

    This opacity is precisely what COFEK is now demanding be ended. The federation’s legal notice asks EPRA to produce, among other things, a comprehensive scientific disclosure of the marker’s chemical constituents, an independent health impact assessment covering both direct handling and inhalation of exhaust emissions from marked fuel, and a regulatory framework that would require ongoing monitoring of consumer exposure. These are, on their face, demands that any regulatory authority operating in good faith should be able to accommodate — unless the answers to those questions are themselves unwelcome.

    Cabinet Secretary for Energy Opiyo Wandayi, who was copied on COFEK’s letter, is the political head of a ministry whose top bureaucrat is now in police custody and whose regulatory arm faces a landmark public health complaint. His response — or the absence of one — will be a defining moment for the administration’s handling of the crisis.

    THE CONSTITUTIONAL DIMENSION

    COFEK grounds its intervention explicitly in Article 46 of the Constitution of Kenya, which establishes that consumers have the right to goods and services of reasonable quality, the right to information necessary for them to gain full benefit from goods and services, and the right to compensation for loss or injury arising from defects in goods or services. Article 42 further establishes the right to a clean and healthy environment.

    If laboratory results from the American testing facility confirm the presence of toxic combustion by-products from the SICPA marker, the constitutional implications are substantial. Kenya would face the prospect of a class-action type constitutional petition on behalf of millions of consumers who have, without knowledge or consent, been exposed to potentially hazardous chemical compounds with every tank of fuel they have purchased. Section 6 of the Consumer Protection Act 2012, which COFEK also invokes, creates strict liability obligations for suppliers of defective goods — a category that, if the allegation is proven, could encompass every Oil Marketing Company that has handled marked fuel.

    The legal proceedings that COFEK has threatened to initiate, should EPRA fail to act, would likely name the authority as a respondent for regulatory failure, and potentially SICPA as a second respondent for the deployment of a product with undisclosed hazardous properties. The Attorney General, who was copied on the notice, would be required to advise on the Crown’s liability exposure.

    The immediate timeline is driven by two sets of results. The first is from the DCI investigation into substandard fuel imports, which investigators say will expand to encompass other officials within the petroleum supply chain. The second is from COFEK’s American laboratory, whose findings on the chemical composition and combustion by-products of the SICPA marker will either validate the federation’s allegations or force it to recalibrate its legal strategy.

    EPRA, in the meantime, is effectively headless. Its Director General is in police custody. Its most recent public posture on the SICPA system — confident, promotional, data-rich — is now being held against it. The authority faces the prospect of having to respond simultaneously to a criminal investigation over one set of fuel quality failures and a constitutional complaint over the safety of the very system it has deployed to prevent them.

    SICPA SA, reached for comment through its global communications channels, had not responded to Kenya Insights queries by the time of publication. The company has previously maintained that its fuel marking technologies are globally recognised and non-toxic.

    For the millions of Kenyans who fill up at the pump each day, the questions being raised this week are not abstract. They are breathed in with every kilometre driven on marked fuel, absorbed with every spilled litre at a filling station forecourt, and inhaled with every puff of exhaust from the matatu that carries them to work. They deserve answers — and they deserve them now.

    NB: This investigation is based on COFEK’s official legal notice of March 31, 2026; publicly available procurement records and audit findings relating to the SICPA-EPRA contract; the Swiss Attorney General’s 2023 penalty order against SICPA SA; peer-reviewed scientific literature on brominated compound toxicology; and independently sourced reporting on the April 3, 2026 DCI arrests. COFEK’s health allegations remain unproven pending independent laboratory verification. SICPA denies that its markers pose any health risk. The DCI investigation is ongoing and no charges have been formally filed. EPRA, SICPA, and the Office of the Cabinet Secretary for Energy had not responded to Kenya Insights queries at time of publication.

  • Inside Nyayo House: The Kitchen Cartel That Demands Sh100,000 for a Stove

    Inside Nyayo House: The Kitchen Cartel That Demands Sh100,000 for a Stove

    Nairobi, Kenya. It is barely 7 a.m. on a weekday morning and the 27-floor tower at the corner of Uhuru Highway and Kenyatta Avenue is already thick with the familiar desperation of ordinary Kenyans queuing for government services.

    But beyond the immigration lines and the national registration counters, deeper inside the cavernous geometry of Nyayo House, a different kind of transaction has been quietly conducted for years, one that has nothing to do with passports and everything to do with power.

    A female insider who operates from within the building has come forward with detailed allegations of an entrenched extortion syndicate, in which caretakers and security personnel allegedly demand colossal bribes from vendors seeking to secure kitchen spaces on the premises.

    She told Kenya Insights that she personally paid Sh100,000 to obtain the cooking space from which she currently operates, money she says she had no choice but to raise.

    “I had no option. They made it clear that without paying, I would never get the space. It is something that has been normalised here.”

    The woman, who requested anonymity citing fear of reprisals from individuals she describes as well-connected and capable of ending her livelihood overnight, is not alone.

    Multiple sources within the building corroborate the broad architecture of the scheme, describing a cartel that has effectively privatised access to commercial space inside a public government facility and runs its illicit revenues through a web of mobile money accounts designed to frustrate any paper trail.

    FLOOR BY FLOOR: THE CARTEL’S TERRITORIAL MAP

    What emerges from weeks of interviews and cross-corroborated accounts is not a disorganised shakedown but a territorially sophisticated operation, with named individuals allegedly controlling specific floors of the building.

    The 16th floor is reportedly managed by a woman identified only as Milly, who is said to maintain a close operational relationship with an Administration Police Reserve Sergeant Major identified as Dalba.

    That pairing, according to insiders, fuses financial leverage with physical coercion, creating a structure that is difficult for a prospective vendor to challenge or circumvent.

    On the 15th floor, a figure known as Dorrys is alleged to control allocation. Makena is said to hold sway on the 14th floor, while Eliza is mentioned in connection with the 7th floor.

    The pattern repeats across other floors, with sources suggesting the network also implicates immigration department caretakers Oonje and Mugambi, another caretaker identified as Wanjala, and a Deputy County Commissioner whose office sits within the building’s administrative hierarchy.

    Kenya Insights was unable to independently verify all the names at the time of publication and has extended requests for comment to the relevant authorities.

    Sources allege that the individuals entrenched at each floor do not merely collect entry fees. They are said to determine who stays, who is expelled, and at what cost a vendor may remain in operation, creating a perpetual revenue stream sustained through the threat of eviction.

    “This is not an isolated case. There is a well-established network that controls who gets what space, and it operates with impunity. The same individuals have entrenched themselves and continue to exploit applicants.”

    M-PESA LINES AND THE ARCHITECTURE OF CONCEALMENT

    The alleged cartel has reportedly adapted with sophistication to Kenya’s mobile money infrastructure.

    Rather than collecting bribes in cash, sources claim that specific Safaricom M-Pesa lines linked to named individuals within the network are used to receive payments, a technique that replicates patterns investigators have previously documented in other sectors of Kenya’s public service.

    The KRA bribery scandal, prosecuted in the courts in late 2025, revealed how government officers disguised corrupt payments through M-Pesa as soft loans and merry-go-round contributions, successfully obscuring the transactions from cursory scrutiny.

    Sources allege the Nyayo House network employs comparable methodology, routing money through accounts that appear connected to legitimate small businesses operating in and around the building.

    “Some of these payments are not made in cash. There are specific M-Pesa lines linked to individuals within the network, making it easier to move money without raising suspicion.”

    This digital dimension of the alleged scheme significantly elevates its complexity. Investigators probing such networks require forensic access to mobile money records, a process that ordinarily demands a court order and the cooperation of Safaricom, and which in past cases has moved at a pace that allows suspects to dissipate funds long before any accountability mechanism is triggered.

    A BUSINESS EMPIRE ALLEGEDLY BUILT ON A GOVERNMENT BUILDING’S BACK

    The most detailed individual profile to emerge from the investigation centres on Eliza, the figure allegedly in control of the 7th floor.

    Sources accuse her of operating a constellation of commercial interests that draw their lifeblood from her alleged position within the network.

    These businesses are said to include M-Pesa outlets, an establishment identified as Everest Media Small Village Bar and Restaurant, a registered entity named Everest Media Planning SLNS Ltd, and a general retail shop linked to a Kibra DC address.

    Crucially, insiders allege that some of these businesses were previously shut down over corruption-related concerns and subsequently reopened under the protection of influential networks spanning immigration services, the national registration bureau, and local administration units.

    If that allegation is accurate, it would suggest that the Nyayo House scheme is not merely a street-level racket but one that enjoys layers of institutional insulation.

    Sources further allege that a senior government official benefits from the proceeds of the network, with cash routed to them through proxies.

    Kenya Insights has not been able to verify the identity of this official and the allegation is treated, for now, as an unverified claim requiring further investigation.

    CORRUPTION FINDS A HOME IN A BUILDING ALREADY SYNONYMOUS WITH IT

    Nyayo House carries a singular weight in Kenya’s political imagination.

    Built between 1979 and 1983 under the government of President Daniel arap Moi, the 27-floor tower was designed to house the headquarters of Nairobi Province, the immigration department, and several other national government functions.

    Its basement cells, where political detainees were tortured during the 1980s and early 1990s, remain among the most documented sites of state violence in post-independence Africa, described by survivors including Raila Odinga, Koigi wa Mwere, and Gitobu Imanyara.

    The building’s modern reputation has not shed entirely its association with corruption and coercion. Interior Cabinet Secretary Kithure Kindiki declared it a crime scene in 2023, referencing the passport cartel that had paralysed the immigration department and pushed the backlog of unprocessed applications to over 58,000.

    Seventeen immigration officers were subsequently arrested and charged following intelligence-led operations. Yet the broader ecosystem of institutional exploitation within the building, sources insist, was never fully dismantled.

    The kitchen allocation racket, if the allegations hold up under scrutiny, would represent an extension of that ecosystem into the building’s secondary commercial infrastructure, turning even the provision of food into a gatekeeping mechanism for graft.

    It would also reinforce what Transparency International’s latest Corruption Perceptions Index confirmed in its 2025 ranking, placing Kenya at 130th out of 182 countries with a score of 30 out of 100, two points lower than the previous year, a deterioration that watchdogs attribute to weakening institutional accountability.

    IMPUNITY AND THE SILENCE OF OFFICIAL KENYA

    The Kenya Ethics and Anti-Corruption Commission has in recent years secured notable convictions, including a historic Sh9.8 billion graft fine in the NSSF case and the conviction of former Kiambu Governor Ferdinand Waititu in the Sh588 million procurement scandal.

    Yet enforcement at the level of mid-tier institutional corruption, the kind that does not make front pages but drains thousands of ordinary Kenyans one transaction at a time, has remained inconsistent.

    The vendor who paid Sh100,000 for her kitchen space did not report the demand to any authority.

    She knew, she said, that reporting carried consequences and that the individuals she would be reporting to were often the same individuals she would need to protect herself from.

    That calculation, repeated across thousands of transactions in dozens of government buildings across Nairobi, is what has allowed the kitchen cartel and networks like it to survive, refresh themselves after periodic crackdowns, and reopen for business under new arrangements.

    Kenya Insights formally sought comment from the relevant county and national government offices, including the Office of the Nairobi County Commissioner and the State Department for Immigration. No response was received before publication. The named individuals were not reachable for comment at the time this report went to press. This investigation is ongoing.

  • JSC Rot: “Why I Paid Over Sh4 Million for a High Court Slot” — Explosive Claims by ‘Incoming Judge’

    JSC Rot: “Why I Paid Over Sh4 Million for a High Court Slot” — Explosive Claims by ‘Incoming Judge’

    Fresh allegations of deep-rooted corruption within the Judicial Service Commission (JSC) have emerged after a man who recently underwent interviews for a High Court judgeship sensationally claimed he paid millions of shillings to secure the position.

    The individual, who spoke on condition of anonymity but described himself as an “incoming judge,” alleged that the process of appointing judges in Kenya has been compromised by powerful cartels operating within and around the judiciary.

    Speaking during a closed-door meeting at a high-end Nairobi hotel, the man reportedly boasted that merit plays little to no role in determining who ascends to the bench.

    “I have paid over Sh5 million for this slot. Call me incoming Justice… we are already judges,” he claimed.

    He went further to suggest that the ongoing recruitment process by the Judicial Service Commission is merely a formality, alleging that successful candidates are predetermined through financial influence and connections.

    “You poor Magistrates and advocates think that you will be selected based on merit? If you don’t have cash, don’t even bother applying,” he added.

    According to the claims, a senior official within the commission is acting as a key intermediary, linking wealthy lawyers and individuals from influential families to decision-makers inside the system.

    The official allegedly coordinates payments and ensures that preferred candidates are shortlisted and eventually appointed.

    Sources familiar with the matter claim that these networks have been entrenched for years, with aspiring judges required to part with between Sh5 million and Sh10 million depending on the court level and competition.

    The High Court, being one of the most influential divisions within the judiciary, is reportedly among the most expensive slots to secure.

    We understand that the allegations come at a time when the Kenyan judiciary has been under increasing public scrutiny over integrity concerns.

    While the Judicial Service Commission has consistently maintained that its recruitment processes are transparent and merit-based, critics argue that such claims point to a widening trust deficit.

    “Judicial independence is the backbone of any democratic society. If appointments are influenced by money, then justice itself is effectively on sale,” said a Nairobi-based constitutional lawyer who declined to be named due to the sensitivity of the matter.

    Analysts note that compromised appointments could have a direct impact on the quality of rulings and public confidence in the courts. Judges who allegedly buy their way into office may feel beholden to benefactors or compelled to recoup their “investment” through corrupt dealings once in office, a situation that could perpetuate a cycle of corruption within the system.

    Civil society groups are now calling for an independent probe into the allegations, urging bodies such as the Ethics and Anti-Corruption Commission (EACC) to intervene.

    “There is an urgent need for a thorough and transparent investigation. These are not light claims, they strike at the core of our justice system,” said one governance activist.

    By the time of publication, neither the Judicial Service Commission nor judiciary officials had publicly responded to the claims. Efforts to reach the alleged official within the commission were unsuccessful.

    Meanwhile, the identity of the self-proclaimed “incoming judge” remains withheld as further investigations continue.

    Observers say the coming days could prove crucial in determining whether these revelations will trigger reforms, or be quietly ignored.

    This is a developing story.

  • Fly 748 Is Back And Flies You To Mombasa From Just Sh6,500

    Fly 748 Is Back And Flies You To Mombasa From Just Sh6,500

    NAIROBI, April 2, 2026 — Domestic carrier 748 Air Services has announced the return of its scheduled passenger operations under the brand Fly 748.com, signaling a renewed push into Kenya’s increasingly competitive local aviation market.

    The airline said it will resume flights in May, reconnecting Jomo Kenyatta International Airport with coastal destinations including Mombasa and Ukunda, with introductory fares starting at Sh6,500 one way. The pricing places the airline squarely in the budget-to-mid-tier segment as it seeks to attract both leisure travellers and business commuters.

    The relaunch follows a period of operational restructuring, with the company indicating it has overhauled its service delivery, safety systems and overall passenger experience. The move comes at a time when domestic air travel demand is steadily recovering, driven by tourism and increased intercity business movement.

    Fly 748.com head George Oduor said the airline’s return represents a strategic effort to restore reliable connectivity on key domestic routes while tapping into underserved markets.

    Flights will be operated using Dash 8-Q400 aircraft, known for their efficiency on short-haul routes and suitability for regional airports.

    The airline also confirmed it has secured regulatory clearance from the Kenya Civil Aviation Authority ahead of the restart. It further pointed to its BARS Gold Status certification from the Flight Safety Foundation as part of efforts to reassure passengers on safety standards.

    Industry observers say the airline’s re-entry could shake up pricing and service dynamics in the domestic aviation space, where competition has been tightening amid rising demand.

    In addition to operations, the carrier says it is advancing environmental measures introduced in recent years to cut emissions and improve sustainability, though the extent of these gains remains to be independently verified.

    Bookings will be available through the airline’s website, travel agents and ticketing offices, as Fly 748.com positions itself for a comeback in a market where affordability, reliability and safety are expected to determine success.

  • KRA Introduces WhatsApp Tax Filing and How It Works

    KRA Introduces WhatsApp Tax Filing and How It Works

    The Kenya Revenue Authority’s (KRA) new WhatsApp-based tax filing system marks a shift from traditional online processes to a more simplified, chat-based experience, but questions remain on how the platform will function and whether it introduces anything new.

    KRA says the tool is designed to eliminate the friction many taxpayers face when filing returns through the iTax portal, where users often have to log in, reset passwords, navigate multiple forms and complete several steps before submission.

    “We’ve said it before, but this time, it’s real. Filing your taxes just got easier,” KRA said in a statement, announcing the rollout of the WhatsApp option.

    Under the new system, taxpayers will initiate the process directly on WhatsApp, removing the need to download additional applications or log into separate platforms.

    The interaction is expected to follow a guided, step-by-step format, similar to a conversation, where users respond to prompts and confirm details before submission.

    “Returns are now pre-filled where possible. The system is more guided and support and filing can now happen on WhatsApp,” KRA said.

    The pre-filled returns are central to how the system works.

    For salaried individuals, key data such as income, tax deductions and statutory contributions will already be populated, meaning users will primarily review and confirm the information rather than input it manually.

    For those with additional income streams, the system is expected to pull in available data, including withholding taxes, reducing the complexity that often discourages compliance.

    KRA says the integration of real-time assistance within the chat will also address one of the biggest challenges in tax filing, lack of immediate support.

    “Everything is designed to help you complete your filing more easily, with less back-and-forth,” the authority said.

    The move is particularly targeted at younger taxpayers and those in the informal sector, many of whom are more familiar with mobile-based platforms than traditional web systems.

    By embedding the process in WhatsApp, KRA is effectively shifting tax filing into a space already used daily by millions of Kenyans.

    However, while the platform changes how users interact with the system, the underlying tax processes remain largely the same.

    Filing requirements, deadlines and compliance obligations are unchanged, with April 30 still standing as the deadline for 2025 income returns.

    What differs is the interface and user journey.

    Instead of navigating multiple pages, taxpayers will follow a linear, guided process within a chat, reducing the likelihood of errors and incomplete submissions.

    The system is also expected to minimise time spent on filing.

    “Less time spent trying to figure things out, less stress around deadlines, more confidence and control over your filing,” KRA said.

    Tax experts note that similar approaches have been adopted in other sectors where conversational interfaces are used to simplify complex services, but success will depend on reliability, data accuracy and user trust.

    There are also questions around accessibility for taxpayers with more complex financial profiles as well as how the system will handle corrections, amendments and disputes.

    Still, KRA maintains that the initiative is part of a broader digital transformation aimed at improving compliance and expanding the tax base.

    “You don’t need to be an expert to file anymore, you just need to get started,” the authority said.

    If effectively implemented, the WhatsApp filing system could reduce the administrative burden associated with tax compliance and help address long-standing challenges such as last-minute system congestion and low voluntary filing rates.

  • Trump Says Iran War Almost Over, Warns Of Weeks More Heavy Strikes

    Trump Says Iran War Almost Over, Warns Of Weeks More Heavy Strikes

    US President Donald Trump said Wednesday the US-Israeli war campaign against Iran was almost complete but that the country would be hit hard over the next two to three weeks as Washington pressed toward its military objectives.

    Speaking in his first national address since the war began on February 28, Trump sought to reassure war-weary Americans that the offensive was worth the effort.

    “Thanks to the progress we’ve made, I can say tonight that we are on track to complete all of America’s military objectives shortly, very shortly,” Trump said from the White House.

    The war’s “core strategic objectives are nearing completion,” he said, cautioning however that “we are going to hit them, extremely hard, over the next two to three weeks.”

    He also assured regional allies — Israel, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the UAE, Kuwait and Bahrain — battered by Iranian drone and missile attacks, that the United States “will not let them get hurt or fail in any way, shape or form.”

    Trump indicated that talks may be possible with Iran’s new leadership, which he described as “less radical and much more reasonable” than its predecessor, signalling he is pursuing some form of deal to end the conflict.

    But he warned that if none was reached, Washington had “our eyes on key targets including the country’s electric generating plants.”

    The speech did little to calm energy markets, with oil prices surging Thursday as Trump called on other nations to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

    One-fifth of global oil normally passes through the narrow waterway, and its effective closure has sent energy prices soaring and destabilized the world economy.

    Iran’s Revolutionary Guards vowed Wednesday to keep it shut to the country’s “enemies.”

    – ‘Irrational’ –

    Iranians attend the funeral of Alireza Tangsiri, commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards’ navy. AFP

    Iran on Thursday dismissed Washington’s ceasefire overtures, describing US demands to end the conflict as “maximalist and irrational.”

    “Messages have been received through intermediaries, including Pakistan, but there is no direct negotiation with the US,” said Iranian foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baqaei, quoted by the ISNA news agency.

    Trump had claimed earlier Wednesday that Iran’s president had sought a ceasefire, but said the Islamic republic must first reopen Hormuz — which he said in his address would happen “naturally” once the conflict ended.

    The speech came as Trump faces plunging approval ratings, economic jitters and spiralling diplomatic fallout from a war that began when the United States and Israel launched a massive surprise airstrike campaign on Iran, killing supreme leader Ali Khamenei.

    Hours before Trump’s address, Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian asked the American people whether the conflict was truly putting “America First,” accusing Washington of war crimes and of being influenced by Israel.

    In an open letter posted on social media, he also said ordinary Americans were not Iran’s enemy, “even in the face of repeated foreign interventions and pressures.”

    – Passover –

    Tehran announced Wednesday evening another barrage of missile and drone attacks targeting Israel and US bases in the Gulf, striking Israeli cities including Tel Aviv and Eilat as well as US military facilities in Bahrain and Kuwait.

    Israel’s military said early Thursday its air defences were operating to intercept the incoming fire.

    As Israel prepared for the Passover holiday, which began at sunset Wednesday, air-raid sirens sounded repeatedly in the Tel Aviv area.

    Emergency services said an Iranian missile attack Wednesday morning wounded 14 people, including an 11-year-old girl.

    The Revolutionary Guards also confirmed hitting an oil tanker in the Gulf they said belonged to Israel; a British maritime security agency said the vessel was struck off Qatar, reporting damage but no casualties.

    – ‘Cruel and ruthless’ –

    Iran has retained the ability to hit Israel, weeks into the war. AFP

    An AFP journalist reported huge explosions in Tehran on Wednesday afternoon and earlier strikes near the former US embassy.

    Iranian media said an airport in Isfahan province and steel complexes elsewhere in the country had been damaged.

    Iran’s new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei — not seen publicly since his father was killed in an airstrike on the war’s first day — said “the cruel and ruthless American and Zionist enemy knows no human, moral or vital limits.”

    Thousands of Iranians gathered in Tehran for the funeral of the Guards’ naval commander, killed in an Israeli airstrike. “We will resist until the end,” said Moussa Nowruzi, a 57-year-old mourner.

    In Lebanon, seven people were killed in strikes around south Beirut, with the Israeli military saying it had struck a senior Hezbollah commander.

    Lebanon’s health ministry said Israeli attacks had killed more than 1,300 people in the country since war erupted between Israel and Iran-backed Hezbollah on March 2.

    Across the Gulf, strikes caused a large fire at Kuwait’s international airport, Bahrain reported a blaze at a business facility, and Saudi Arabia said several drones were intercepted. A Bangladeshi national was killed by shrapnel from an intercepted drone in the United Arab Emirates.

  • Sold And Abandoned: How Diageo and Asahi Are Locking Kenya’s EABL Minority Shareholders Out Of East Africa’s Biggest Corporate Heist

    Sold And Abandoned: How Diageo and Asahi Are Locking Kenya’s EABL Minority Shareholders Out Of East Africa’s Biggest Corporate Heist

    The mathematics of corporate betrayal in Kenya rarely gets as naked as this. On one side of the ledger, Diageo Plc, the British multinational that has controlled East African Breweries Limited for decades, is walking away from Nairobi with a windfall that values its 65 percent stake at Sh303.5 billion — a price of Sh590.78 per share, a 97 percent premium over what ordinary investors on the Nairobi Securities Exchange could ever dream of receiving.

    On the other side sit tens of thousands of Kenyan retail shareholders, the small investors who believed in the promise of East Africa’s most iconic brewer, who are being left at the door of the most consequential corporate transaction this country has witnessed in a generation.

    Behind the share price ticker and the regulatory filings lies something else entirely: a decade-long legal endurance race between a market-dominant multinational and two Kenyan companies that built their businesses within EABL’s orbit, paid for that privilege, and are now watching the exit door close before a single shilling of what courts at every level have said they are owed has been paid.

    For Bia Tosha Distributors and JILK Construction Company, the Diageo-Asahi transaction is not a corporate milestone. It is an enforcement cliff.

    A formal legal objection filed at the Capital Markets Authority by Nairobi law firm Wamalwa and Echesa Co. Advocates, on behalf of minority shareholder Shane Ngechu, has forced the regulatory dimension into the open.

    The petition demands that the CMA compel Asahi to make a mandatory takeover offer to all EABL shareholders on terms no less favourable than those agreed with Diageo, arguing that allowing the deal to proceed without such an offer would constitute unjustifiable differential treatment in violation of Article 27 of the Constitution of Kenya, which guarantees equality before the law.

    “The Diageo consideration does not represent, and should not be construed as, a direct price per share or valuation of the ordinary shares of EABL.” — Asahi Group Holdings, December 2025

    A PREMIUM THAT EVAPORATED OVERNIGHT

    When Diageo announced on December 17, 2025 that it had agreed to sell its controlling stake to Asahi, the market response was predictable and immediate. EABL shares, trading at Sh252 on the NSE, surged 18.94 percent to Sh299.75 the following day as retail investors piled in, believing a mandatory buyout offer was imminent.

    Analysts pointed to Asahi’s implied valuation of Sh590.78 per share and concluded, not unreasonably, that an offer at or near that price was coming.

    They were wrong. Asahi moved quickly to disabuse the market of that notion, warning publicly that the Diageo price should not be taken as an indicator of the company’s general market value. The share price retreated.

    By January 2026, EABL was trading at Sh254.75.

    The brief euphoria had wiped Sh12.45 billion from the paper wealth of minority shareholders who had bought in on the announcement, leaving them nursing losses on a premium they never received.

    The Asahi announcement was not timed for market sentiment. Diageo Interim CEO Nik Jhangiani said the deal delivers significant value for Diageo shareholders and accelerates the group’s commitment to strengthening its balance sheet.

    The announcement was made on December 17. Courts operate at reduced capacity over the Christmas holiday period.

    Counsel is difficult to mobilise. This timing was noted in the urgent court filings that followed weeks later — and the observation has not been rebutted.

    THE REGULATORY TRAP

    Kenya’s Capital Markets Regulations set a clear threshold. Any entity acquiring 25 percent or more of effective control in a listed company must extend a mandatory takeover offer to all remaining shareholders.

    The purpose of this rule is straightforward: when a controlling shareholder exits at a premium, ordinary investors must have the same opportunity to sell.

    Asahi is not acquiring 25 percent of EABL. It is acquiring 65 percent — more than two and a half times the statutory threshold. Yet Asahi has confirmed publicly it intends to apply for an exemption from the mandatory offer requirement, citing its stated desire to maintain EABL’s listing and what it describes as the commercial benefits of retaining minority shareholders.

    The Wamalwa and Echesa petition draws a pointed comparison with the Sanlam Kenya rights issue of 2025, in which the CMA granted an exemption because the transaction involved a rescue of a financially distressed company with no premium being paid to a controlling shareholder.

    The EABL transaction involves none of those circumstances. Diageo and Asahi are profitable multinationals transacting at their leisure over a brewer that posted a net profit of Sh11.2 billion in the half-year to December 2025, declaring an interim dividend of Sh4.00 per share against Sh1.50 a year earlier.

    In Nigeria, Ghana, and Seychelles, Diageo’s exits triggered mandatory buyout offers. Only in Kenya are minority shareholders being left with nothing but a polite warning not to get their hopes up.

    The petition also highlights what ought to be a damning continental precedent.

    When Diageo sold its 80.4 percent stake in Guinness Ghana Breweries in July 2025, the transaction triggered a mandatory takeover offer to minority shareholders.

    The October 2024 sale of Guinness Nigeria to Singapore’s Tolaram included a mandatory tender offer at a 63 percent premium over market price. Seychelles Breweries followed the same structure.

    In every African jurisdiction where Diageo has recently divested, regulators compelled the acquirer to extend a buyout offer to all shareholders. Kenya appears to be the sole exception, and the CMA has offered no public explanation for why.

    WHERE IT STARTED: 22 ROUTES AND A BROKEN PROMISE

    The story of how Bia Tosha Distributors Limited ended up fighting not just EABL and Diageo but now arguably the Chief Justice herself begins in Nairobi West in 1997. That was the year Anne-Marie Burugu’s company entered its first distribution agreement with Kenya Breweries Limited, the dominant EABL subsidiary.

    Over the next nine years, Bia Tosha paid millions in goodwill fees to acquire exclusive rights across 22 routes spanning some of the most lucrative beer-drinking territory in the country — Athi River, Kitengela, Kajiado, Kiserian, Langata, Rongai, Nairobi West, South B, Industrial Area, and a dozen others.

    These were not informal handshakes.

    They were commercial contracts that Bia Tosha negotiated, paid for, and operated.

    In 2006, Kenya Breweries began repossessing the routes. Routes that Bia Tosha had paid goodwill to acquire were handed to new distributors. The Sh38 million goodwill Bia Tosha had paid was declared non-refundable.

    The agreements, KBL now insisted, had never been exclusive. Bia Tosha went to court. What followed is one of the most instructive case studies in how a market-dominant multinational can use every legal, financial, and corporate instrument available to it — year after year, court after court — to frustrate a smaller party’s access to justice while simultaneously expanding and entrenching its market position.

    The High Court issued conservatory orders protecting Bia Tosha’s routes in June 2016. EABL and KBL, Burugu alleges in sworn affidavits, simply ignored them.

    The brewer continued supplying the new distributors in Bia Tosha’s territories, defied the order at every level, and when the matter reached the Court of Appeal, used its decision as the basis for arguing the High Court’s orders had been discharged.

    The Supreme Court, sitting as a five-judge bench in February 2023, cut through this argument definitively. It reinstated the June 2016 conservatory orders, found that EABL had committed contempt, and sent the matter back to the High Court to assess punishment.

    The bench was categorical: the respondents could only appear before the High Court to purge the contempt before they could be given any further audience.

    Bia Tosha sought a fine equivalent to 20 percent of EABL’s gross turnover — roughly Sh39 billion — and civil jail sentences of up to six months for EABL CEO Jane Karuku, Uganda Breweries MD Andrew Kilonzo, and former EABL CEO Andrew Cowan, the three executives found in contempt.

    EABL’s response was to file a review application at the Supreme Court arguing the executives had been condemned without a hearing. The Supreme Court dismissed this attempt in May 2023, confirming the punishment must be addressed at the High Court.

    The three executives named in the contempt proceedings then received promotions. Jane Karuku was elevated to EABL Group CEO. Andrew Kilonzo was sent to run Uganda Breweries. Andrew Cowan was made MD for Diageo’s Africa Travel Retail division. The signal inside the company — that disobeying court orders leads to advancement rather than accountability — was not lost on those watching. Kilonzo’s Uganda tenure later produced its own COMESA violation findings, after which he was rotated back to Kenya as KBL MD, reuniting with Karuku in the same leadership structure the Supreme Court had found in contempt. The circle was complete.

    EABL’S PLAYBOOK: HOW YOU WEAPONISE PROCESS

    Diageo and EABL’s public line is that Bia Tosha is the one weaponising the courts — using decade-old commercial litigation to interfere with a nationally significant transaction. In documents filed by Diageo’s legal team, Bia Tosha’s application is described as hollow, a brazen attempt to advance private commercial interests under the guise of constitutional litigation, and an attempt to hoodwink the court. These characterisations deserve scrutiny.

    Between June 2016 and March 2026, every court that examined Bia Tosha’s core claim has found in the distributor’s favour.

    The High Court issued conservatory orders in 2016. The Court of Appeal sustained the orders. The Supreme Court in February 2023 reinstated those orders and found EABL in contempt.

    A High Court ruling in December 2024 struck down the competing claims of two new distributors — Ngong Matonyok and Manara — who had been given Bia Tosha’s territories, ruling their appointments violated the 2016 conservatory orders. The judiciary at every level has confirmed that EABL violated the contract and defied the orders.

    What EABL has demonstrated in this case is a different kind of weaponisation: the use of superior legal resources, institutional relationships, and procedural complexity to delay, dilute, and ultimately outlast a smaller opponent.

    The company’s legal team — led in this matter by Njoroge Regeru, with Senior Counsel Prof. Githu Muigai’s firm involved in parallel proceedings — is on a retainer that industry insiders estimate at close to Ksh3 million per month, separate from per-matter billings. The incentive structure of retainer-funded litigation does not naturally produce recommendations for arbitration or settlement when the legal budget is large, annual, and guaranteed.

    Bia Tosha also alleges that after the Supreme Court ordered reinstatement, EABL effectively sponsored the new distributors it had placed on its routes to file their own petitions at the High Court, arguing their rights would be violated if Bia Tosha was reinstated.

    The High Court in December 2024 rejected those petitions. But the strategy of manufacturing competing litigation to create procedural obstacles is itself instructive. When courts find against you, you generate fresh litigation to relitigate what has already been decided.

    “The respondents have acted with reckless abandon and with total contempt for the authority of this court, have continued to infringe upon the applicant’s distribution areas.” — Anne-Marie Burugu, Managing Director, Bia Tosha Distributors

    THE COMESA VERDICT: WHAT DIAGEO ADMITTED

    The systemic nature of EABL’s conduct toward its distributor network is not a matter of allegation alone. In October 2025, the COMESA Competition Commission validated what distributors had been whispering for years.

    A four-year investigation into Diageo’s distribution practices, formally registered as Case No. CCC/ACBP/4/1/2021, concluded that contracts in Uganda, Eswatini, and Zambia contained clauses imposing minimum resale prices, single-branding restrictions, and territorial segmentation that violated regional competition law.

    Diageo settled the case for $750,000 and committed to removing all restrictive clauses and notifying distributors within 30 days. The settlement was signed in London on September 30, 2025.

    For a company of Diageo’s size, the fine was a rounding error.

    The significance lay elsewhere: an internationally mandated competition body had formally found that Diageo’s distribution practices breach fair trade principles across the region. The practices were not confined to one market. They were the architecture.

    Within Kenya, EABL’s Distributor Finance Scheme, introduced in 2018, requires all distributors to hold their working capital in accounts linked to five nominated banks including KCB, Equity, and Absa, with payments flowing through Safaricom till numbers connected to these accounts.

    The practical consequence is that EABL has direct access to the bank accounts of its distributors and can debit funds without prior reconciliation or consultation.

    Distributors who raised concerns about erroneous or delayed debits were told to top up their accounts immediately. Those who considered protesting knew the lesson Bia Tosha had already taught the network: complain, and your contract disappears.

    Distributors are also rigidly segmented by product. Those selling Senator Keg cannot distribute mainstream beer or spirits. Those selling Tusker and Johnnie Walker cannot touch Keg. Cross-selling between product lines is prohibited even where consumer demand clearly exists.

    Taken together, the system creates a network of commercially dependent operators who own their vehicles, warehouses, and working capital but function, to all intents and purposes, as captive distribution arms of EABL — bearing all the commercial risk without any of the pricing or operational autonomy that genuine independent commerce requires.

    THE KISUMU FILES: JILK AND PROJECT NAFASI

    Running parallel to the distributor dispute, and increasingly intertwined with it, is the JILK Construction case — a story that adds allegations of sexual harassment, fabricated whistleblower reports, and arbitration corruption to an already combustible picture.

    In October 2017, JILK Construction Company Limited was awarded three civil works contracts by Kenya Breweries Limited for what was branded Project Nafasi — the Ksh15 billion revival of the dormant Kisumu Brewery, described at the time as one of the largest private investments in Western Kenya since independence.

    The project was designed to integrate more than 15,000 sorghum farmers into KBL’s supply chain and create over 100,000 jobs. JILK completed the works and handed over the site. Disputes emerged over the final amount owed.

    JILK initially claimed Ksh163 million. The matter was referred to arbitration, with Mutinda Mutuku appointed as sole arbitrator by the Architectural Association of Kenya. What KBL discovered — or so it alleges — was that Mutuku had undisclosed prior financial dealings with JILK, having received payments totalling hundreds of millions of shillings from JILK before his appointment, and maintained regular contact with JILK’s CEO during proceedings.

    KBL moved to have Mutuku recuse himself. Both the Architectural Association and the High Court declined. By the time the arbitration neared an award, the claim had escalated from Ksh163 million to Ksh2.45 billion — a 1,400 percent increase that KBL describes as evidence of a compromised process.

    In December 2024, KBL filed a petition seeking to annul the arbitration proceedings entirely and obtained ex parte conservatory orders barring the arbitrator from delivering his award. The orders were granted by Justice Freda Mugambi and described by legal observers including former Law Society of Kenya President Nelson Havi as unprecedented in duration — three months, when such orders typically last no longer than 14 days.

    Havi publicly asked why Diageo, the majority EABL shareholder and not a registered trading company in Kenya, appeared to have acted as the effective client and project supervisor during construction. If JILK’s allegations are correct and the whistleblower report is fabricated, Havi noted, the implications in criminal law would be severe.

    JILK alleges the whistleblower mechanism was deployed as a retaliatory instrument.

    In January 2020, two female employees of JILK filed reports at Muthaiga Police Station alleging that a foreign contractor on the Kisumu project had sexually harassed and indecently assaulted them.

    JILK wrote a formal complaint to KBL. The DCI wrote to EABL’s managing director noting the investigation. KBL, through Group Corporate Relations Director Eric Kiniti, acknowledged the complaint — but only after the foreign contractor had already left the country.

    JILK’s CEO now alleges that EABL facilitated the contractor’s departure before he could be investigated, then deployed a whistleblower report two years later as retaliation for the harassment complaint. EABL has denied this characterisation entirely and called it malicious.

    Justice Mugambi subsequently recused herself from the KBL constitutional petition, citing concerns about impartiality — the same judge who had granted KBL the controversial ex parte order.

    The file was sent to the Principal Judge of the Commercial Division for reassignment.

    As with the Bia Tosha matter, a judicial recusal at a critical moment has left the smaller party scrambling for continuity in proceedings that are, by design, time-sensitive.

    THE BOND THAT RAISED QUESTIONS

    Against the backdrop of these compounding legal exposures, EABL’s financial engineering in October 2025 deserves scrutiny. The company redeemed its Ksh11 billion five-year corporate bond a full year before its October 2026 maturity date, invoking its call option. It simultaneously issued a replacement five-year bond of identical size at a coupon rate of 11.8 percent versus the original 12.25 percent.

    EABL presented this as a balance sheet optimisation, saving Ksh1.347 billion in interest over the combined bond period. Critics characterised the saving as financial sleight of hand — the reduction in interest costs derived entirely from skipping the final year’s payments on the original bond, not from any genuine refinancing efficiency. But the more pointed question concerns the VAT suit running alongside it.

    EABL is suing the Kenya Revenue Authority for Ksh800 million, which it claims was overpaid as VAT in 2018.

    The Ksh800 million in question was recovered by EABL from its distributors via direct debit from their DFS accounts, even though those distributors had individually met their own tax obligations.

    EABL collected the money from over 120 distributors without their consent.

    Now it is suing KRA to get that money back.

    If the courts rule in EABL’s favour, the question of where that money goes — to the 120-plus distributors who originally bore the burden, or into EABL’s treasury — has not been addressed by the company. The distributors who bore the burden have no mechanism for recovery and no visibility into proceedings that directly concern their own money.

    THE VAT RECOVERY SILENCE

    This VAT episode sits at the intersection of several of this story’s running themes: the Distributor Finance Scheme as an instrument of control rather than efficiency; the asymmetry between EABL’s legal resources and those of its distributor network; and the question of what governance obligations a company owes to the smaller parties within its commercial ecosystem.

    No distributor has been formally notified that EABL is litigating on their behalf, or that a successful outcome might produce a refund.

    None has been offered standing in the proceedings.

    If EABL wins and the money flows back into the corporate treasury, the 120-plus distributors whose accounts were debited without authorisation will have funded a legal victory they never authorised and from which they will not benefit.

    This is the Distributor Finance Scheme’s ultimate expression: control over the commercial relationship so complete that the operator’s own money can be used to pursue the operator’s legal opponent, without the operator’s knowledge or consent.

    DIAGEO’S INSIDERS STACKING THE DECK

    As the sale process advances toward a second-half 2026 closing, Diageo has been systematically installing its own loyalists in EABL’s C-suite in what observers on the Nairobi Securities Exchange have characterised as a quiet colonisation of the brewer’s leadership structure ahead of the handover.

    Justin Mollel, currently Finance Director at Diageo Ireland — a career Diageo executive who previously served as Finance Director at Guinness Ghana Breweries and Serengeti Breweries in Tanzania — has been named EABL’s Group Chief Financial Officer Designate, effective May 1, 2026, with full duties assumed on July 1.

    His appointment coincides almost exactly with the expected closing of the Asahi transaction. He replaces Risper Ohaga, the first African woman to serve as EABL’s Group CFO, who is departing to become Group Chief Executive Officer at APA Apollo Group.

    Mollel is not alone. Anthony Njenga, formerly of Diageo Australia, was installed as EABL’s Supply Chain Director in January 2025. Lorna Benton, formerly Group Performance and Reward Director at Diageo PLC, joined the EABL board in March 2025.

    Anne Joy Michira, currently Marketing and Innovations Director for Diageo South, West and Central Africa, has been named EABL’s Group Marketing and Innovations Director.

    The brewer that is nominally transitioning out of Diageo’s orbit is being filled, floor by floor, with Diageo’s people at the precise moment when Asahi will need impartial management to navigate the post-acquisition period.

    A LEGACY OF COMPETITOR SUPPRESSION

    EABL does not arrive at this transaction with clean hands in the matter of market conduct. In the 1990s, it engaged in what analysts of the period described as a bruising turf war with South African brand Castle Brewery, which ultimately closed its multimillion-dollar factory in Thika in 2002 at the cost of 800 jobs.

    In 2019, the company was embroiled in a dispute with Keroche Breweries over the embossing of brown beer bottles, with Keroche accusing it of buying up bottles on the open market and stamping them to lock rivals out of the supply chain.

    In 2020, multiple senators hauled EABL before the Senate Committee on Trade, Industrialisation and Tourism to answer allegations of restrictive trade practices and monopolistic tendencies.

    The company denied the allegations.

    In 2024, Nairobi-based alcohol startup African Originals accused EABL of replicating its flagship cider range under a competing brand called Manyatta and orchestrating a social media smear campaign through digital marketing firm Wowzi, whose influencer network posted about falling ill after consuming African Originals products.

    The timing of the posts followed immediately after EABL launched its competing line. EABL dismissed the African Originals allegations as false, defamatory and lacking any evidence.

    The matter was never publicly resolved.

    A Senate committee in 2024 was also convened to examine allegations that Diageo had fraudulently evaded tax liabilities at EABL through what a petitioner described as massive bribery of Kenya Revenue Authority and National Treasury officials.

    The KRA Commissioner General appeared before the committee but no charges were ever filed. The allegations remain unproven. But their ventilation in Parliament illustrates the depth of institutional suspicion that has surrounded EABL’s corporate conduct under Diageo’s stewardship.

    THE FEBRUARY 26 ABDICATION AND THE CJ ACCUSATION

    The sequence of events on February 26, 2026 is, even stripped of any conspiracy theory, a remarkable coincidence of timing. Bia Tosha’s substantive application — seeking to block the share transfer as a constitutional matter — had been scheduled for hearing on that date before Justice Bahati Mwamuye.

    When parties logged into the virtual platform, Justice Mwamuye informed them he had been transferred to Kiambu High Court, effective April 1. He declined to extend the interim orders that had temporarily restrained the share transfer.

    He directed the file to an incoming judge and proposed April 9 as the next mention date.

    EABL issued a press release celebrating the outcome later that day, noting that regulatory processes could now continue uninterrupted.

    The critical window within which Bia Tosha believed the regulatory approvals could be obtained had narrowed significantly.

    Judicial transfers are routine administrative matters. But for a petitioner who has spent nine years in court, whose Supreme Court-backed contempt proceedings are still unresolved, and whose application has now been postponed past the point at which it can practically matter, routine administrative action and targeted obstruction produce exactly the same result.

    It is this indistinguishability that has driven Bia Tosha to language that has no precedent in Kenyan commercial litigation.

    In documents filed before Chief Justice Martha Koome, Burugu alleges that impermissible diplomatic interventions to secure a desired outcome in this matter present a most dangerous and unparalleled surrender of the sovereignty of the people of Kenya. She invokes what she calls Epstein-Prince-Andrew-type interferences through diplomatic and Royal intercessions as the mechanism.

    The reference gains contemporary precision from the February 19, 2026 arrest of Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor on suspicion of misconduct in public office for allegedly sharing confidential trade documents with Jeffrey Epstein while serving as UK trade envoy.

    Whether any of this constitutes anything approaching the interference Bia Tosha alleges, the court filings do not substantiate with documentary evidence.

    But the intensity of the language reflects an accumulation of grievance that is, on the documented record, entirely proportionate to the sequence of events the company has experienced. The company has asked the Chief Justice to appoint a fresh judge and reinstate the expired orders. The Judiciary has made no public response.

    “There is no other effective means by which this court can compel obedience other than through prohibition of the sale.” — Bia Tosha court filing, January 2026

    THE ENFORCEMENT CLIFF

    Everything in this accumulation — the Bia Tosha contempt findings, the COMESA fine, the JILK arbitration, the DFS VAT recovery, the bond manoeuvre — converges on a single fulcrum point: the Diageo-Asahi transaction.

    Diageo currently holds its 65 percent EABL stake through Diageo Kenya Limited, a 100 percent Diageo-owned Kenyan vehicle.

    The transaction will see this stake pass to Asahi at Ksh590.51 per share — a premium of 134 percent over the Ksh252 market price when the deal was announced. Diageo’s affidavit argues that the deal concerns shareholder-level assets and that EABL, KBL, and UDV Kenya will remain as Kenyan operating entities fully capable of satisfying any future judgment. The technical argument has merit as far as it goes.

    But it misses the practical reality that has been clearly articulated: the contempt proceedings named Diageo and its officers.

    The scale of damages Bia Tosha seeks — potentially in the tens of billions of shillings — would be enforceable against a parent company with $48 billion in market capitalisation far more readily than against a mid-cap Kenyan brewer suddenly owned by a Tokyo conglomerate with no pre-existing connection to the dispute.

    JILK’s application similarly notes that regulatory approvals from the Capital Markets Authority and the Competition Authority of Kenya are anticipated between May and June 2026, and that an April 30 judgment deadline was calculated with this timeline in mind.

    If the courts rule against it after Diageo has divested, JILK will be left with an award against a UK company with no Kenyan assets and every legal incentive to contest enforcement from London.

    Bia Tosha’s advocate Kenneth Kiplagat put the central anxiety without ambiguity in a statement in January 2026: if they succeed in disposing of their only known asset in Kenya, we will not be able to execute a judgment against Diageo.

    Diageo retains no operational presence in Kenya after this sale. Its general counsel’s assurances of continued submission to Kenyan jurisdiction have no physical backing once the stake is transferred.

    THE STRUCTURAL QUESTION KENYA CANNOT IGNORE

    The question posed by the convergence of these cases reaches beyond Bia Tosha and JILK. It concerns the capacity of Kenya’s legal system to provide credible protection to domestic parties in their dealings with multinational corporations — particularly when those corporations are in the process of exiting the jurisdiction.

    Kenya has consistently sought to position itself as a reliable arbitration and commercial dispute resolution hub for the region.

    The Kisumu Brewery case, in which KBL obtained ex parte orders blocking an arbitral award for three months and then saw the presiding judge recuse herself, raises uncomfortable questions about arbitration integrity.

    The Bia Tosha case, in which a decade of Supreme Court-endorsed findings has not produced a single day of compliance from the named contemptors, raises uncomfortable questions about enforcement.

    Together, they illustrate the limits of formal legal rights in the face of a determined, well-resourced corporate actor.

    EABL controls approximately 90 percent of the formal beer market in Kenya.

    Its annual legal budget exceeds what most litigants can sustain over a lifetime of litigation. Its ability to rotate implicated executives, promote them out of the jurisdiction, generate competing litigation, and deploy the tools of the Distributor Finance Scheme against the very parties it is supposed to be compensating is not matched by any mechanism that forces expedited compliance.

    Diageo’s exit is not a judgment on this record. Markets do not adjudicate legal disputes.

    The Asahi Group, acquiring a dominant regional brewer at a substantial premium, has every incentive to complete the transaction quickly and has no obligation to resolve disputes it did not create.

    The Ksh303.5 billion changing hands will make Diageo’s shareholders considerably wealthier. Whether it will ever produce a single shilling for Bia Tosha, or for the 120-plus distributors who had Ksh800 million withdrawn from their bank accounts without consent, or for the two women whose harassment reports were allegedly used as raw material for a corporate retaliation campaign, is a question the transaction documents do not address.

    Anne-Marie Burugu has won in the High Court, the Court of Appeal, and the Supreme Court. She has watched each win become the basis for new litigation by her opponent.

    She watched the judge hearing her latest application announce a transfer and walk off the virtual platform. She has now written to the Chief Justice using language borrowed from a global scandal. That language may prove to be overreach. The grievance it expresses is not.

    WHAT THE REGULATOR MUST ANSWER

    The Wamalwa and Echesa petition has placed three specific demands before the Capital Markets Authority.

    The firm wants the regulator to disclose whether any exemption from the mandatory offer requirement has been granted, and if so, on what legal basis. It wants confirmation of what specific measures are being taken to protect minority shareholders.

    And it wants the CMA to compel Asahi to make a mandatory takeover offer on terms no less favourable than those Diageo negotiated for itself.

    The CMA has not responded publicly to the petition. Asahi has not addressed the mandatory offer question beyond its December 2025 statement.

    EABL has maintained that the deal is at the shareholder level and has no bearing on its relationship with minority investors beyond the ordinary obligations of a listed company.

    None of these positions engage with the core question: why should Kenyans who hold shares in EABL receive fundamentally different treatment from the treatment Diageo received when it decided it was time to leave?

    For the thousands of ordinary Kenyans who invested in EABL expecting fair treatment, the April 9 court date and the ongoing regulatory silence represent the final opportunity for Kenya’s institutions to demonstrate that the rules they have written apply equally to the powerful and the small.

    The Asahi transaction will close.

    The court proceedings will continue, slowly, expensively, in the wake of a Sh303.5 billion exit that has already happened.

    What remains to be seen is whether any of the money changing hands will ever find its way to the parties who built EABL’s market, paid their goodwill, built the brewery in Kisumu, and kept faith with an institution that, on the record, did not keep faith with them.

  • Treasury Hands Sh358M Brief to Eric Gumbo’s Firm While Bypassing Standard Rules — and the Lawyer Is Already Deep Inside Ruto’s State Machine

    Treasury Hands Sh358M Brief to Eric Gumbo’s Firm While Bypassing Standard Rules — and the Lawyer Is Already Deep Inside Ruto’s State Machine

    AT A GLANCE

    Arbitration forum: London Court of International Arbitration (LCIA)

    Claimant: Jamhuri Holdings Ltd, special purpose vehicle of Helios Investment Partners

    Amount at stake: Sh6.19 billion

    Law firm engaged: G&A Advocates LLP led by Eric Gumbo, MBS

    Contract value: Sh358 million

    Procurement route: Specially Permitted Procedure (SPP) — fast-track, no competitive bidding

    PPARB ruling: March 9, 2026 — upheld Treasury award over rival Okoth & Kiplagat (Sh380 million bid)

    Engagement date: January 4, 2026

    The National Treasury has quietly handed a Sh358 million international arbitration brief to G&A Advocates LLP, a law firm whose managing partner Eric Onyango Gumbo has over the past two years accumulated an extraordinary portfolio of politically charged state mandates — from arguing before the Senate to remove Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua, to advising on Kenya’s Sh106 billion Kenya Pipeline Company initial public offering, to serving as a board member at the Kenya Reinsurance Corporation, a state enterprise whose alternate director is drawn directly from the Treasury itself.

    The brief concerns a London Court of International Arbitration case filed by Helios Investment Partners through its special purpose vehicle, Jamhuri Holdings Limited, seeking to recover or obtain compensation on the Sh6.19 billion paid to it in 2022 for 60 per cent of Telkom Kenya’s shares under the administration of former President Uhuru Kenyatta — a deal that President William Ruto’s Cabinet subsequently rescinded in October 2022 amid governance controversy.

    “The procurement of legal services was necessitated by urgent international arbitration proceedings under the LCIA…due to the urgency of the matter and the risk of financial exposure for the Government of Kenya.” — PPARB ruling, March 9, 2026

    Treasury’s engagement of G&A was made under a Specially Permitted Procurement Procedure, a provision in Kenya’s procurement law designed for genuine emergencies where standard competitive processes are impractical. Treasury told the Public Procurement Administrative Review Board that its supply chain management unit was authorised to use that fast-track route to expedite the process and sign the contract quickly, citing strict procedural timelines at the London court and the risk of significant financial exposure.

    The Attorney General approved the engagement of an international barrister alongside two local firms. Leading the state’s defence team will be G&A’s own Eric Gumbo and his partners Ken Melly and Moses Kipkogei, supported by English barrister Michael Sullivan as external counsel based in England.

    THE PROCUREMENT BATTLE THAT REVEALED IT ALL

    Details of the arrangement came to light not through any government gazette or parliamentary notification, but through an unseemly public dispute between two rival law firms that both wanted the brief. Okoth and Kiplagat Advocates, which had tendered Sh380 million for the same work — Sh22 million more than G&A’s winning quote — challenged the award before the PPARB in February this year, alleging that Treasury’s evaluation of G&A’s bid was irregular.

    The PPARB rejected that challenge in a ruling dated March 9, 2026, clearing the way for G&A to proceed. But the dispute’s court documents laid bare previously undisclosed information: that Kenya has been under intense pressure to appear before the London tribunal, that the government’s Solicitor General had warned of the risk of financial exposure if legal representation was delayed, and that Treasury had in fact already engaged four top legal minds in January under the SPP before the procurement dispute was even formally resolved.

    Treasury’s own submissions to the PPARB described the situation in terms of urgency consistent with a crisis: the words ‘financial exposure’ appear repeatedly in the board’s ruling. Yet the government had known since March 2023, when Controller of Budget Margaret Nyakang’o publicly accused former Treasury Cabinet Secretary Ukur Yatani of pressuring her to sign off on the Sh6.19 billion withdrawal without parliamentary approval, that this dispute would almost certainly end in formal proceedings.

    For three years, Kenya’s investigative machinery was left stranded. Now Sh358 million of the same public money is being directed to a firm woven deep into the state’s political fabric.

    That is three full years during which the government sat on the knowledge that a legal confrontation with Helios was coming, and during which it did not use that time to organise a proper competitive tender for legal representation. By the time Treasury moved, it declared an emergency and used a shortcut that conveniently removed the need for open competition.

    WHO IS ERIC GUMBO, AND HOW CLOSE IS HE TO POWER?

    G&A Advocates LLP was founded in 2006 under the name Gumbo and Associates Advocates, originally operating out of Eldoret. It transitioned into a limited liability partnership in February 2017 and now maintains offices in both Nairobi and Eldoret, styling itself as ‘intentionally atop’ in its marketing. The firm has five practice arms: Dispute Resolution, Real Estate and Finance, Policy and Legislative Drafting, Corporate and Commercial, and Technology and Innovation.

    The firm is widely regarded as competent and internationally networked. It holds a recognition from the IFLR1000 guide to financial and corporate law firms, has signed an international partnership memorandum with South Korean firm Jipyong LLC, and has worked alongside global giants including White and Case on sovereign transactions. It is also co-ranked alongside heavyweights such as TrippleOKLaw and ENS Africa for finance and projects work in Kenya.

    But it is Eric Gumbo’s relationship with the current administration that raises the most pointed questions in the context of this particular procurement. Over a twenty-one-year legal career, Gumbo has appeared for Kenya’s elections management body in all three presidential election petitions filed before the Supreme Court of Kenya since the 2010 Constitution came into force — including in 2022, the election that brought President Ruto to power. He was on the winning side.

    In October 2024, when the National Assembly sought to impeach Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua in what political observers widely characterised as a Ruto administration-driven purge, it was Gumbo who appeared as the legislature’s counsel before the Senate. Alongside Senior Counsel James Orengo and a fourteen-strong team fielded by G&A, Gumbo argued strenuously and successfully that Gachagua should be removed.

    He also appeared before the High Court when Gachagua sought judicial intervention to block the implementation of the Senate vote, arguing against conservatory orders and in favour of the swearing-in of Kithure Kindiki as the new Deputy President. Gachagua was removed. Kindiki took office.

    Weeks later, Gumbo’s firm was appointed co-legal adviser alongside TripleOKLaw (a firm that has been adversely linked to AG Dorcas Oduor) for the Kenya Pipeline Company’s landmark initial public offering, the first IPO in Kenya in over a decade and the centrepiece of the Ruto government’s privatisation agenda. The legal advisory fee for that transaction was set at Sh31.9 million, shared between the two firms.

    Eric Gumbo (extreme left) recently hosted government officials including Attorney General Dorcas Oduor, Treasury PS Chris Kiptoo, PS Ouma Oluga for a Huduma Mashinani event at Lwak Girls Secondary School in Rarieda.
    Eric Gumbo (extreme left) recently hosted government officials including Attorney General Dorcas Oduor, Treasury PS Chris Kiptoo, PS Ouma Oluga for a Huduma Mashinani event at Lwak Girls Secondary School in Rarieda.

    At the same time, Gumbo sits as a board member of the Kenya Reinsurance Corporation, a state-owned listed insurer whose board structure includes an alternate director nominated directly by the Cabinet Secretary for the National Treasury — the very ministry now writing G&A a Sh358 million cheque. Gumbo joined the Kenya Re board in June 2019, making his tenure there longer than his more recent political engagements, but the cumulative interlocking of relationships is notable.

    The President also appointed Gumbo to the panel tasked with recruiting the Auditor General, a constitutional position responsible for oversight of public spending including Treasury’s own expenditures.

    A SCANDAL THAT NEVER DIED

    The Telkom Kenya share buyback is among the most troubled state transactions of recent memory. In 2022, the Kenyatta administration’s Treasury paid Sh6.19 billion to purchase a 60 per cent stake in Telkom Kenya from Helios Investment Partners through Jamhuri Holdings, effectively reversing the earlier privatisation of the telecoms firm. The payment was made without parliamentary approval, with Yatani invoking Article 223 of the Constitution, which allows emergency spending without legislative sanction.

    Nyakang’o subsequently told Parliament she had been pressured to sign off on the withdrawal from the Consolidated Fund. The Auditor General and the Finance and Economic Planning Committee of the National Assembly later declared that no adequate justification had been provided for invoking the emergency provision. The public auditor noted there was no reason the payment could not have gone through the normal budget process.

    Investigators from the Office of the Auditor General and the Financial Reporting Centre attempted to trace the money. It passed through Mauritius into Jersey Island, where Helios’s parent entity is registered, and then went cold. Requests to visit Jamhuri Holdings’ registered offices were either declined or went without response.

    The Ruto Cabinet formally rescinded the transaction in 2023 and Parliament declared the expenditure irregular. Neither action had any practical effect, since the money had already left the country. The National Assembly at the time summoned former Treasury CS Yatani, former ICT CS Joe Mucheru and State House Chief of Staff Josphat Kinyua to explain the deal.

    MPs renewed their frustration last November, demanding a special audit of the transaction while complaining publicly about the slow pace of investigations. Now Helios, unmoved by Nairobi’s political declarations, has pressed its arbitration claim before the London Court of International Arbitration, and Kenya needs lawyers badly enough to spend Sh358 million on the task.

    THE GHOST OF THE NAKURU ORDER

    The timing of the G&A engagement is additionally awkward given a separate legal controversy that erupted in January 2026. On January 12, days after Treasury had already awarded G&A its brief under the SPP, the High Court sitting in Nakuru issued conservatory orders — in Petition E001 of 2026, filed by activist Okiya Omtatah Okoiti and others — suspending public entities from engaging or paying private advocates where in-house government lawyers already exist.

    The orders were issued by Justice Samuel Mukira and applied to entities that already have the Attorney General, state counsel, the Solicitor General, county attorneys and other in-house legal officers available to them. The Central Organisation of Trade Unions publicly welcomed the orders, arguing that billions of shillings were being paid to private law firms through what it termed outrageous fee notes, even as public workers suffered delayed salaries and stalled collective bargaining agreements.

    The Law Society of Kenya mounted fierce resistance, calling the orders a nefarious scheme aimed at crippling the legal profession and vowing radical surgery on the Judiciary if the orders were not reversed. LSK President Faith Odhiambo noted that both the Office of the Attorney General Act and the Office of the County Attorney Act expressly provide for the retention of external counsel as may be necessary for specialised matters.

    Treasury justified the G&A contract on precisely that grounds — that the matter was an urgent international arbitration before a specialist London tribunal requiring expertise that the Attorney General’s office could not readily supply. The PPARB’s ruling accepted this logic. But the broader environment in which Sh358 million is being paid to a firm embedded in the ruling establishment’s political networks, while the courts and civil society are simultaneously debating whether such payments are a vector for corruption, is one that demands scrutiny.

    A EUROBOND, A PIPELINE AND A PATTERN

    The G&A Advocates brief on the Telkom LCIA case is not a one-off. In recent months the firm has been at the centre of Kenya’s most consequential sovereign financial transactions. When Kenya undertook a liability management operation in early 2025, exchanging part of its 2028 Eurobond for new longer-dated instruments, G&A was co-counsel to the National Treasury alongside an international firm. The Eurobond transaction, Gumbo later noted in a LinkedIn post, extended Kenya’s sovereign debt maturity profile in line with the country’s medium-term debt strategy and achieved competitive terms that reflected strong investor confidence.

    The KPC IPO, in which G&A was co-legal adviser alongside TripleOKLaw, was the biggest equity capital markets transaction Kenya had seen since the Safaricom IPO in 2008. It was also the first electronic IPO in the country’s history and was oversubscribed by 105.7 per cent when it closed in February 2026, with shares listed on the Nairobi Securities Exchange on March 9.

    In 2024 the firm signed a formal international partnership agreement with Jipyong LLC, a South Korean law firm with operations in seven countries across Asia, positioning G&A as the preferred entry point into African markets for Korean corporate and investment clients.

    Across all of this, the same names appear at the centre of the Telkom brief. Ken Melly, who will work alongside Gumbo in the LCIA proceedings, is the head of G&A’s Dispute Resolution practice and holds the designation of Fellow of the Chartered Institute of Arbitrators. Moses Kipkogei, also named in the LCIA team, leads G&A’s Policy, Legal Compliance and Legislative Drafting practice and appeared alongside Gumbo in the Gachagua impeachment matter.

    WHAT IS KENYA ACTUALLY DEFENDING?

    The substantive details of the LCIA arbitration remain private under the rules of the London court. Helios has not commented publicly on the proceedings. But the government’s own PPARB submissions describe the legal challenge in terms that suggest Kenya is defending the legitimacy of Ruto’s Cabinet decision to rescind a transaction that had already been completed and paid for by his predecessor.

    Helios and Jamhuri Holdings can credibly argue that they entered into a lawful contract with the Government of Kenya, received payment, and have since been subjected to a unilateral reversal driven by political considerations rather than legal defect. The auditors’ finding that the original payment was irregular speaks to governance failings within the Kenyatta administration, not to the contractual rights of Helios as a commercial counterparty.

    Whether the government can successfully defend a position that amounts to repudiating a completed commercial transaction, and on what grounds, is the core legal question before the London tribunal. If it cannot, the damages Kenya faces could substantially exceed the Sh6.19 billion originally paid — and would join a growing ledger of international arbitration losses that have cost the Kenyan taxpayer billions over the past decade.

  • Understanding Crash Betting: How It Works and What to Know Before You Play

    Understanding Crash Betting: How It Works and What to Know Before You Play

    Online gambling has changed a lot over the past decade, and one format that has picked up real momentum across Africa and beyond is the crash bet. It pairs fast gameplay with a simple premise, making it easy to pick up for beginners while still holding the interest of more experienced players.

    What Is a Crash Bet?

    A crash bet is an online wagering game where a multiplier starts at 1x and climbs continuously. Players place their stake before the round begins, then decide when to cash out as the multiplier rises. The catch: the multiplier can crash at any random moment, and anyone who hasn’t cashed out by then loses their bet.

    The appeal is simple. There are no complicated rules, no cards to memorize, no opponents to read. The whole experience comes down to timing and risk tolerance, two things that connect naturally with how modern bettors think.

    How the Gameplay Actually Works

    Placing Your Bet

    Before each round, players have a short window to enter their stake. Some platforms allow dual bets, meaning you can set two separate wagers with different cash-out targets in the same round. It adds a layer of strategy without making things complicated.

    Watching the Multiplier Rise

    Once the round starts, the multiplier begins climbing from 1x. It might reach 1.5x, 5x, or even 100x before crashing. The core decision every player faces is whether to lock in a modest gain early or hold out for a bigger return.

    The Random Crash Point

    When the game crashes is determined by a provably fair algorithm, meaning neither the platform nor the player can predict or influence the outcome. That randomness is what creates the tension and, equally, the risk.

    Why Crash Betting Has Grown in Kenya

    Kenya has one of the most active online betting communities in Africa. Mobile-first platforms have made it easy for players to try new formats, and crash betting fits naturally into that ecosystem. Rounds are short, usually under a minute, which suits the on-the-go habits of many Kenyan bettors.

    The social side matters too. Many platforms feature live chat or leaderboards during rounds, which creates a shared experience even in a digital setting.

    Key Things to Keep in Mind

    Before getting started, a few practical points are worth understanding:

    – Set a clear cash-out target before each round rather than deciding in the moment

    – Avoid chasing losses by increasing stakes after a bad round

    – Use platforms that display verified fairness certificates for their crash algorithm

    – Treat each round as independent — past results have no bearing on when the next crash will occur

    Managing Risk Over Time

    The biggest mistake new players make is assuming patterns exist where there are none. A multiplier that has crashed early several times in a row is not “due” for a high run. Each round resets entirely.

    Responsible play means deciding what you’re willing to lose before a session starts and sticking to it regardless of how the rounds go. The most sustainable approach to crash betting is treating it as entertainment with a fixed budget, not a reliable income strategy.

  • How Firm Linked To Mombasa Tycoon Jaffer Was Allowed To Import Fuel At Bloated Price And Set To Make Billions In Profits From Iranian War Crisis In Kenya

    How Firm Linked To Mombasa Tycoon Jaffer Was Allowed To Import Fuel At Bloated Price And Set To Make Billions In Profits From Iranian War Crisis In Kenya

    A petroleum company linked to Mombasa billionaire Mohammed Jaffer was quietly allowed to import expensive petrol at three times the normal cost in early March, positioning the politically connected businessman to reap billions in profits as Kenya grappled with the fallout from the US-Israel war with Iran.

    One Petroleum, a subsidiary of Jaffer’s Mbaraki Bulk Terminal Ltd, was among two local firms cleared by the Ministry of Energy to ship in 60 tonnes of petrol each outside the government-to-government deal that Kenya signed with three Gulf oil majors.

    The emergency imports came as the government scrambled to avert shortages tied to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz following Iranian drone attacks on oil facilities in the Gulf region.

    Industry sources revealed at the time that One Petroleum quoted a premium of $290 per tonne, equivalent to Sh37,691.3, which was three times the $84, or Sh10,917.48, quoted for a similar quantity of fuel under the G-to-G deal involving Saudi Aramco, Emirates National Oil Company, and Abu Dhabi National Oil Company.

    The two cargo consignments imported outside the deal were to be part of those used in setting monthly pump prices from April 15, meaning Kenyan consumers were staring at a potential steep climb in fuel costs.

    “We are looking at an increase of at least Sh19 per litre on account of the premiums alone. Then we also add the global benchmark prices of fuel for the month of March which are higher than those from the month of February. The effect is going to be huge unless the government goes for a significant subsidy,” an industry source was quoted at the time.

    The empire of Mohammed Jaffer

    One Petroleum is a subsidiary of Mbaraki Bulk Terminal Ltd, a multi-petroleum products handling facility at the port of Mombasa that is partly owned by Jaffer, a businessman who has managed to secure safe ties with political regimes since the era of President Daniel arap Moi.

    Jaffer, who founded the MJ Group conglomerate now valued at over Sh16.3 billion, was previously a supporter of the late opposition leader Raila Odinga but has since made peace with President William Ruto, whom he had opposed in the last election.

    Company records show Jaffer’s family members, including Mojtaba Mohamed Jaffer, Ali Abbas Jaffer and Mohamed Husein Jaffer, are listed as directors of One Petroleum.

    Others are Solomon Esebwe Mwanjuma Ondego, Ali Salaah Balala, who serves as executive director, and Jonathan James Stokes. Nicholas Kokita is the company secretary.

    The Jaffers are also associated with Africa Gas and Oil Company, One Gas Ltd and Grain Bulk Handlers.

    Africa Gas is partly controlled by the billionaire, who also owns Grain Bulk Handlers, which imports the bulk of the liquefied petroleum gas consumed in Kenya and controls a significant transit market to neighbouring countries.

    A monopoly under threat

    The businessman has been able to maintain a monopoly not only in port operations but also in the LPG industry.

    His empire, however, came under threat from President Ruto’s decision to bring in a new entrant, Taifa Gas, owned by Tanzanian billionaire Rostam Aziz, who put up a 30,000-tonne gas plant at the Dongo Kundu Special Economic Zone in Likoni.

    Jaffer appeared to have made peace with the president and won another tender.

    His company, Grain Bulk Handlers, launched a new grain-handling and storage terminal in Embakasi, Nairobi, in April 2023, with President Ruto attending the event and expressing confidence that the terminal would play a vital role in addressing food security in the country.

    But the Jaffer empire has faced scrutiny before. In 2021, the Kenya Revenue Authority went to court accusing the family’s oil and gas firms of Sh68 million tax evasion.

    How the crisis created opportunity

    The emergency imports that allowed One Petroleum to charge inflated premiums were necessitated by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz following Iran’s drone attacks on oil facilities in Gulf countries.

    Iran attacked at least 18 merchant ships along the strategic waterway in response to US-Israel strikes against it, significantly hindering the movement of fuel from the oil-rich region.

    Nearly 25 per cent of the global liquefied natural gas and fuel passes across the Strait of Hormuz, enabling its movement from the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman, the Arabian Sea and beyond.

    Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar and Bahrain rely on the strait to deliver the vast majority of their oil exports.

    A vessel carrying 114.7 million litres of super from Emirates National Oil Company was unable to leave the Port of Jebel Ali in Dubai due to the closure, prompting the Ministry of Energy to float the idea of shipping fuel outside the G-to-G deal.

    Sources said a section of importers under the deal did not support the idea, citing the potential impact of steep premiums compared to the fixed ones under the government-backed arrangement.

    But the ministry went ahead and cleared One Petroleum and Oryx Energies to ship in the combined 120 tonnes of petrol.

    One Petroleum discharged its cargo, while that for Oryx arrived later.

    The G-to-G deal under the spotlight

    The G-to-G deal, which was designed to address dollar shortages and stabilise fuel supply through six-month credit arrangements backed by Kenyan bank letters of credit, has been a centre of controversy since its inception in March 2023.

    The deal involves Gulf firms Saudi Aramco, Emirates National Oil Co, and Abu Dhabi National Oil Co, and has been running through three main oil companies, Galana Energies, Gulf Energy, and Oryx Energies, which have been distributing fuel on behalf of the three Gulf oil companies.

    According to the Ministry of Energy and Petroleum, Kenya extended the G-to-G deal with the Gulf oil firms to 2028. The three firms will continue to supply gasoline, diesel, kerosene and jet fuel under the 180-day credit arrangement until early 2028.

    By mid-November 2023, oil imports under the scheme amounted to about $3.7 billion, equivalent to Sh592 billion. Letters of credit worth over $784 million, or Sh125.4 billion, were also settled, underlining the lucrative nature of the deal for players involved.

    What the windfall meant for One Petroleum

    With One Petroleum importing petrol at a premium three times higher than the G-to-G rate, the potential profits were staggering.

    The company invoiced oil companies, with the price build-up showing a premium of $290 per tonne. For a 60-tonne consignment, this translated to a premium payment of $17,400, or approximately Sh2.26 million, above the normal rate.

    But the real money lay in the fact that the cargo was to be used to set pump prices nationwide.

    With the premium factored into the pricing formula, the company stood to make billions in additional revenue from the inflated cost structure that would be passed on to consumers.

    Political connections paying off

    The addition of One Petroleum to the exclusive circle of firms allowed to import fuel represents a significant victory for Jaffer, who has maintained a delicate balancing act in Kenya’s turbulent political landscape. His ability to secure favour from successive regimes, from Moi to Ruto, speaks to a sophisticated understanding of how political connections translate into business opportunities.

    Jaffer’s empire spans grain handling, oil and gas, and port operations, giving him control over critical infrastructure that handles the bulk of Kenya’s imports. With the government allowing his firm to import fuel at bloated prices during a national crisis, his dominance over the country’s energy sector was set to grow even further.

    Global disruptions and the changing landscape

    Following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, oil exporters from the Gulf, including Saudi Aramco which is part of the G-to-G deal, turned to alternative routes. They began using the Sikka Port in India, the Port of Antwerp-Bruges in Belgium and the ports situated along the Red Sea for the transportation of oil to markets such as Kenya.

    About 239.1 million litres of petrol were set to be loaded onto two vessels at the Port of Antwerp-Bruges in Belgium. The vessels were to sail towards Kenya via the Red Sea-Mediterranean route and dock at the Port of Mombasa between April 16 and April 27. Another 81.15 million litres of dual-purpose kerosene and 75.6 million litres of diesel were to be loaded onto vessels at the Sikka Port in India, with those vessels expected to dock at the Port of Mombasa between April 12 and April 21.

    The cost to Kenyans

    While One Petroleum and its politically connected owners stood to make billions from the arrangement, ordinary Kenyans faced the prospect of yet another punishing price hike. The April 15 price review was expected to deliver the highest pump prices in months, reflecting the impact of the fuel supply disruptions caused by the attacks on oil facilities in the Gulf.

    The global energy markets reacted sharply to the crisis, with oil prices surging after Iran threatened shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz. Treasury Cabinet Secretary John Mbadi warned lawmakers that the longer the conflict dragged on, the greater the economic shock could become, cautioning that prolonged disruptions to global energy and trade routes could have massive consequences for Kenya’s economy.

    But for Jaffer and One Petroleum, the crisis presented a golden opportunity. The company not only secured a place in the exclusive circle of importers but was also allowed to import fuel at bloated prices that would be passed directly to consumers. It was a classic case of crisis capitalism, where those with the right connections turn national emergencies into personal windfalls.

    What followed

    The Ministry of Energy and Petroleum did not immediately respond to queries over the two vessels and how the government would treat the significantly high premiums in order to protect consumers. Without a steep subsidy, the April 15 to May 14 prices were expected to be the highest in months.

    Energy and Petroleum Regulatory Authority Director General David Kiptoo later revealed in a television interview that the regulator had incorporated One Petroleum and Asharami Synergy into the G-to-G deal, bringing the number of oil firms to five. Under the current arrangement, three Kenyan oil marketing companies, Galana Oil, Gulf Energy and Oryx Energy, own cargo upon delivery to Mombasa port by the international Gulf-based oil giants.

    The expansion of the deal to include Jaffer’s company raised fresh questions about transparency and whether the government was using the cover of a global crisis to reward its political allies. For now, one thing was certain. While ordinary Kenyans braced for another round of punishing price hikes, the politically connected players in the lucrative oil import game were counting their billions.

  • ‘A Million Things Could Go Wrong’ – Why Seizing Iran’s Uranium Would Be So Risky For The US

    ‘A Million Things Could Go Wrong’ – Why Seizing Iran’s Uranium Would Be So Risky For The US

    US troops storming a secretive, underground nuclear facility to seize Iran’s stockpile of enriched uranium may sound far-fetched, but it is an option President Donald Trump is reportedly considering to achieve his main objective in the war: preventing the regime from developing nuclear weapons.

    Such an operation would be extremely challenging and fraught with danger, according to military experts and former US defence officials who spoke to the BBC. They said it would require the deployment of ground troops and could take several days or even weeks to complete.

    Removing the uranium stockpile would be one of the “most complicated special operations in history,” said Mick Mulroy, a former deputy assistant secretary of defence for the Middle East.

    The scenario is just one of several military actions that Trump could take in Iran.

    Others include the US taking control of Kharg Island in an effort to pressure Iran to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The administration may also be using the threat of new military operations to pressure Iran to the negotiating table.

    In a telephone interview with the BBC’s US partner CBS News on Tuesday, President Trump declined to say whether it would be possible to declare victory in the war without removing or destroying Iran’s enriched uranium.

    But he appeared to play down the significance of the stockpile, pointing to the damage caused in US-Israeli strikes last June. “That’s so deeply buried it’s gonna be very hard for anybody,” Trump said. “It’s down there deep. So… it’s pretty safe. But, you know, we’ll make a determination.”

    His remarks came after the Wall Street Journal reported that the US was considering an operation to extract the material. The White House said Trump was yet to make a final decision.

    An operation targeting Iran’s stockpile would face several major logistical challenges, experts said.

    At the start of the war, Iran possessed approximately 440kg of uranium enriched to 60%, according to senior US officials. The material can be fairly quickly enriched to the 90% threshold needed for weapons-grade uranium.

    Iran also has roughly 1,000kg of uranium enriched to 20%, and 8,500kg that are enriched to the 3.6% threshold accepted for medical research.

    Most of the highly enriched uranium that can be easily turned into material for bombs or missiles is believed to be stored at Isfahan. The facility is one of three underground nuclear sites in Iran that were targeted in US-Israeli airstrikes last year.

    But it is unclear how much of the highly enriched uranium is stored at other locations.

    A military operation to retrieve the material would be easier if the US knew exactly where the stockpile was, said Jason Campbell, a former senior US defence official in the Obama and Trump administrations.

    “The ideal scenario is that you know exactly where it is,” Campbell said. “If it’s been dispersed to four different sites, then you’re talking about a whole different” level of complexity.

    In addition to Isfahan, some highly enriched uranium could also be stored at Fordo and Natanz, the other two enrichment facilities that were targeted in Operation Midnight Hammer last year.

    Rafael Grossi, the director of the International Atomic Energy Agency, said last month that the majority of Iran’s highly enriched uranium is stored at Isfahan, with some additional material at Natanz. But Grossi said more detailed information wasn’t available because inspectors haven’t visited the sites since being evacuated from Iran after the US-Israeli air campaign in 2025.

    “There are many questions that we will only elucidate when we are able to go back,” Grossi told reporters.

    Gaining access to the highly enriched uranium presents another set of challenges, assuming the US knows where it is.

    There are signs that Iran fortified an underground complex near one of its nuclear facilities before this year’s US-Israeli strikes. At Isfahan, for example, satellite imagery from February indicated all entrances to its tunnel complex appeared to be sealed off with earth, which would make any operation more difficult.

    Since the start of the war, the US and Israel have been able to use air strikes alone to decimate Iran’s navy, degrade its ballistic missiles and damage its industrial base. But unlike those other military objectives, experts said that securing Iran’s enriched uranium could not be done without using ground forces.

    The US could use elements of the 82nd Airborne Division – which were deployed to the Middle East – to secure the areas surrounding Isfahan and Natanz. Special operations forces that are trained to handle nuclear material would then be sent in to retrieve the enriched uranium. The uranium itself is in gaseous form and is believed to be stored in large metal containers.

    Satellite imagery shows that the entrances to Isfahan and Natanz were badly damaged by US airstrikes. US forces would likely need heavy machinery to dig through rubble in order to locate the enriched uranium, which is believed to be stored in tunnels buried deep underground – all while facing potential counterattacks from Iran.

    “You’ve first got to excavate the site and detect [the enriched uranium] while likely being under near constant threat,” Campbell said.

    It is an open question how Iran might respond, or how much of a threat it might pose to US ground troops targeting the country’s main nuclear facilities.

    The US and Israel have been degrading “Iranian defence capabilities to enable this type of operation if it was necessary,” said Alex Plitsas, a former US defence official and nonresident senior fellow at the Scowcroft Middle East Security Initiative. Nevertheless, he said it would still be a “high risk” operation.

    US ground troops would be isolated at Isfahan, which is located approximately 300 miles (482km) inland from Iran’s third largest city. “It makes [medical evacuations] difficult given the distances. It makes [US troops] vulnerable to anti-aircraft fire coming in and out, as well as attacks while they’re” at the nuclear facility,” Plitsas said.

    While the operation could take multiple forms, experts said it would likely involve the seizure of an airfield or landing zone from which US forces could operate – and then remove the enriched uranium from Iran once they have retrieved it.

    The 82nd Airborne Division, which is trained to secure airfields and other infrastructure, could be used along with other US forces to stage an operating base for the mission, military experts said. Once the uranium is secured, the US would then face the question of removing it from the country or diluting it on site.

    Senior administration officials said at the start of the war that the US might consider diluting Iran’s highly enriched uranium on site, rather than removing it from the country. But that would be a large, complex and time-consuming operation, said Jonathan Ruhe, an expert on Iran’s nuclear programme at the Jewish Institute for National Security of America, a conservative think tank in Washington DC.

    Seizing and taking the uranium out of Iran is faster and would allow the US to dilute the material in the United States, Ruhe said. The operation would be deeply risky no matter how it is done, he added.

    “You’ve got basically a half ton of what’s effectively weapons grade uranium that you’ve got to extricate,” Ruhe said.

    “And there are a million things that could go wrong.”